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Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Primary Dealer Treasury Holdings Soar to Record

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Whether it is the need to soak up all of the Fed's sub 3-year paper sold on an almost daily basis by the Fed courtesy of Operation Twist (which despite ending in 2 weeks, has already brough the average SOMA holding maturity to a record 105.5 months despite the Fed's implicit target of 100 months, meaning the Fed has overshot its duration ramping target by a lot), or because dealers are suddenly very concerned with having equity exposure, in its last update, the NY Fed has disclosed that as of June 6 Primary Dealers held a record $128 billion in Treasury holdings, a massive 41% increase over the prior week's $91 billion. Whatever the reason, Dealers are now firmly into Trasurys, having increased their net holdings across the curve by $170 billion from -$48 billion last April. And just as notably, for the first time since May 2010 Dealers held no offsetting short positions anywhere on the curve.

In conclusion: absolutely everyone is now on the same side of the UST trade.

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