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Wednesday, December 17, 2025

More Damage from ZIRP

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner

The pension funds are even more underfunded and damaged from ZIRP. Aggravating this further is that pension funds have plowed right into the bond bubble by increasing exposure.   .

S&P: The U.S. equity market, as measured by the S&P 500, showed flat performance in 2011. Combined with the S&P Global BMI non-U.S.decline of 16.6% and lower interest rates, this flat market has significantly reduced S&P 500 pension funding, resulting in record liabilities and record underfunding. Year-over-year comparisons from 2010 to 2011 indicate:

-Pension underfunding increased to USD 355 billion from USD245 billion.

-The pension funding rate decreased to 78.8% from 83.9%.

-The expected return rate declined to 7.60% from 7.73%.

Funds reduced equity exposure and increased fixed income exposure in an attempt to manage forward risk from markets.
 
-Equity allocations declined to 48.4% from 51.0%.
 
-Fixed income allocations increased from 35.9% to 40.9%.
 
As investor chase some yield, regulated utilities are selling at a 15 PE and yielding 4.1%. Payout ratios are nearly 70% of slow-growing earnings, making this sector just one more example of overpriced chasing of yield.
 

For additional analysis on this topic and related trades subscribe to Russ Winter's Actionable – risk free for 30 days.The subscription fee is $69 per quarter and helps support Russ.s work on your behalf. Click here for more information.

Copyright © 2012 The Wall Street Examiner. All Rights Reserved. The above may be reposted with attribution and a prominent link to The Wall Street Examiner.

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