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Friday, December 19, 2025

Economic Surprise? Not To Wall Street Examiner Readers

Courtesy of Lee Adler of the Wall Street Examiner

Here’s another story pointing out just how badly the mainstream misread the economic data.

Investment bankers and analysts continue to worry about the U.S. economy.

That said, our favorite economic surprise indicator suggests that this concern could be overblown.

The Citi Economic Surprise Indicator measures the ratio of economic data that beats analyst estimates to the ratio that doesn’t; a negative number for the index reflects data that have missed expectations.

In the last few years, this has served as an important leading indicator for the economy. Minimums and maximums in the graph tend to precede changes in investor sentiment towards financial markets.

And it looks right now like we’re nearing another optimistic moment

via Our Favorite Economic Surprise Indicator Shows The US Is A Bright Spot In The Global Economy – Business Insider.

Get regular updates the machinations of the Fed, Treasury, Primary Dealers and foreign central banks in the US market, in the Fed Report in the Professional Edition, Money Liquidity, and Real Estate Package. Click this link to try WSE's Professional Edition risk free for 30 days!

Copyright © 2012 The Wall Street Examiner. All Rights Reserved. The above may be reposted with attribution and a prominent link to the Wall Street Examiner.

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