Archive for September, 2012

It’s No Fun In Iran

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Since Mahmoud Ahmadinejad first became President of Iran, in August 2005, the country’s economy has gone from bad to worse. As Steve ‘hyperinflation’ Hanke noted recently, the Iranian economy has, for decades, been cobbled together by religious-bureaucratic regimes that have employed mandates, regulations, price controls, subsidies, a great deal of red tape, and a wide variety of other interventionist devices, in an attempt to achieve their goals. It’s all been kept afloat – barely afloat – by oil revenues. Shortly after Ahmadinejad took power, Iran began to draw the ire of the United States and its allies over a number of issues related to its nuclear ambitions and this ‘loose’ coalition of allies has ratcheted up economic sanctions. These sanctions are starting to have very significant impacts. From the Rial’s greater-than-50% plunge to estimated inflation rates over 70%, the country’s ‘Misery Index’, as noted in Bloomberg’s Chart-of-the-day, has surged massively in recent months. For context, Iran’s Misery score of 106 currently compares to Egypt’s pre-Arab Spring Misery score of around 40! Whether the sanctions’ “bite” will cause the regime to dig their heels in more and/or force the people to openly revolt (or turn ther anger on the sanction-enforcing aggressor?), it truly is no fun in Iran.

 


Hanke – “Even if sanctions have a massive impact on the economy, they tend to paradoxically do what they are intended not to do, the highest probability scenario in terms of interpreting the misery index in a case where you have sanctions is that as the misery index goes up the regime gets stronger and digs in.”

 

The Chronology of Sanction against Iran:

 

Via Cato:

 

There is no question that the sanctions the “allies” are imposing on Iran are starting to bite, and bite pretty hard. But, will this coercion win the “war?” Probably not. Prof. John Mearsheimer, in his masterpiece, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, provides more than ample evidence to show that naval blockades and strategic bombing (and I would add financial sanctions) rarely produce their desired results. As Prof. Mearsheimer concludes:

 

“…the populations of modern states can absorb great amounts of pain without


continue reading





Latest Trading Jobs

Courtesy of Declan Fallon

A few extra jobs for this week and the carryover from the previous weeks

Financial Rep Trainee
Quotes & Authorizations Rep
Equity Options Trader
Junior Trader Intern
Proprietary Trader

Fixed Income – Quantitative Analyst
Fixed Income – Business Analyst
Fixed Income – C++ Developer
EM Fixed Income Sales
Business Analyst – Fixed Income
Senior Investment Advisor
Investment Advisor Representative
Investment Advisor II
Entry Level Investment & Insurance Advisor – Financial Advisor
Management Trainee Investment Advisor
Investment Advisor, Management Trainee
Financial Advisor – Investment Advisor Representative
Investment Advisor
Credit Risk Manager and Modeler
Private Bank – Alternative Investments Group – Head of Equity Strategies
Senior Equities Compliance Officer
Equity Sales Trader
Credit Risk Manager
Portfolio Manager II
Execution Trader, Fixed Income & Protected Growth
Trader/Portfolio Manager
High Frequency Trader / Scientist
Associate – Senior Sales Trader
Proprietary Equity Trader
Experienced Equity Options Trader
Equity Sales Trader

Subscribe to Trading Jobs by Email





China Bails Out World’s Largest Maker Of Solar Panels

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Chinese local governments are facing the prospect of major unemployment problems should the swathe of solar panel makers, that have been subsidized from birth to now-near-death, continue to suffer from US and European tariffs (as well as simple gross mis-allocation of capital amid massive over-capacity). However, as is the way of the mal-investing world today, no barrier to rational economic theory is too low for government status-quo maintenance as it would appear that local banks have been strong-armed into extending loans to keep them alive. As Reuters reports, debt-laden (NYSE-traded) SunTech Power Holdings  – which is close to removal from the exchange due to its dismal equity price – has just received new ‘bailout’ loans. First, it was a race to debase. Now, we have the race to bailout the world’s most worthless companies (especially in channel-stuffed industries) as the New Normal trade wars continue.

 

Via Reuters:

Banks in Wuxi, Jiangsu province, have extended new loans totalling 200 million yuan ($31.73 million) to locally headquartered solar power giant Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd, the Shanghai government-owned China Business News reported on Friday, citing anonymous sources.

 

Suntech, the world’s largest maker of solar panels, whose shares hit a high of $90 in early 2008, runs the risk of being removed from the New York Stock Exchange for failing to keep the average closing price of its shares higher than $1 over the last 30 trading days as of Sept. 10, Suntech said in a statement on Sept. 21.

 

Shares in Suntech, like rivals JA Solar Holdings Co , Trina Solar Ltd and Yingli Green Energy Holding Co, have fallen sharply in the past three years as sales prices have tumbled, squeezed by declining demand in export markets and overcapacity at home.

 

Debt-laden Suntech’s shares have also been hit after it said in July that its partner in a solar development fund might have defrauded it with a bogus collateral pledge of hundreds of millions of euros of German bonds.

 

Local governments that invested heavily in supporting the development of solar power companies in their regions now face the likelihood of big local unemployment problems if those firms collapse. Last week Suntech announced it would lay off around 1,500 people from one of


continue reading





On the Cliff

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Bruce Krasting.

 

Absent some earth shaking event between now and November, Obama is going to win, the House will remain in the hands of the Republicans and the Senate will continue to be equally divided. The war between Reds and Blues will be just as bad as it was a year ago. The day after the election, the fight over the fiscal cliff will commence. I expect it will be ugly.

 

-I think there is zero probability that all of the issues now on the cliff will be pushed off to some future period. (Ultimate-can-kicking) Some of the cutbacks/tax increases that are now scheduled, will happen.

 

-I put the odds on falling off the cliff without any compromises at 40%. This scenario comes about if the Reps and Dems can’t agree on anything. If that is the case, we fall very hard on January 2. (No-can-kicking)

 

-Therefore, I see a 60% chance of a compromise that softens the consequences of the fiscal cliff, but does not eliminate it entirely. (Semi-can-kicking, but still kicking ourselves in the face)

 

If there is to be a compromise, it will be interesting to see who gets what, and who gives up what. It might play out with the following results:

 

I) The 2% reduction in FICA taxes is history. As of 1/1/13 every worker is getting hit with a 2% tax increase. This is a very regressive tax increase.

 

 

II) The Bush tax cuts for those making more than $250k are gone. This is a very Progressive tax increase.

 

III) The Bush tax cuts for those making less than $250k will be retained. This “centrist” compromises is the result of the "give" on #s I and II. Both sides will be able to claim that they did their best for “Middle Class Workers”.

 

IV) The Alternative Minimum Tax will be adjusted for inflation and will be fully phased in over a period of three years. This tax will hit 40m taxpayers (up from only 4m today). This is most definitely a middle class tax increase.

 

V) The capital gains tax rate is going to go up to at least 25%.

 

 

The result of I – V is that everyone who works, or has…
continue reading





Importance of Patience and Persistence in Trading

Importance of Patience and Persistence in Trading 

View the lesson learned from a dramatic sell-off in the E-Mini S&P 500 in this educational video clip by Elliott Wave International.

EWI Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy combines actionable advice that's easy to understand with a no-nonsense take on trading psychology.

You can get immediate access to additional trading lessons like this one each day when you register for EWI's Trader Education Week FREE >> (Note: this offer is good till Oct. 3)

 

 

Announcing Trader Education Week: Learn How to Spot Trading Opportunities in Your Charts

Don't miss this chance to learn from Jeffrey Kennedy in a daily online video lessons, Sept 26-Oct 3. You'll learn:

  • How to discover trading opportunities using the Elliott Wave Principle
  • The different types of moving averages and how to interpret them
  • How to use Fibonacci ratios to calculate price targets
  • Candlestick and bar patterns that have proven reliability
  • How to apply Jeffrey's proprietary channeling technique
  • How to set your protective stops
  • And much more!

Plus, you have immediate access to 4 introductory lessons.

Register for Trader Education Week now >>





Britain’s Labour leader vows to break up banks

Britain's Labour leader vows to break up banks (via AFP)

Britain's opposition Labour leader Ed Miliband vowed on Sunday to break up the country's biggest banks if his party comes to power at the next general election. Miliband, whose party enjoys a 10-point lead in the latest polls, told the Observer newspaper that Labour would force banks to split their…





Massive Microbial Population Colonized Land 2.75 Billion Years Ago

Massive Microbial Population Colonized Land 2.75 Billion Years Ago (via Planetsave)

New research from the University of Washington is suggesting that the earliest land microbes were probably much more widespread than previously thought, creating oxygen and weathering pyrite, which is an iron sulfide mineral that releases sulfur and molybdenum into the oceans when ‘weathered.’…





Rent or own? The new sharing economy values access over ownership

Rent or own? The new sharing economy values access over ownership (via The Christian Science Monitor)

Lisa Gansky likes to share, and usually with strangers. A typical day for her looks something like this: •She leaves her house in Napa, Calif., at 7:30 a.m. and drives to the ferry, parks her Mini Cooper, and takes the 60-minute ride across the bay to San Francisco. •If it's raining, she'll pull…





Thousands on Paris streets to denounce EU ‘austerity’ pact

Thousands on Paris streets to denounce EU 'austerity' pact (via AFP)

Thousands of left-wing protesters took to the streets of Paris on Sunday to denounce the European Union fiscal pact forcing governments to stick to tough deficit limits. Chanting "Resistance!", protesters marched through central Paris in a rally organisers said was aimed at fighting EU-imposed austerity…





Presenting The World’s Biggest Hedge Fund You Have Never Heard Of

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The world’s largest hedge fund is not located in the top floor of some shiny, floor-to-ceiling glass clad skyscraper in New York, London, Hong Kong or Shanghai. It isn’t in some sprawling mansion in Greenwich or Stamford which houses a state of the art trading desk behind a crocodile-filled moat. Instead it can be found in tiny, nondescript office in Suite 225 located on 730 Sandhill Road in Reno, Nevada.

That’s not possible” one may say – the world’s largest hedge fund is Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater, which at last check had about $100 billion in AUM (and which has so far had a less than stellar performance in 2012, underperforming the S&P by a substantial margin). Turns out it is: the fund which was at $117.2 billion as of June 30, and which has lately been growing at a pace of about $15 billion per quarter (which would put it at about $130 billion currently), is none other than Braeburn Capital, a Nevada-based asset management corporation.

Who is Braeburn?

Braeburn is a subsidiary of another far more famous company, which since 2006 has had one simple task: manage the cash of the parent company.

At Braeburn’s inception, the cash pile was modest, yet absolutely massive in unlevered terms, at just over $10 billion. Fast forward 6 years, and the massive cash pile has now grown to be epically gargantuan. Of course, the parent company in question is none other than Apple, whose publicly reported cash horde at June 30, 2012 was a whopping $117,221,000,000. This is the AUM of Braeburn.

Any substantial follow up diligence on Braeburn will not reveal much if anything.

CapitalIQ has the following description of the firm: “Braeburn Capital Inc. is the asset management arm of Apple Inc. The firm invests in the public equity markets. Braeburn Capital Inc. was founded in 2006 and is based in Reno, Nevada.” And that’s it – there is no breakdown of which “public equity market” investments Braeburn is invested in, as is to be expected.

Bloomberg provides the following minimalist information:

Some more useful information cn be found in the Nevada Annual Report of tax-filing entities:

  • Entity Name: BRAEBURN CAPITAL, INC.
  • Filing Status: Active    
  • Date Filed: 10/03/2005


continue reading





 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Online shopping: why its unstoppable growth may be coming to an end

 

Online shopping: why its unstoppable growth may be coming to an end

What goes up … Bogdan Vija

Courtesy of Ralf Seifert, IMD Business School and Richard Markoff, EPFL- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne

Many people probably assume that online stores are making a fo...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

The Road To Perdition - 10 Cautionary Tenets About US Air Power

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by William Astore via TomDispatch.com,

The American Cult of Bombing and Endless War

From Syria to Yemen in the Middle East, Libya to Somalia in Africa, Afghanistan to Pakistan in South Asia, an American aerial curtain has descended across a huge swath of the planet.

Its stated purpose: combatting terrorism.

Its primary method: constant surveillance and bombing -- and yet more bombing.

...

more from Tyler

Insider Scoop

5 Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Hours Session

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Gainers
  • PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: PHAS) shares are up 18% after reporting preliminary results from a Phase 2a clinical trial of PB2452 for reversal of antiplatelet activity.
  • Lannett Company, Inc. (NYSE: LCI) shares are up 4% after reporting a restructuring plan related to Cody Labs. The company says it sees incurring around $5 million in costs to implement Cody API Restructuring Plan.
  • EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) shares spiked up 3% after announcing it sees second-quar...


http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Biotech

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

If you’ve got the raw data, why not mine it for more info? Sergey Nivens/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Sarah Catherine Nelson, University of Washington

Back in 2016, Helen (a pseudonym) took three different direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic tests: AncestryDNA, 23andMe and FamilyTreeDNA. She saw genetic testing as a way...



more from Biotech

Kimble Charting Solutions

Gold Bugs Index Attempting 8-Year Breakout, Says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Gold Bugs fans about to receive positive news they haven’t had in years? Possible!

This chart looks at the Gold Bugs Index (HUI) on a weekly basis over a couple of decades. The index has spent the majority of the past 20-year inside of rising channel (1).

The index hit the top of the channel in 2011, where it peaked and started creating a series of lower highs for the past 8-years, which has formed line (2).

The index is now kissing the underside of falling resistance and the underside the 2016/2017 lows at (3).

Joe Friday Just The Fa...



more from Kimble C.S.

Chart School

Silver Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

The folks in the federal reserve will debase the US dollar currency to an extreme degree silver will finally lift off the floor.. 

Note: Readers should re watch the silver back screen news video, here.

The following video looks at price action and Wyckoff logic.

More from RTT Tv






Chart in video

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.




If gold moves, silver wi...

more from Chart School

Digital Currencies

Cryptos Are Crashing As Asia Opens, Bitcoin Back Below $8k

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Having survived the day's bloodbath in US tech stocks, cryptos are crashing in the early Asian session, apparently playing catch-down to the day's de-risking.

While no catalyst is immediately evident, there are some reports noting 13 large global banks are preparing to launch digital versions of major global currencies next year, though we suspect this drop was more algorithmic that fundamental-driven.

...



more from Bitcoin

ValueWalk

More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...



more from ValueWalk

Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



more from Our Members

Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



more from M.T.M.

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



more from OpTrader

Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

...

more from Promotions





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


As Seen On:




About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>