Courtesy of Mish.
Reader Andrea who is from Italy but now lives in France writes …
Hi Mish,
Here is a link to a web site that produces charting polls for Italian elections.
Click on the tab “I quattro poli”. It shows a polynomial regression of the four major political parties.
Just for your info, a short translation of the legenda: Centro-Sinistra is the Center-Left coalition, Centro-Destra is the Center-Right coalition, Centro is of course Center (actually it is the coalition more supportive of Monti and actually seeking to have him for a second term as PM), and M5S is the usual acronym for Movimento 5 Stelle (Five Star Movement).
As you can see, Center-Left is for the moment the clear winner and M5S has now overcome Center-Right. I still think that a stall in Senate is likely anyway (which in some way could favor Monti for a second term as PM).
The other remarkable thing is that the people declaring today that they will not vote is as higher than 40% (some polls give it close to 50%).
This weekend the primary elections of Center-left took place: Pierluigi Bersani and Matteo Renzi scored first and second and a second round will be needed to choose between the 2, as nobody reached 50% in the first round. Bersani is the current secretary of the party and Matteo Renzi is the mayor of Florence and a kind of young outsider.
Best regards,
AC
Top Four Parties
Polling data appears to be from mid-October, not June as shown on the slidebar….
