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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Mortgage Applications Decline 13th Time in 15 Weeks; Are Mortgage Rates Cheap? What’s Next Housing?

Courtesy of Mish.

Here are a couple of charts courtesy of Bankrate. The annotations are mine.

15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

Explaining the Rebound in Housing

If you are looking for what fueled the rebound in home sales and the increase in home prices, look no further than the above chart.

In the two-year period from December 2010 until December 2012, the rate on popular 30-year mortgages fell from 4.97% to 3.42%, a decline of 155 basis points (1.55 percentage points). In April, rates were still near record lows at 3.56%.

Are Mortgage Rates Cheap?

From the record low in December 2012, 30-year fixed rate mortgages have risen 97 basis points to 4.39%.

While still low historically, it’s the direction of the trend that is important, not the absolute number. A one percentage point increase in rates decreases housing affordability by 10-11%.

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