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Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Comment by OptionSage

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  1. OptionSage

    Turtle,

    In this strategy your concerns over short interest, float, MMs forcing stock one direction or another are mitigated by the hedging inherent in the strategy. If this was a trade heavily biased one direction or another then movements of the stock opposite to a placed trade hurt the position. In this trade I wouldn’t care about any short term manipulation. In fact if the expectation of the stock was to rise but it fell, I would simply target a level at which I would roll the long put down to bank some put profits and similar approach to the one Phil outlined could be employed if the stock rallied.
    With respect to volume, put/call ratio I think you it is not as big a concern for you provided the bid-ask spreads are not too wide. For me, anything around $0.10 is fine but over $0.20 it starts to become prohibitive – unless it’s a very high priced stock like a Google where you should expect such spreads.
    The key thing to focus on is option premiums and more specifically the cumulative return of short option premiums and how they fare relative to the long options i.e. can you pay off your risk over time and generate handsome profits.
    OptionSage



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