Archive for 2013

Comment by stockbern

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  1. stockbern
    May 20th, 2010 at 9:38 am
    David,   Update?

Comment by jomptien

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  1. jomptien
    May 18th, 2010 at 11:21 am
    usually stop is 3%, making it around 14.21.
    still hangin in there at least until after 2pm like David said

Comment by David Ristau

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  1. David Ristau
    September 17th, 2010 at 9:41 am

    Oxen Alert – Entry/Exit

    ALKS – I got into this one at 14.95, and I am looking to exit at 15.25 and higher.

    OSK – I am involved at 27.85, and I am looking to exit at 27.30 and lower. 

    Good Investing!

Comment by David Ristau

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  1. David Ristau
    November 12th, 2010 at 3:39 pm

     First Solar Report:

Comment by yipcarl

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  1. yipcarl
    May 18th, 2010 at 10:36 am
    Yea I’m pretty convinced we aren’t fading this rally to close, I think it’s just temp pullback I would agree… if CHS get’s to 55 I’m doubling down…

Comment by David Ristau

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  1. David Ristau
    May 18th, 2010 at 2:26 pm

    The Goldman -

    Great insight, and I appreciate your concern. Only time will tell.

    Yip -

    Don’t know what to do with EUO. I think we should take our wounds. 

Comment by etradingsignals

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  1. etradingsignals
    November 12th, 2010 at 12:26 pm
    Are you out of CSUN? Aren’t we a bit over-concentrated on the solar sector?
    Any over-night trades coming up?

Gauging Investor Sentiment with Twitter: New Update

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Advisor Perspectives welcomes guest contributions. The views presented here do not necessarily represent those of Advisor Perspectives.

The Downside Hedge Twitter sentiment indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) gave a consolidation warning at the close on Wednesday this week. Smoothed sentiment finally broke below its uptrend line that has been in place for six months. It also closed below zero. The volume and intensity of bearish tweets has outnumbered the bullish tweets to the point that the trend of sentiment has turned down. When this occurs against the current trend of the market it serves as warning that a period of consolidation is likely. However, since it is against the trend it does not constitute a sell signal.

The daily indicator had held up fairly well in the face of declining prices, but the inability of traders to push SPX back above 1700 after several attempts resulted in bullish tweets drying up. Fewer traders tweeted reasons for the market to push higher while the bearish traders became more confident. It is interesting to note that sentiment declined enough to create a consolidation warning while SPX was still trading in the range between 1685 and 1700. After the break lower the daily indicator printed higher readings. Much of this is a result of many market participants who believe the 50 day moving average will hold as support.

Our sentiment indicator for Volatility (VIX) isn’t confirming the recent weakness in the market. The consolidation warnings in April had confirmation from volatility as sentiment for VIX was rising ahead of the weakness. Even the sharp rally in May didn’t have much impact on high readings for volatility. Currently sentiment for VIX is in a clear down trend which suggests traders don’t believe volatility will rise substantially in the near future.

The break below 1675 on SPX brought with it renewed calls for several levels below the market. The most often tweeted levels were 1650, 1620, and 1600. Market participants were still calling for 1700 and 1710 until Friday when it was clear that SPX would print a second weekly lower close. Now that the market is below 1675 which had been a major Twitter support level it becomes resistance.

Sector sentiment reflects weakness in technology stocks this week, but is otherwise indicating…
continue reading

Comment by yipcarl

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  1. yipcarl
    May 18th, 2010 at 10:45 am
    I held off…waiting to find a bottom here on the SP500 keeps going down…

Comment by yipcarl

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  1. yipcarl
    May 18th, 2010 at 10:50 am
    Uh oh…


Zero Hedge

Enemy Of The People?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Via The Zman blog,

There has never been a time when normal people did not know the media was biased and biased in a predictable direction. For every non-liberal in the media, there were at least ten liberals. The ratio was probably higher, but then, as now, some lefties liked to pretend they were independents or some third option.

The media used to invest a lot of time denying they had a bias and an agenda, but the only people who believed them were on the Left, which had the odd effect of confirming they had a bias and an agenda.


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Phil's Favorites

A 2019 Earnings Recession?


A 2019 Earnings Recession?

Courtesy of 

Shout to Leigh!

On the new Talk Your Book – Josh Brown is joined by Leigh Drogen of Estimize, one of the leading providers of crowdsourced financial and economic data to talk about the trend in corporate profits that could potentially lead to an earnings recession later this year.

What is the thing that Leigh is seeing in the data that Wall Street isn’t yet picking up on? What segment of the stock market is most at risk? Why is the crowd smarter than the narrow consensus of Wall Street analysts?

Check out Estimize ...

more from Ilene


D.E. Shaw Investment Calls For Leadership Change At EQT

By ActivistInsight. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Elliott Management has offered to acquire QEP Resources for approximately $2.1 billion, contending the oil and gas explorer’s turnaround efforts have done little to lift the company’s share price. The company responded and said that a thorough review of the proposition is imperative in order to properly act in the best interests of shareholders, “taking into account the company’s other alternatives and current market conditions.” The news came only a month after Travelport Worldwide agreed to sell itself to Siris Capital Group and Elliott’s private equity arm Evergreen Coast Capital for $4.4 billion in cash and two months after Athenahealth was bought by Veritas and Evergreen for $5.7 bi...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Gold & Silver Testing Important Breakout Levels!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Gold and Silver from a long-term perspective have created a series of lower highs over the past 8-years. Will 2019 bring a change to this trend? A big test is in play!

Gold since the lows in 2016 has created a series of higher lows, while Silver may have created a double bottom.

Gold & Silver are currently facing break attempts a (1) and (2). These falling resistance lines have disappointed metals bulls for the past few years.

The direction of Gold and Silver weeks and months from now should be highly influenced by what each does as they are attempting to break above important resistance levels.

To become a member of Kimbl...

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Insider Scoop

UBS Says Disney's Streaming Ambition Gives It A 'New Hope'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related DIS Despite Some Risks, Analysts Still Expecting Double Digit Growth From Communications Services In Q4 ... more from Insider

Digital Currencies

Russia Prepares To Buy Up To $10 Billion In Bitcoin To Evade US Sanctions

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

While the market has been increasingly focused on the rising headwinds in the global economy in general, and China's economic slowdown in particular, while the media is obsessing over daily revelations that Trump may or may not have colluded with Russia to get elected, a far more critical, if underreported, shift has been taking place over the past year.

As we reported in June, whether due to concerns over draconian western sanctions and asset confiscations following the poisoning of former Russian military officer Sergei Skripal, or simply because it wanted to diversify away from the dollar, Russia liquidated virtually all of its Treasury holdings in the late spri...

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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's failure based on his personality, which was evident years ago. This article, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump became president, in July, 2016, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>