Archive for April, 2014

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Earnings for tonight:

    EBAY
    Consensus – 0.67
    Whisper – 0.69
    Average move – 6.4%
    Priced into Options – 4.7%

    PNRA
    Consensus – 1.52
    Whisper – 1.52
    Average move – 6.1%
    Priced into Options – 7.1% (May)

    STX
    Consensus – 1.26
    Whisper – 1.28
    Average move – 7.3%
    Priced into Options – 6.1%

    TWTR
    Consensus – (0.03)
    Whisper – (0.01)
    Average move – 10.1%
    Priced into Options – 13.2%

    Based on Earnings Whisper new statistical system, EBAY has more chances on the upside and STX more on the downside. No sure thing though. The other ones are neutral.







Comment by EricL

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  1. EricL

    Love the Yahoo Finance ‘top story’ right now:
    "Stocks are down as news of an improving job market stirred hopes of an improvement in the economy."
     
    Says it all really.
     
    http://finance.yahoo.com/







Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    AAPL/QC – Yes it does, look again.  They were trading at $21 earlier, last trade was $20.60.  







Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Tomorrow after the close, we'll have CSX which I'll watch for impact on others like Ags and Coal and of course INTC which will impact tech in general.







Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Tech earnings guidance: Cray, Dolby, SolarWinds

    Yesterday, 05:13 PM ET · CRAY

    • CRAY still expects 2014 revenue of $600M, of which only $75M will be in Q2 (below a $95.9M consensus). Full-year gross margin is still expected to be in the mid-30s. Shares -2.1% AH. (Q1 results, PR)
    • Dolby (DLB) expects FQ3 revenue of $205M-$215M and EPS of $0.38-$0.43 vs. a consensus of $216.9M and $0.32. FY14 (ends in September) guidance is for revenue of $930M-$950M, above a $921.8M consensus. Shares +1.3% AH. (FQ2 results, PR)
    • SolarWinds (SWI) expects Q2 revenue of $96.5M-$98.5M and EPS of $0.35-$0.37, below a consensus of $98.8M and $0.38. Full-year guidance is better: revenue of $409M-$421M and EPS of $1.60-$1.70 vs. a consensus of $415.6M and $1.61. Shares roughly unchanged for now. (Q1 results, PR)
    var isMC=true; var adSize=’320×50′; var ord = Math.floor(Math.random()*10e12); var seekingalpha_ad_src=’http://ad.doubleclick.net/N6001/adj/sek.mobile/app;sz=320×50,320×250;x=x;tile=1;d=mobile;t=app;mcid=true;mcid=1706543;s=CRAY;s=DLB;s=SWI;’+dart_my_vocation_and_profiles()+’ord=’+ord+’;dev=ip?’; document.write(”);







Comment by RMM

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  1. RMM

    Phil: this is good but it depresses me more than tthe market.
    How do you get or have all these provoking pictures, they are not cool as 1020 says, they are deeply disturbing.
    First we have a financial mess inn the uSA now in Europe.
    Deep down the wealth distribution is a root cause: the gradient between rich and the others is far too great, the rich boys running the financial system cannot even control these creations anymore.
    Its true: we the people only can change things. The future does not look too good.







Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    U.S. Economy To Enter Recession In Next 12 Months Or Less

    Yesterday, 03:41 PM ET | by Profit Confidential

    By Michael Lombardi, MBAAn economy is said to be technically in a recession when it experiences two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth.The biggest portion of the U.S. GDP calculation is consumer spending; then comes investments, government spending, and, finally, net of exports. By far, consumer spending is the biggest factor in calculating GDP. All you need is a …

    Read more at Seeking Alpha:
    http://seekingalpha.com/article/2173803?source=ipadportfolioapp_email

    Sent from the Seeking Alpha Portfolio app. Get the app.


    Having trouble clicking the link?

    Portfolio app:
    http://seekingalpha.com/download-app?source=ipadportfolioappmailarticle







Comment by scottmi

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  1. scottmi

    ARIA/Pharm – still a buyout candidate for May expirations? roll out the bull call spreads?







Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    From Bloomberg, Apr 30, 2014, 12:01:13 AM


    April 29 (Bloomberg) — Kenneth Rogoff, a professor at Harvard University, Nouriel Roubini, co-founder of Roubini Global Economics LLC, and John Taylor, a professor at Stanford University, talk about U.S. fiscal and monetary policy, and the global economy.
    The Wall Street Journal’s Gerard Baker moderates the panel at the Milken Institute 2014 Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California. (Source: Bloomberg)

    The U.S. economy probably grew in
    the first quarter at the slowest pace in a year as harsh winter
    weather chilled consumers and businesses, economists project a
    report today to show.

    To read the entire article, go to http://bloom.bg/1fwiEu9
    Sent from the Bloomberg iPad application. Download the free application at http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/bloomberg-for-ipad/id364304764?mt=8







Comment by gerryf

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  1. gerryf

    YODI

    Nice to see you back. I gave up on the CAT backratios because CAT hasn't  been going down or staying flat! ! For several months I have been buying a 3x $5  spread and selling 3x puts…netting $700-$750 max  on the 3x  spread.  For Jun and July I switched to a $2.5 spread. Example JUN 95/97.5 BCS with $95 put net cost .36.   Put out $118 for the 3x  play that returns $750.  

    Playing around… a good run.  THX







 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Coronavirus: the blow to the Chinese economy could be felt for years

 

Coronavirus: the blow to the Chinese economy could be felt for years

Courtesy of Chusu He, Coventry University

Investors are still being fairly complacent about the novel coronavirus. After the number of new daily cases suddenly shot up to more than 15,000 on February 12 following more than a week of decline, there were some jitters in the markets. With Chinese authorities saying the increase was due to a decision to broaden the definition for diagnosing people, there were falls in the region of 1% in European markets, and smaller retrenchments in Asia and North America.

It is...



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Biotech & Health

Coronavirus: the blow to the Chinese economy could be felt for years

 

Coronavirus: the blow to the Chinese economy could be felt for years

Courtesy of Chusu He, Coventry University

Investors are still being fairly complacent about the novel coronavirus. After the number of new daily cases suddenly shot up to more than 15,000 on February 12 following more than a week of decline, there were some jitters in the markets. With Chinese authorities saying the increase was due to a decision to broaden the definition for diagnosing people, there were falls in the region of 1% in European markets, and smaller retrenchments in Asia and North America.

It is...



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Zero Hedge

China Adopts 'Cultural Revolution-Style' Social Controls To Crush Outbreak As Death Toll Nears 2,000

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Summary:

  • Taiwan reports 1st coronavirus death
  • Hubei reports 1,933 new cases, 100 deaths
  • Hubei health officials report 1,933 new cases, 100 new deaths
  • Taiwan taxi driver who died from virus carried passengers from mainland, Hong Kong, Macau
  • Singapore reports 3 more cases
  • Total cases aboard 'Diamond Princess' climbs to 355 as US prepares to evacuate citizens
  • Indonesia says 6 passengers from Westerdam cruise ship tested negative
  • There are now at least 68,500 cases worldwide, and at least 1,665 de...


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Members' Corner

How to Stop Bill Barr

 

How to Stop Bill Barr

We must remove this cancer on our democracy.

Courtesy of Greg Olear, at PREVAIL, author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia

...



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The Technical Traders

Is The Technology Sector Setting Up For A Crash? Part I

Courtesy of Technical Traders

One thing that continues to amaze our research team is the total scale and scope of the Capital Shift which is taking place across the globe.  For almost 5+ years, foreign investors have been piling into the US stock market chasing the stronger US dollar and continued advancement of US share prices. It is almost like there is no other place on the planet that will allow investors to pool capital into such a variety of strong assets while protecting against foreign capital risks.  Yet the one big question remains – when will a price reversion event hit the US stock
market?

So many researchers, even our team of researchers, believe we have found the keys to unloc...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Joe Friday Says Germany (DAX) Could Rally 30%, Happy Valentines Day For The Bulls!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

German DAX Index “weekly” Chart

The German DAX is one of the more important global stock market indices, as it represents the largest economy / market in the Euro Zone.

So it would be a real treat for the bulls to see this stock market index breakout as we celebrate Valentine’s Day.

The facts, Ma’am. Just the facts; The German DAX looks to have formed a bullish ascending triangle over the past 3 years and it is currently attempting to breakout above the top at (1)....



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Insider Scoop

Nissan Shares Tumble To Decade Low After Q3 Earnings Miss

Courtesy of Benzinga

The shares of Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. (OTC: NSANY) dropped to a decade low on Thursday after the company missed third-quarter earnings estimates and significantly cut its annual forecast for the financial 2019 year.

What Happened

Nissan, on Thursday, reported a net loss o...



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ValueWalk

Russell 2000 Index (RUT) hits an almost one-month high

By Gorilla Trades. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Ad the Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL: RUT) hit an almost one-month high today, commenting on today’s trading Gorilla Trades strategist Ken Berman said:

Q4 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL: RUT) Outperforms Large-Cap Benchmarks

While the overnight session was nothing short of scary stocks held on to most of yesterday's gains and small-caps even extended their winning streak. The Russell 2000 Index (INDEXRUSSELL: RUT) hit an almost one-month high today, finishing higher for the fourth day in a row while outperforming the large-cap benchmarks, and since the Volatility...



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Chart School

Dow theory warning from the Utilities Index

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Charles Dow died in 1902, and the investors should thank him for his ever lasting Dow Theory Analysis.

Carrying on this blog theme looking at the Utility stocks. Previous post.
Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs
Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally ends



You can learn about Dow Theory here

This post is concerned wi...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Price May Hit $27K All-Time High By Summer, Predicts Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by William Suberg via CoinTelegraph.com,

Bitcoin is primed for average gains of almost 200% over the next six months, one of its best-known supporters has told mainstream media. 

...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Promotions

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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