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Monday, June 17, 2024

Comment by palotay

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  1. palotay

    I suspect that Phil would say that you should focus on 10 positions, instead of 20.  If you follow Phil's system correctly, it can sometimes take 2-3 years for you to work into positions.  I wouldn't focus on making 20% the first year, as it will take time to scale into positions.  I also think you will be surprised how much you can make with just a 1x entry across 10 positions.  If you decide that your initial allocation is $5k, on 10 positions, that will get you 50% invested, and about 25% of your available buying power.  One of the positions could be IRBT, selling 2 2017 $30 Puts, and buying 2 2017 30/42 spreads.  This uses about $7k of allocation, and makes about $2,600 in 2 years if IRBT hits $42.  You can do similar positions on Apple, CLF, CCJ, F, BRCM, etc.  If you did 10 positions that profited in a similar manner, you have the capacity to earn 26% in 2 years, or 13% per year.  And you will have tons of buying power to take advantage of dips in the market.  The most important thing to focus on is avoiding making a huge mistake.  Keeping your allocations low, and avoiding the allure of shorting momentum stocks will go a long way towards helping you avoid the mistakes I have made over the years.  Another thing to watch out for is not spending too much money on hedges.  



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