Archive for 2014

Comment by rj_jarboe

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  1. rj_jarboe

    The last 6 mo. VZ & T have traded neck and neck. VZ 's constant outperformance may be coming to an end.

Comment by cturb

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  1. cturb

    TSLA today's action could be interesting. With the halt on short selling, I wouldn't be surprised to see a bit of a bear trap set today for those people piling into the puts

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Not even getting the weak bounce so far.   Don't forget, failure to make a weak bounce and finishing down 1.25% indicates follow-through lower the next day.   What we then want to know is whether it is accelerating or decelerating (closer to 0.625% or 2.5%).  We are certainly primed for a 10% sell-off and -1.25%, -2.5%, -5% and then decelerating to -1.25% and 0.625% would be a perfect pullback.  

    From 16,500 on the main index, 10% down is 14,850 so 15,000ish is about as low as we expect to go – even if things get ugly.  The 200 dma is 15,400, which is 6.66% off 16,500 – the mark of the Blankfein!


    TSLA/Yodi – No rational person would but keep in mind that the company's entire float is 83M shares and, according to Yahoo, 106% of it is held by Institutions and Mutual Funds.    FMR alone owns 11.6M shares, BNP 7M, TRow Price 6M…  So "people" don't own TSLA at all and, what few people do own it (as opposed to day trading or options trading, where they never get the shares) are mostly wealthy TSLA owners who just paid $90,000 for a car and don't think owning 100 shares for $17,500 is strange at all.  Those same people are mainly in California and obviously wealthy and they live in places where they see lots of people with Teslas and lots of people talking about them.  In my town, or even  in NYC, for that matter, I see zero Teslas and I know zero people who want one or even care about the company at all.  But, with that small a float, they don't need NY/NJ to know or care about their stock – they literally only have to fool some of the people all of time.  

    VZ/StJ – I always did like them better but, this year, I ran them both down for our trade of the year ideas and T seemed stronger going forward.  If VZ gets cheaper, that may change.  

    You're welcome Mill.  You have to have some rules in your head – even if you end up not following them because at least then you KNOW you are playing on the fringes.  

    TOS/Scott – That's why I'm ignoring all those pop-ups urging me to run the update.  

Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    Ford profit is down on international sales….

    P&G cuts full year guidance….

    Dow Chemical beats, but China holds it back…(hummmm), and the EU is a big part of sales.


Comment by biodieselchris

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  1. biodieselchris

    I bought Dogecoin at 3 and it's at 25* in two weeks.



Comment by matt1966

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  1. matt1966

    Robert Rubin will catch softballs from the US Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission this week.  So will Greenspan and Citi’s Prince at some point.

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    VZ / Phil – They seem to be more resilient than T in the face of a more aggressive T-Mobile. I guess it's easier to poach T's customer for T-Mobile because the networks are more compatible. 

    Overall, since the 2008 crisis, VZ has been a much better investment (up 65% compared to 17% for T) and I don't see that changing the long run.

Comment by pentaxon

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  1. pentaxon

    I have updated my stock options volume indicator, and to me it looks like not everbody is that optimistic regarding the coming floods of money.

    Maybe the indicator is not right this time, but it should at least be considered as a warning sign that the outcome could be different…

Comment by yodi

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  1. yodi

    Phil How do we repair LULU

    I hold besides others Jun14 60 c paid 5.65 now 1.16 Jun14 65 caller sold for 3.65 now 1.16

    and sold a Jun14 57.5 putter for 4.93 now 10.92. Well still 5 month to go. But I am looking to roll the long call to Jan15 45c at a cost of 7.60 leaving the Jun14 65 caller to become worthless and selling an other 57.5 Jan15 caller for 3.95 possible hang on with the Jun14 57.5 putter at this time as there  is still 1.40 of premium

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc


Zero Hedge

World Trade War I: US Asks South Korea To Join Anti-Huawei Campaign

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The bilateral trade war between the US and China is gradually becoming a global trade war of global geopolitical and commercial dominance between the US and Chinese spheres of influence.

Shortly after the two largest mobile phone companies in the UK decided against launching Huawei-built 5G phones this morning, and roughly around the time a bevy of Japanese tech and telecom companies including ARM Holdings, Panasonic and SoftBank all imposed a boycott on supplying Huawei with mission critical components joining Australia, and New Zealand as major US allies to end commercial relat...

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Phil's Favorites

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations


Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

rblfmr /

Courtesy of John Colley, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

The year of the tech IPO is 2019. Uber went public on May 10 with a US$82.4 billion valuation. Fellow ride-sharing app Lyft floated in March with a U$24 billion valuation and Pinterest had a US$10 billion IPO in April...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...

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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.


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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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