Archive for 2014

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Maybe we get a bounce:

Comment by scottmi

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  1. scottmi

    TSLA/Phil – why do them at all in the income portfolio, its a freaking momo.

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Sorry, that's if it crosses back under, of course!  With tight stops at the $7 line. 

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Good morning Juliet (late again!) – it was great seeing you guys there as well. 

    Jobs/StJ – Absolutely we're shooting ourselves in the foot.  Same goes for lack of infrastructure spending and lack of Government spending in General (even war).  Of course, from an objective economic standpoint, this IS the price you pay on the other side of stimulus if you ever want to balance your books.   If your family overspends on a vacation – then it's mac and cheese every Wednesday the next month – that sort of thing.  Of course, Government spending is not like family spending and the Government doesn't actually NEED to balance it's books but that's a whole other economic discussion.   The bottom line is, Bush spent $5Tn he didn't have trying to prop up the economy, waging wars, helping his friends avoid taxation, etc.  It didn't help and the economy collapse anyway and then Obama has spent $5Tn trying to clean up Bush's mess.  

    Unfortunately, now the interest on $17Tn of deficit spending is $250Bn a year, which used to sound like a lot of money before we had $17Tn deficits…  Essentially, it's 10% of our total tax revenues going to pay interest on the debt – and that's only the 3% rate.  If rates ever go up, we are massively screwed.  

    OK, NOW oil is back down to $95 and struggling to hold it so now we can short it below that line.  Watch the Dollar (81.135) as we don't want to see it go lower.  Gold is still a good long crossing the $1,280 line (/YG).

    Very nice Wombat!

Comment by RMM

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  1. RMM

    SingaSteve: am concerned about my 1/4 cover only with AAPL jan 95, what additional cover would you want to do ??

Comment by mrmocha

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  1. mrmocha

    Momos are on the march – TSLA, TWTR, NFLX.  PCLN lagging so grabbing a few calls for the day.

Comment by angelcur

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  1. angelcur

    appl about to go negative needs to hold 500

Comment by pstas

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  1. pstas

    DT- Phil, your thoughts on this? The recent pull back translates to an 8% yield. They are the weak sister here with T-Mobile and are suffering some of the same landline losses as VZ and T. However, there is the mobile and broadband aspects in Europe coupled with the forecasted relative strength of the German economy ("ring of fire’). I note that the dividend is an annual payment which means the stock would be particularly susceptible to a call away on a buy write. Not sure how to defend against this.  

Comment by novice

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  1. novice

    What is your preferred POMO trade for tomorrow. I am considering the indexes S&P/Dow/Comp  which have retraced their prior day losses. example 10/20.

Comment by 1020

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  1. 1020

    Some of you may think it's odd to say, but I do feel that 9-11 was the catalyst and the excuse leading to much of the issues we face today.
    I'm sorry to say that OSAMA accomplished much more than a successful attack on 9-11, his deeds will haunt the "infidels" for many more years to come….. 
    Chin Up Everyone – Things really could be worse…. :)


Zero Hedge

World Trade War I: US Asks South Korea To Join Anti-Huawei Campaign

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The bilateral trade war between the US and China is gradually becoming a global trade war of global geopolitical and commercial dominance between the US and Chinese spheres of influence.

Shortly after the two largest mobile phone companies in the UK decided against launching Huawei-built 5G phones this morning, and roughly around the time a bevy of Japanese tech and telecom companies including ARM Holdings, Panasonic and SoftBank all imposed a boycott on supplying Huawei with mission critical components joining Australia, and New Zealand as major US allies to end commercial relat...

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Phil's Favorites

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations


Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

rblfmr /

Courtesy of John Colley, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

The year of the tech IPO is 2019. Uber went public on May 10 with a US$82.4 billion valuation. Fellow ride-sharing app Lyft floated in March with a U$24 billion valuation and Pinterest had a US$10 billion IPO in April...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...

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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.


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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>