Archive for 2014

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Monsanto upgraded to Buy at Miller Tabak on upside surprise potential

    02:45 PM ET · MON

    • Monsanto (MON +1.2%) is upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $130 price target, up from $106, at Miller Tabak, noting that the Street is bracing for limited-to-no upside to FY 2014 guidance because of uncertainty over the impact of tightening credit on Ukrainian seed volumes going forward and Brazilian weather impact on Intacta supply availability for next season.
    • The firm sees a positive shift in underlying agriculture macro trends enabling MON to bridge the earnings hurdle between recent multi-year highs, Roundup margins, strong seed prices and the next burst of material margin uplift from Intacta and IFS products in FY 2016.
    var isMC=true; var adSize=’320×50′; var ord = Math.floor(Math.random()*10e12); var seekingalpha_ad_src=’;sz=320×50,320×250;x=x;tile=1;d=mobile;t=app;mcid=true;mcid=1650403;s=MON;’+dart_my_vocation_and_profiles()+’ord=’+ord+’;dev=ip?’; document.write(”);

Comment by RMM

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  1. RMM

    now Protection:

    have cashed in my DIA nov 107PUTS, only protection left is SKF jan 120 with 1/3 cover (oct 120),
    this does not seem to be enough,

    which one fits best ?
    Risk is general market drop, but particularly the higher priced techs,

    what is best conclusion ?

Comment by Burrben

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  1. Burrben


    Can you just post the link?  For those of us on mobile devices, all that text from an article we may not want to read kills the scrolling time.  

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    By the way, next Tuesday my plan is to do an entire Futures Trading Workshop at 1pm (see post above).  

    Panasonic/Shadow – What exactly would be Panasonic's goal?  The World's largest battery maker would partner with TSLA to teach them how to make batteries in America so they can compete with Panasonic?  Why doesn't Panasonic save time and just give TSLA half their money from now on?   

    TSLA/Wombat – Are you sure that's what you want to do?  Now you are playing bullish and you want to hedge your bullish play in case TSLA is not as strong as you think?  Doesn't sound at all like what you originally intended to be doing….  Earnings are coming and, if they miss and fall hard, are you going to double down and roll and make long TSLA a significant position in your portfolio for the long haul?  

    Good list of things to watch, Shadow. 

    LULU/Jbur – Nice job selling into the excitement.  

    GSK/Wombat – Quick recall limits downside exposure and cost of recall now known and they already fel from $56 to $53 (5%) on the rumors.  It's a $130Bn company that makes $9Bn a year and it wasn't something they did wrong in the first place.  In fact, done properly, they get a million people to throw their current batch in the trash (most people can't be bothered to do a recall) and buy new ones.   Think of what you'd do with a prescription you had that was half full if you heard something worrisome about it….

    SCO/$25KP, Rookie – We do not have a current SCO position in there.  In the STP, we had an April $30/34 bull call spread that we closed on 3/12, when SCO flew up to $31 as the 50 dma was right about there and we expected rejection.  We re-entered on the 19th in the STP, but that had nothing to do with the $25KP but I did miss logging it so thanks for reminding me.   

    SCO/STP – I think we should buy back the 10 April $32 calls for .10 as they aren't doing us any good and, if SCO bounces back, uncovering our long

continue reading

Comment by Louis631

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  1. Louis631

    What a bar on / TF  Indices are hopping!!

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Not everybody Wombat…

    Nasdaq still in a death spiral driven by the Momos I guess… 

Comment by tommyt

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  1. tommyt

    Hi phil,

    is there a replay link somewhere for tues webcast i cant find it.

    thanks tom

Comment by wombat

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  1. wombat

    slow today  - their getting hammered – just talked to them -
    Phil – thanks for the redo on TSLA, cam away unscathed for the moment

    +20 Jan16 $230/$300 Bull spread
    -20 June $280 short calls 
    -10 June $210/250 Bear call spread

    13K PM

Comment by albo

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  1. albo

    CHK strong today.  My favorite in the space is UPL.

Comment by Burrben

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Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...

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The Competition For Capital Has Made Stocks Cheap

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The new year is upon us, and now is the time many investors look at what 2018 was and prepare for what 2019 might be. Recession jitters are starting to pick back up again, especially now that the full picture of 2018 is in the books. But what if you could pick only one theme for 2018? Jefferies strategist Sean Darby and team have a suggestion which is especially timely given that it appears to mark the end of an era.

StockSnap / PixabayVolatility carries into the new year

This past year was one of extremes, and the markets ended i...

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Phil's Favorites

Divisive economics


Guest author David Brin — scientist, technology consultant, best-selling author and futurist — explores the records of Democrats and Republicans on the US economy in the following post. For David's latest posts, visit the CONTRARY BRIN blog. For his books and short stories, visit his web...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...

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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain


Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...

more from Bitcoin

Insider Scoop Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


more from Promotions

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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