Archive for 2014

Comment by Anton Chigurh

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  1. Anton Chigurh

    And there’s the $70′s on SRS. ;)  

Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    Invest….yes, and on a pull back, I will buy 1/4 more for the DD I was going to do.  Watching TRIN, VIX, and TLT.

Comment by shadowfax

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  1. shadowfax

    Drugs will never save those that don't car for themselves. I have already seen it in my life, those people are gone, the big show has gone on almost 20 years for me. The biggest difference I see is what they eat. Drugs, exercise, lifestyle, and the rest fall behind.

Comment by Maya1

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  1. Maya1

    Yes, nice rant!

    it doesn't matter…. Maybe, until it does

Comment by snow

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  1. snow

    Poor health habits/Phil – that's a well-known problem in clinical medicine. Most docs I know find people with type 2 diabetes very difficult – they want to take a pill, not change habits. I saw a study a while back about anti-lock brakes on cars. Many safety experts expected a big effect from those, reduction in crashes and such, but it didn't materialize, because people started driving worse, expecting the anti-lock brakes to take care of them.

Comment by scottmi

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  1. scottmi

    Fascinating -Stand On Zanzibar by John Brunner (in 1969) and apparently not an april fool..

    Obomi – Obama…when original name is Sotero, makes you wonder how much of everything really is just theater…!

Comment by jabobeast

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  1. jabobeast


Comment by scottmi

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  1. scottmi

    CRM dbl diag.. Bullseye this morning!

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    A good article about China shadow banking:

    The government has been threatening to crack down on the shadow lending that’s fueled by these WMP investment flows. And with good reason; the shadow sector enables wasteful, overly risky lending that ups both the risks of a financial crisis and the likely impact if one hits. But Pettis argues that plugging up shadow channels could come with unintended consequences.

    “These same mechanisms will force the PBoC into unplanned ‘tightening’ as it takes steps to regain control of the shadow banking system,” he writes. “The net impact is to imbed a highly pro-cyclical mechanism into the national balance sheet that, like all pro-cyclical mechanisms, will increase volatility both on the way up and on the way down.”

    In short, adding funds to the WMP channel has been making credit grow at a higher-than-normal multiplier—and for long enough now that it’s become the norm. Blocking that channel would therefore arrest the pace of credit growth that China’s financial system has long since become used to. If Pettis is right, in order to offset the rapid slowdown in credit growth, the government will need to loosen monetary conditions to allow more official lending at the same time as it cracks down on shadow lending. The People’s Bank of China has the tools to do this, but if it wrongfoots the timing, the bad times ahead are likely to be much worse.

Comment by wombat

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  1. wombat

    Phil / Fly Fishin
    I read this a few times and want to make sure I understand the idea. You mention selling premium monthly 'on both sides' to keep chipping away at our average. Like in our CZR fly, both the shorts are monthly. But in the BTU fly I have my $18 short puts at Jan15. 
    Did I trade a wrong leg ?


Phil's Favorites

Brexit: how the end of Britain's empire led to rising inequality that helped Leave to victory


Brexit: how the end of Britain's empire led to rising inequality that helped Leave to victory

AC Arts Photography via Shutterstock

Courtesy of Danny Dorling, University of Oxford and Sal...

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Zero Hedge

World Trade War I: US Asks South Korea To Join Anti-Huawei Campaign

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The bilateral trade war between the US and China is gradually becoming a global trade war of global geopolitical and commercial dominance between the US and Chinese spheres of influence.

Shortly after the two largest mobile phone companies in the UK decided against launching Huawei-built 5G phones this morning, and roughly around the time a bevy of Japanese tech and telecom companies including ARM Holdings, Panasonic and SoftBank all imposed a boycott on supplying Huawei with mission critical components joining Australia, and New Zealand as major US allies to end commercial relat...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...

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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.


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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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