Archive for 2014

Comment by rahul

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  1. rahul

    POT making a little bit of a comback recouping about half it’s loss (now down 2.8%).

    Anyone else watching the TSX? I see support at 11500 at 50MA and lows of Aug 2006 (down about 6% from here) if we don’t get any intervention.

Comment by reinharden

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  1. reinharden

    Sigh. All this stuff going on and I’m too busy to play.

    Ya’ll might recall that I was traveling for awhile in February. Well, the week I got back I made the mistake of mentioning to a friend that I was thinking about maybe considering eventually going back to work. By the end of the next day I was Vice President of Engineering at a startup still in stealth mode. Which isn’t leaving me much time for trading and research and such.

    I’m not sure which way this market is going to break; however, long term I like QQQQ and SPY quite a lot considering how relatively low the PE ratios are. AMD isn’t quite cheap enough for me just yet as I think it’ll likely get a bit cheaper before bottoming (likely in July/August); however, INTC could choose to give them a break earlier. I continue to like GLW long term.


    AAPL is reportedly having a surprisingly good quarter with year-over-year Mac sales up 100+% in January, with iPod sales ahead of expectations, and with their US market share continuing to outgrow the market. According to , AAPL has grown from 4.37% market share last March to 6.38% last month (notice that this market share number is mostly a measure of installed base; however, the growth element represent a leading indicator of current quarter market share).

    Adobe has announced that they’re launching Creative Suite 3 on March 27 which means that the creative community will finally have an Intel-native version of Adobe’s products (that leaves Microsoft Office as the only major non-native application). This is widely expected to push up sales of Apple’s high-end desktop products. Apple will be hosting a special event at the National Association of Broadcasters show on April 15. Most likely focused on software (Final Cut Pro almost certainly), Apple has in the past also introduced hardware at this show and, if they haven’t done so in conjunction with Adobe, they might introduce updated desktops here (probably a 2 x quad core desktop configuration). The Adobe release + new hardware would likely push desktop sales up at least 20% for calendar Q2.

    MacOS X 10.5 (aka Leopard) remains on track for a “Spring” release. Which in Apple’s vernacular traditionally means sometime before the first day of

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Comment by albo

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  1. albo

    What !  No mention of PLUG today.  Stock up sharply as CEO says major deal expected in two-three weeks.  Move over Reed Hastings and Elon Musk.  Make room for this guy. 8-)

Comment by doro165

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  1. doro165

    That looks like a great tool. Probably would benefit all of us.

Comment by willsons

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  1. willsons

    PHIL     Think FCX is looking attractive?  

Comment by sagemm1

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  1. sagemm1

    cannot figure why they would engage QE3 at this point I tend to agree with SH Jack that unless the goal is to massively devalue the dollar…it makes no sense to pull this arrow out of the quiver at this juncture…or am I breathing my own very short (at the moment) exhaust??

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Corn prices in focus for food sellers

    Yesterday, 01:58 PM ET · GIS

    • A survey from the Department of Agriculture indicates that farmers in the U.S. plan to plant the lowest acreage of corn in four years.
    • The March report on corn already indicated that supply was tighter than forecast.
    • Higher corn prices are sometimes absorbed by food sellers and restaurant chains if consumer spending trends are weak.
    • Corn futures charts
    • Related stocks: GIS, K, POST, KO, PEP, PPC, TSN, CPB, SJM
    var isMC=true; var adSize=’320×50′; var ord = Math.floor(Math.random()*10e12); var seekingalpha_ad_src=’;sz=320×50,320×250;x=x;tile=1;d=mobile;t=app;mcid=true;mcid=1652723;s=GIS;s=K;s=POST;s=KO;s=PEP;s=PPC;s=TSN;s=CPB;s=SJM;’+dart_my_vocation_and_profiles()+’ord=’+ord+’;dev=ip?’; document.write(”);

Comment by roro

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  1. roro

    thanks for your rant……..i actually feel relieved and was beginning to wonder if i was losing my mind before reading it.

Comment by cdtbud

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  1. cdtbud


    Watching your webinar,  I caught the names of some of the malware that is running on your machine. is one.  You could spent sometime running down each and every bug you have on it.  Editing your registry, removing programs…etc. You will probably have to install several removal tools.  This could take hours and yet, you still couldn't be sure you got everything.

    OR…..take Ripley's suggestion:

    ie…reinstall…thats what i'd do.

Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    CGEN jro….C.  SGEN in March 25s and Dec 25 C & P (waiting)


Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...

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Phil's Favorites

This Is The One Chart Every Trader Should Have "Taped To Their Screen"

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

After a year of tapering, the Fed’s balance sheet finally captured the market’s attention during the last three months of 2018.

By the start of the fourth quarter, the Fed had finished raising the caps on monthly roll-off of its balance sheet to the full $50bn per month (peaking at $30bn USTs, $20bn MBS, although on many months the (balance sheet) B/S does not actually shrink by this full amount which depends on the redemption schedule) and by end-Q4 markets also experienced some of the largest volatility and drawdowns in nearly a decade.

As Nomura&...

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The Competition For Capital Has Made Stocks Cheap

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The new year is upon us, and now is the time many investors look at what 2018 was and prepare for what 2019 might be. Recession jitters are starting to pick back up again, especially now that the full picture of 2018 is in the books. But what if you could pick only one theme for 2018? Jefferies strategist Sean Darby and team have a suggestion which is especially timely given that it appears to mark the end of an era.

StockSnap / PixabayVolatility carries into the new year

This past year was one of extremes, and the markets ended i...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...

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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain


Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...

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Insider Scoop Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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