Archive for 2014

Comment by rahul

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  1. rahul

    POT making a little bit of a comback recouping about half it’s loss (now down 2.8%).

    Anyone else watching the TSX? I see support at 11500 at 50MA and lows of Aug 2006 (down about 6% from here) if we don’t get any intervention.

Comment by reinharden

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  1. reinharden

    Sigh. All this stuff going on and I’m too busy to play.

    Ya’ll might recall that I was traveling for awhile in February. Well, the week I got back I made the mistake of mentioning to a friend that I was thinking about maybe considering eventually going back to work. By the end of the next day I was Vice President of Engineering at a startup still in stealth mode. Which isn’t leaving me much time for trading and research and such.

    I’m not sure which way this market is going to break; however, long term I like QQQQ and SPY quite a lot considering how relatively low the PE ratios are. AMD isn’t quite cheap enough for me just yet as I think it’ll likely get a bit cheaper before bottoming (likely in July/August); however, INTC could choose to give them a break earlier. I continue to like GLW long term.


    AAPL is reportedly having a surprisingly good quarter with year-over-year Mac sales up 100+% in January, with iPod sales ahead of expectations, and with their US market share continuing to outgrow the market. According to , AAPL has grown from 4.37% market share last March to 6.38% last month (notice that this market share number is mostly a measure of installed base; however, the growth element represent a leading indicator of current quarter market share).

    Adobe has announced that they’re launching Creative Suite 3 on March 27 which means that the creative community will finally have an Intel-native version of Adobe’s products (that leaves Microsoft Office as the only major non-native application). This is widely expected to push up sales of Apple’s high-end desktop products. Apple will be hosting a special event at the National Association of Broadcasters show on April 15. Most likely focused on software (Final Cut Pro almost certainly), Apple has in the past also introduced hardware at this show and, if they haven’t done so in conjunction with Adobe, they might introduce updated desktops here (probably a 2 x quad core desktop configuration). The Adobe release + new hardware would likely push desktop sales up at least 20% for calendar Q2.

    MacOS X 10.5 (aka Leopard) remains on track for a “Spring” release. Which in Apple’s vernacular traditionally means sometime before the first day of

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Comment by albo

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  1. albo

    What !  No mention of PLUG today.  Stock up sharply as CEO says major deal expected in two-three weeks.  Move over Reed Hastings and Elon Musk.  Make room for this guy. 8-)

Comment by doro165

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  1. doro165

    That looks like a great tool. Probably would benefit all of us.

Comment by willsons

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  1. willsons

    PHIL     Think FCX is looking attractive?  

Comment by sagemm1

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  1. sagemm1

    cannot figure why they would engage QE3 at this point I tend to agree with SH Jack that unless the goal is to massively devalue the dollar…it makes no sense to pull this arrow out of the quiver at this juncture…or am I breathing my own very short (at the moment) exhaust??

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Corn prices in focus for food sellers

    Yesterday, 01:58 PM ET · GIS

    • A survey from the Department of Agriculture indicates that farmers in the U.S. plan to plant the lowest acreage of corn in four years.
    • The March report on corn already indicated that supply was tighter than forecast.
    • Higher corn prices are sometimes absorbed by food sellers and restaurant chains if consumer spending trends are weak.
    • Corn futures charts
    • Related stocks: GIS, K, POST, KO, PEP, PPC, TSN, CPB, SJM
    var isMC=true; var adSize=’320×50′; var ord = Math.floor(Math.random()*10e12); var seekingalpha_ad_src=’;sz=320×50,320×250;x=x;tile=1;d=mobile;t=app;mcid=true;mcid=1652723;s=GIS;s=K;s=POST;s=KO;s=PEP;s=PPC;s=TSN;s=CPB;s=SJM;’+dart_my_vocation_and_profiles()+’ord=’+ord+’;dev=ip?’; document.write(”);

Comment by roro

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  1. roro

    thanks for your rant……..i actually feel relieved and was beginning to wonder if i was losing my mind before reading it.

Comment by cdtbud

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  1. cdtbud


    Watching your webinar,  I caught the names of some of the malware that is running on your machine. is one.  You could spent sometime running down each and every bug you have on it.  Editing your registry, removing programs…etc. You will probably have to install several removal tools.  This could take hours and yet, you still couldn't be sure you got everything.

    OR…..take Ripley's suggestion:

    ie…reinstall…thats what i'd do.

Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    CGEN jro….C.  SGEN in March 25s and Dec 25 C & P (waiting)


Phil's Favorites

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations


Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

rblfmr /

Courtesy of John Colley, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

The year of the tech IPO is 2019. Uber went public on May 10 with a US$82.4 billion valuation. Fellow ride-sharing app Lyft floated in March with a U$24 billion valuation and Pinterest had a US$10 billion IPO in April...

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Zero Hedge

Futures Slides As Trade Tensions Escalate

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

S&P futures were lower on Wednesday as investors sought safety in bonds, the Japanese yen and Swiss franc in muted trade amid renewed worries over the U.S.-China spat after reports Washington is considering cutting off the flow of American technology to as many as five Chinese companies including Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology, the world's largest supplier of video surveillance products, expanding the US crackdown on China beyond Huawei to include world leaders in video surveillance. The dollar and 10Y yield were unchanged ahead of today's FOMC Minutes.


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...

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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.


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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>