Archive for 2014

Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    Ah, 3/6 must be the day we reviewed GOOG as that's the most recent day of trades – it should not have taken me this long to figure that out…

    iPod/Rexx – Would have taken me a lot longer than that!  

    X/Jfaw – Emphasis on the LONG but I do like them for the next 20 years at $20.  

    Dollar topped out at 83.33 but oil can't even hold $93 as the Dollar is pulling back.  I don't know what oil bulls were expecting but it seems like they didn't get it.   I think my public call to short at $93 is affecting them now – huge amounts of sellers at that line and, if those guys listened to me and refuse to buy barrels back, that puts NYMEX crooks on the hook with contracts they can't wriggle out of and that's what can make them freak out as expiration day comes because it's one thing to be assigned a stock and have it delivered to your account but quite another to be assigned 100,000 barrels of oil and have it delivered to Cushing where you have to arrange to pick it up and take it to your point of sale (if you ever do find a buyer for 100,000 physical barrels of oil in a pinch).  Each barrel weighs about 350 pounds, by the way, so bring a back brace!  8) 

    AAPL/StJ – Usually they have a pre-earnings event where they announce stuff.  So far they have only scheduled a developers' conference in March (and you know how important developers are) but they never announce stuff there so we'll have to wait and see what's next on their agenda.  

    Thanks Jabob – all better now. 

    Paper/Rperi – I'll trade you if you watched my developers link.   Actually, I liked that one a lot.  

    Jabob, on the other hand, will be getting an invoice for that one! 

    WFR/Lionel – Dropped guidance on price per watt but they expect watts sold to compensate and are looking at about 5% revenue gains over last year (but they lost money last year).  Also, changing name to SunEdison, Inc. – I don't like that at all.  Anyway, no one thought they would have up

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Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Talk about maxpain on AAPL options holder. This week has been stomach churning. Expiration week is usually volatile, but we’ve got to be closing on a record – Steve Jobs announcement, earnings and today’s dive! Time to reach for the Maalox!

Comment by newt

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  1. newt

    Phil: Thanks.

Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    In Fed and Out, Many Now Think Inflation Helps

Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    STP - Adjustments Only:  

    • AAPL – Well, we're protecting our $35 spread, which is net $23 at the moment with a short call we sold for $15 so no worries here.  Also, we certainly don't mind buying more long AAPL if it heads higher but don't forget, this short 10 is our only short against about 35 long AAPL contracts in our various portfolios.  So, all we want to do with the short Nov $510 calls ($15.50) is roll them along to the Dec $520 calls ($16.85) and we get PAID $1.35 ($1,350) to push our caller $10 higher.  Isn't this fun?  
    • FAS – We have the short Nov $78 calls and, sadly, FAS jumped up to $80.75 so $2.75 there but we did sell them for $3.30 and, like our short AAPL calls, we can roll them higher and the Dec $80 calls are $3.90 so here we get paid $1,150 to roll our short callers higher.  Rawhide!  
    • SQQQ – We have 40 at $1.20 with the SQQQ Dec $17 calls at .72 and, if we DD then it's $1.92/2 = .96 and the Delta on the $17s is .51 so, if SQQQ even twitches higher, we'll be able to buy back half for .95 or better so let's invest 20 x .72 = $1,440 and that will be our aggressive bearish play into the weekend.  

    LOL – Art Cashin says the Senate did everything but buy Yellen a corsage!  

Comment by mjjwo9b

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  1. mjjwo9b

    Debbie Downer has stepped to the microphone…..

Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

Comment by gel1

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  1. gel1

    Good reasoning re CROX… Philosopher says "when dating a woman who is not pretty – look beyond to the checkbook balance and the trust fund terms.

Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    Facebook launches mobile ad network, gives developers new tools

    02:55 PM ET · FB

    • The Facebook Audience Network, in test mode for some time, will allow app developers to deliver targeted ads based on Facebook (FB +2.5%) data and activity. Banner ads, interstitials, and native ads are supported.
    • Facebook is counting on its data and developer reach to grab a larger chunk of a mobile ad market expected by eMarketer to grow 75% this year, and to stand out relative to rival networks from Google, Apple, Twitter, and Millennial Media, among others.
    • The network was launched Facebook’s f8 developer conference, during which Mark Zuckerberg has declared his company’s motto has changed from “move fast and break things” to the less catchy “move fast with stable infrastructure.” To back up the change, Zuck promises Facebook will now fix any bugs in newly-released code with 48 hours.
    • Facebook, aided by its Parse unit, has also used f8 to: 1) Update its login solution for 3rd-party apps to allow anoynmous logins, and to give users more control over what info they share. 2) Launch, a solution for linking between installed apps.
    • In a Wired interview, Zuck highlights Facebook’s interest in acting as a knowledge source for users, rather than just a sharing source – 5-10% of Facebook posts are questions to friends – and reiterates his interest in having Facebook’s various developer services act as a cross-platform infrastructure for apps. “Right now, you have these different mobile silos … But when someone buys a phone, they don’t want to be limited to just the apps and experiences on that phone.”
    • Shares are up on a day when Twitter is getting clobbered post-earnings.
    var isMC=true; var adSize=’320×50′; var ord = Math.floor(Math.random()*10e12); var seekingalpha_ad_src=’;sz=320×50,320×250;x=x;tile=1;d=mobile;t=app;mcid=true;mcid=1709733;s=FB;’+dart_my_vocation_and_profiles()+’ord=’+ord+’;dev=ip?’; document.write(”);

Comment by pstas

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  1. pstas

    /TF- Yodi- in TOS go to the Trade tab and just click on the Bid or Ask prices to place a buy/.sell order.


Zero Hedge

World Trade War I: US Asks South Korea To Join Anti-Huawei Campaign

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The bilateral trade war between the US and China is gradually becoming a global trade war of global geopolitical and commercial dominance between the US and Chinese spheres of influence.

Shortly after the two largest mobile phone companies in the UK decided against launching Huawei-built 5G phones this morning, and roughly around the time a bevy of Japanese tech and telecom companies including ARM Holdings, Panasonic and SoftBank all imposed a boycott on supplying Huawei with mission critical components joining Australia, and New Zealand as major US allies to end commercial relat...

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Phil's Favorites

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations


Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

rblfmr /

Courtesy of John Colley, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

The year of the tech IPO is 2019. Uber went public on May 10 with a US$82.4 billion valuation. Fellow ride-sharing app Lyft floated in March with a U$24 billion valuation and Pinterest had a US$10 billion IPO in April...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...

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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.


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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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