Archive for 2014

Comment by palotay

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  1. palotay

    Thanks for the detailed explanation last night Yodi.  I ended up thinning my herd a little.

Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    Well, SPX 2000 is now in the works.  Pullback, maybe, maybe, maybe not.

Comment by shadowfax

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  1. shadowfax


    Never happens and exactly when a train is going the other way plus they aren't single axel rail cars.

Comment by irished

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  1. irished

    Cramer watch: 21 bulls, 4 bear calls

Comment by yodi

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  1. yodi

    Let us strip Phil's F play and please correct if my thinking is wrong.
    We will spend 2.95 on the long side and get 2.24 on the shorts not including the Feb 12 which you need to play on a monthly basis to make up extra money.
    Let us say F will be at 12 Jan15. For starters you out of pocket .71 today. F at 12 Jan15 will have aprox. a value of 1.84. So over two years you are making net 1.13. However if F runs up to 15 by Jan15 you can add an other 4.00 in your pocket!!

Comment by jomptien

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  1. jomptien

    I still hold Nov 34 puts – I needed the downside protection. Should I cover here or wait for a better entry? Thanks

Comment by wombat

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  1. wombat

    Phil // @2
    questions for the day
    unfortunately i'm not up 10% so cashing out probably not the best idea. all my positions are long term and i'm willing to wait them out.
    i have 2 sections of hedges ( DXD, SDS, and TNA ) all June. How would you advise the rolls ?
    leave the shorts, roll the longs and wait for expire ?
    DXD June $25 / 29 BLCS (9 $1.80 )
    SDS June $27 / 32 ) $1.20
    + a Jan15 bear call spread 90/75 ( $2.50 ) not so worries about that.

    Secondly, I've been hangin onto ABX / CLF for what seems forever. I have a bit more faith that ABX will pop when a correction hits, but CLF dumbfounds me. Most of their production is for the US – not China and they seemed to plagued with bad news for the last few months.
    I"m wondering if I just cut my losses or do you still have faith into Jan16 ?

    CLF perspective
    -10 Jun14 17 short calls ( ,44  - sell every month )
    +10 Jan16 $15-25 ( $ 2.50 )
    +50 Jan16 $20 long calls ( $ 2.75 ) thought they were cheap at the time
    -10 Jan16 $20 short puts ( $5.35 )

Comment by dclark41

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  1. dclark41


    That Consumer Spending number was light.  That can't bode well for XRT that is technically heading for a death cross.  Do you like shorting it here? Even though it has many automotive parts companies there are still many department and specialty retailers in the mix of its top 40 holdings.

Comment by albo

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  1. albo

    ~~•DragonWave sees 1Q15 revenue up 50% vs. 4Q14.

    Adding to my position in DRWI, one of my falling knives that kept falling.  I'm still at a loss, but believe things are looking up. 4th Quarter was a disappointment.  Since they reported earnings and projected a 50% increase in first quarter, they have received a sizeable (for them) contract in India.  Believe 2Q will be quite a bit higher than 1Q.  Company still losing money, but margins should improve significantly going forward.  Very speculative. Might be worth a look for Kamikaze money.

Comment by shadowfax

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  1. shadowfax

    zxz amo

    I can tell you supplies are tight. I load my own, not only lots loaded but I have enough components to triple my stock. To many I am low.


Zero Hedge

Auto Shares Surge As Fiat, Renault Confirm Merger Talks

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

With President Trump in Japan for a state visit and most of Europe headed to the polls to vote in the quinquennial EU Parliamentary elections, there was enough news to keep market watchers occupied during what was supposed to be a quiet holiday weekend in the US. 

But on top of these political headlines, on Saturday afternoon, the news broke that Italian-American carmaker Fiat Chrysler had approached France's Renault with a merger proposal that would leave the shareholders of each carmaker with half of the combined company, in a tie-up that would create the world's third-largest au...

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Phil's Favorites

Trump and the problem with pardons


Trump and the problem with pardons

Courtesy of Andrew Bell, Indiana University

As a veteran, I was astonished by the recent news that President Trump may be considering pardons for U.S. military members accused or convicted of war crimes. But as a scholar who studies the U.S. military and combat ethics, I understand even more clearly the harmful long-term impact such pardons can have on the military.

My researc...

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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ... more from Insider

Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...

more from Kimble C.S.

Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!

Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

more from Bitcoin


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


more from Biotech


More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

more from M.T.M.


Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

more from OpTrader


Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


more from Promotions

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>