Courtesy of Mish.
I frequently comment on major elections, but here we are with voting for UK prime minister now in progress, and I have not chimed in yet.
Unlike in Greece where I was confident Syriza would poll better than expected (and it did), I have no particular feeling of confidence on what is likely to be a a very important election.
Voting Booths are just now open as of 1:00AM US central where I reside.
Here are the Final Polls.
Note that UKIP is in third place. How do you think that will translate into parliamentary representation?
Here is a Final Projection from the Financial Times.
Note the apparent silliness of it all. What matters is how concentrated the votes are, not how many you get. On a guess the revolt vote is underestimated, I am going to go out on a limb and suggest UKIP will win 7-10 seats.
Hung Parliament
The most likely outcomes is there will not be a winner. The Guardian reports General election 2015: Britain heading for hung parliament.
When the Guardian’s poll projection, an average of all the polls made public, is updated to take account of the new ICM data, it places both the Conservatives and Labour on 273 seats – neither anywhere near the 326 required for an absolute majority. …
