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Sunday, February 15, 2026

Global PEs and Price-to-Book Valuations; Bubble Debate Revisited

Courtesy of Mish.

In JP Morgan’s Quarterly Market Guide a pair of charts on page 31 caught my eye.

Forward PE Estimates

click on chart for sharper image

I don’t have any faith in forward PE estimates. They tend to be overly optimist and subject to numerous “one-time” writeoffs.

Instead, I recommend watching 10-year smoothed PE ratios. See discussion below.

Nonetheless, please note that even on a forward-basis, the S&P 500 ratio is well above most other markets.

Price to Book Valuations

On a price-to-book basis, US equities are twice as expensive as numerous other markets.

Case-Shiller Smoothed PE

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