Archive for 2015

'Here Comes The Artic Freeze To U.S. Retailers,' Says Brian Sozzi

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Brain Sozzi, CEO and chief equities strategist of Belus Capital Advisors, wrote on Monday that an upcoming blizzard could hurt retailers' earnings results. The slow-moving winter storm is expected to hit the East coast on Monday evening, where areas such as New York City and Boston may receive up to 2 feet of snow.

Sozzi wrote, “Mall openings could be delayed, or locations outright closed for a day or two, as cleanup crews plow massive parking lots and retailers from Macy's (M) to Gap (GPS) seek to avoid putting their employees in harm's way. On the other hand, home improvement retailers Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) are poised to rake in extra sales from demand for snow blowers, rock salt and shovels.”

In the past intense storms have negatively impacted sales for major retailers as consumer enthusiasm for spring shopping and demand for raw materials for outdoor construction has declined. Last year, frigid temperatures and snow storms disappointed investors of the retail industry and this year may not be any different.

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW), Macy's, Inc. (NYSE: M), Gap Inc (NYSE: GPS) and Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) were all slightly higher Monday afternoon.

Latest Ratings for LOW

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Morgan Stanley Upgrades Equal-weight Overweight
Jan 2015 Deutsche Bank Maintains Buy
Dec 2014 Nomura Initiates Coverage on Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for LOW
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Belus Capital Brian SozziAnalyst Color Analyst Ratings

Mircrosoft Shares Down ~3% After The Company Reports Lower Profits WIth Higher Costs In Q2

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Posted-In: Earnings News Movers

Kelley Blue Book Just Appraised The Detroit Auto Show

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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The Detroit Auto Show, which wrapped up on January 25, put a premium on showcasing vehicles with wide profit margins and hot markets, analysts at Kelley Blue Book said.

The Irvine, California-based company, which compiles prices on new and used vehicles, said U.S. automakers are confident in their financial outlooks, and are highlighting advanced engineering and technology, which are "nothing short of amazing."

A Few Highlights

Among so-called performance vehicles, Kelley singled out the Ford GT successor and Raptor, Acura's NSX, BMW 6 Series, Cadillac CTS-V and Lexus GS F.

Important crossovers include the Volkswagen's three-row concept, Mercedes' new GLE Coupe, the Lincoln MKX and the Volvo S60 Cross Country.

On the truck front, Nissan unveiled its all-new Titan, and Toyota offered a significant revamp of the Tacoma.

Paying Homage

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F)'s GT successor, meanwhile, allows the automaker to pay homage to Ford's historic win at the Le Mans endurance auto race nearly 50 years ago.

Related Link: 10 Technologies That Cars Will Have By 2020

Ford's GT from the mid-2000s developed a cult following, and the successor aims to "bring excitement to the brand and nothing more,” Kelley's Matt DeLorenzo said.

The all-new Ford Mustang shows the company "is serious about establishing the car as a track-weapon of Ford fans who also are serious weekend racers," according to Karl Brauer.

'A Global Brand'

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM)'s latest version of its Corvette "should help make Chevrolet a global brand," while a revamp of its Volt "comes at…
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SunTrust Sees Negative Investor Sentiment Into EPS For Twitter

Courtesy of Benzinga.

In a report published Monday, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey analyst Robert S. Peck reiterated a Buy rating and $58.00 price target on Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR).

In the report, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey noted, “Twitter will report earnings on Feb 5th, and we feel investor sentiment around the story remains largely negative following the 3Q report (4Q implied MAU guidance). We sense it shifted partially toward neutral after the analyst day presentation and case for monetization of both logged-in and logged-out users as well as new products. However, the majority of investors we speak with continue to have concerns over the long term story for monetization and MAU growth.”

Twitter closed on Friday at $39.42.

Latest Ratings for TWTR

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Oppenheimer Initiates Coverage on Perform
Dec 2014 Pivotal Research Upgrades Hold Buy
Dec 2014 Evercore ISI Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TWTR
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Robert S. Peck SunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst Color Reiteration Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Credit Suisse Downgrades Verisign As Risk/Reward Is Biased To Downside

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Credit Suisse Downgrades VeriSign To Underperform
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In a report published Monday, Credit Suisse analyst Philip Winslow downgraded the rating on Verisign, Inc. (NASDAQ: VRSN) from Neutral to Underperform, but reiterated the $47.50 price target.

In the report, Credit Suisse noted, “We believe the risk/reward from VeriSign’s current share price, which equates to a NTM EV/UFCF multiple of 13.1 (versus our forecasted 5-year CAGRs for operating profit and EPS of 5.0% and 8.9%, respectively), is biased to the downside given (1) near-term risk to domain name growth and (2) our expectation for slowing operating profit and EPS growth relative to valuation. Therefore, we are lowering our rating on VeriSign to Underperform.”

Verisign closed on Friday at $56.81.

Latest Ratings for VRSN

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Credit Suisse Downgrades Neutral Underperform
Jan 2015 JP Morgan Downgrades Neutral Underweight
Jul 2014 Citigroup Maintains Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for VRSN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Credit Suisse Philip WinslowAnalyst Color Downgrades Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Downgrades Fortress Investment Group Following Selloff Last Week

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In a report published Monday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Robert Lee downgraded the rating on Fortress Investment Group LLC (NYSE: FIG) from Outperform to Market Perform, and lowered the price target from $8.75 to $8.00.

In the report, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods noted, “Following the sell-off last week, investors seem to be placing limited value on the liquid hedge fund (HF) business, and while we think the Credit and Castles businesses continue to perform well, we think the uncertainty over liquid HFs could remain an overhang. Considering the incremental uncertainty and adjustments to our DE forecasts and price target, we see better value in other alternative managers. In keeping with KBW’s new relative ratings methodology, we believe a Market Perform rating is more appropriate.”

Fortress Investment Group closed on Friday at $7.36.

Latest Ratings for FIG

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Keefe Bruyette & Woods Downgrades Outperform Market Perform
Jan 2015 Oppenheimer Downgrades Outperform Perform
Jan 2015 Keefe Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for FIG
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Keefe Bruyette & Woods Robert LeeAnalyst Color Downgrades Analyst Ratings

Credit Suisse Downgrades Gran Tierra, Names Top Pick To Survive Low Oil

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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David Phung of Credit Suisse on Monday downgraded shares of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (NYSE: GTE) to Neutral from Overweight with a price target lowered to $3 from $5 on the back of disappointing well results in Bretana Sur, which comprised a prior positive investment thesis of Columbia funding step-change growth in Peru.

“With some degree of uncertainty in future growth, the stock may see limited sustained momentum and we prefer to re-evaluate once the revised report is made available,” Phung wrote. The analyst adds that following the downgrade, Parex Resources is now “our top pick to weather this period of lower oil prices.”

Phung notes that Parex Resources' strong balance sheet and prospects for growth makes it best positioned to benefit from a potential recovery in oil prices.

Latest Ratings for GTE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Credit Suisse Downgrades Outperform Neutral
Jan 2015 Paradigm Downgrades Buy Hold
Jan 2015 Mackie Research Downgrades Buy Hold

View More Analyst Ratings for GTE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Bretana Sur Credit Suisse David Phung Gran Tierra EnergyAnalyst Color Downgrades Reiteration Analyst Ratings

RBC Capital Upgrades Garmin To Outperform

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Analysts at RBC Capital upgraded Garmin Ltd. (NASDAQ: GRMN) from Sector Perform to Outperform.

The price target for Garmin has been raised from $65 to $67.

Garmin shares have surged 17.10% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 15.17% in the same period.

Garmin’s shares fell 0.24% to close at $53.01 on Friday.

Latest Ratings for GRMN

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Jan 2015 Pacific Crest Upgrades Underperform Sector Perform
Jan 2015 JP Morgan Maintains Underweight

View More Analyst Ratings for GRMN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: RBC CapitalUpgrades Analyst Ratings

Albert Fried & Co. Initiates TubeMogul At Overweight

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Analysts at Albert Fried & Co. initiated coverage on TubeMogul, Inc. (NASDAQ: TUBE) with a Overweight rating.

The target price for TubeMogul is set to $23.

TubeMogul’s shares closed at $17.88 on Friday.

Latest Ratings for TUBE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Albert Fried & Co. Initiates Coverage on Overweight
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Dec 2014 Maxim Group Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TUBE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Albert Fried & Co.Initiation Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Albert Fried Initiates Coverage On TubeMogul On Room For Share Growth

Courtesy of Benzinga.

In a report published Monday, Albert Fried & Company analyst Rich Tullo initiated coverage on TubeMogul Inc (NASDAQ: TUBE) with an Overweight rating and $23.00 price target.

In the report, Albert Fried & Company noted, “While TUBE shares are up 120% since the IPO the lock up expired on January 14, 2015, which means insider stock is potentially for sale. Despite the overhang, we think there is room for share growth as TUBE expands domestically, and globally and also as TUBE launches new applications such as Performance TV Ad buying. While the TUBE revenue model is complicated, we think investors will growth comfortable with the model as several industries such as Internet Search and the Oil Industry also have pass throughs. TUBE has less than 1% media buying market share and we think there is plenty of room for long-term growth.”

TubeMogul closed on Friday at $17.88.

Latest Ratings for TUBE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Albert Fried & Co. Initiates Coverage on Overweight
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Dec 2014 Maxim Group Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TUBE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Albert Fried & Company Rich TulloAnalyst Color Initiation Analyst Ratings


Zero Hedge

Visualizing How Much Oil Is In An Electric Vehicle?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

When most people think about oil and natural gas, the first thing that comes to mind is the gas in the tank of their car. But, as Visual Capitalist's Nicholas LePan notes, there is actually much more to oil’s role, than meets the eye...

Oil, along with natural gas, has hundreds of different uses in a modern vehicle through petrochemicals.

Today’s infographic comes to us from American Fuel & Petrochemicals Manufacturers, and covers why oil is a critical mate...

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Phil's Favorites

Assange's new indictment: Espionage and the First Amendment


Embed from Getty Images


Assange’s new indictment: Espionage and the First Amendment

Courtesy of Ofer Raban, University of Oregon

Julian Assange, the co-founder of WikiLeaks, has been charged by the U.S. Department of Justice with a slew of Espionage Act violations that could keep him in prison for the rest of his life.

The new indictment expands an earlier one charging Assange with conspiring w...

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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ... more from Insider

Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...

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Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!

Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

more from Bitcoin


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


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More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>