Archive for 2015

'Here Comes The Artic Freeze To U.S. Retailers,' Says Brian Sozzi

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Brain Sozzi, CEO and chief equities strategist of Belus Capital Advisors, wrote on Monday that an upcoming blizzard could hurt retailers' earnings results. The slow-moving winter storm is expected to hit the East coast on Monday evening, where areas such as New York City and Boston may receive up to 2 feet of snow.

Sozzi wrote, “Mall openings could be delayed, or locations outright closed for a day or two, as cleanup crews plow massive parking lots and retailers from Macy's (M) to Gap (GPS) seek to avoid putting their employees in harm's way. On the other hand, home improvement retailers Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) are poised to rake in extra sales from demand for snow blowers, rock salt and shovels.”

In the past intense storms have negatively impacted sales for major retailers as consumer enthusiasm for spring shopping and demand for raw materials for outdoor construction has declined. Last year, frigid temperatures and snow storms disappointed investors of the retail industry and this year may not be any different.

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW), Macy's, Inc. (NYSE: M), Gap Inc (NYSE: GPS) and Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) were all slightly higher Monday afternoon.

Latest Ratings for LOW

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Morgan Stanley Upgrades Equal-weight Overweight
Jan 2015 Deutsche Bank Maintains Buy
Dec 2014 Nomura Initiates Coverage on Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for LOW
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Belus Capital Brian SozziAnalyst Color Analyst Ratings

Mircrosoft Shares Down ~3% After The Company Reports Lower Profits WIth Higher Costs In Q2

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Posted-In: Earnings News Movers

Kelley Blue Book Just Appraised The Detroit Auto Show

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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The Detroit Auto Show, which wrapped up on January 25, put a premium on showcasing vehicles with wide profit margins and hot markets, analysts at Kelley Blue Book said.

The Irvine, California-based company, which compiles prices on new and used vehicles, said U.S. automakers are confident in their financial outlooks, and are highlighting advanced engineering and technology, which are "nothing short of amazing."

A Few Highlights

Among so-called performance vehicles, Kelley singled out the Ford GT successor and Raptor, Acura's NSX, BMW 6 Series, Cadillac CTS-V and Lexus GS F.

Important crossovers include the Volkswagen's three-row concept, Mercedes' new GLE Coupe, the Lincoln MKX and the Volvo S60 Cross Country.

On the truck front, Nissan unveiled its all-new Titan, and Toyota offered a significant revamp of the Tacoma.

Paying Homage

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F)'s GT successor, meanwhile, allows the automaker to pay homage to Ford's historic win at the Le Mans endurance auto race nearly 50 years ago.

Related Link: 10 Technologies That Cars Will Have By 2020

Ford's GT from the mid-2000s developed a cult following, and the successor aims to "bring excitement to the brand and nothing more,” Kelley's Matt DeLorenzo said.

The all-new Ford Mustang shows the company "is serious about establishing the car as a track-weapon of Ford fans who also are serious weekend racers," according to Karl Brauer.

'A Global Brand'

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM)'s latest version of its Corvette "should help make Chevrolet a global brand," while a revamp of its Volt "comes at…
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SunTrust Sees Negative Investor Sentiment Into EPS For Twitter

Courtesy of Benzinga.

In a report published Monday, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey analyst Robert S. Peck reiterated a Buy rating and $58.00 price target on Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR).

In the report, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey noted, “Twitter will report earnings on Feb 5th, and we feel investor sentiment around the story remains largely negative following the 3Q report (4Q implied MAU guidance). We sense it shifted partially toward neutral after the analyst day presentation and case for monetization of both logged-in and logged-out users as well as new products. However, the majority of investors we speak with continue to have concerns over the long term story for monetization and MAU growth.”

Twitter closed on Friday at $39.42.

Latest Ratings for TWTR

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Oppenheimer Initiates Coverage on Perform
Dec 2014 Pivotal Research Upgrades Hold Buy
Dec 2014 Evercore ISI Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TWTR
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Robert S. Peck SunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst Color Reiteration Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Credit Suisse Downgrades Verisign As Risk/Reward Is Biased To Downside

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In a report published Monday, Credit Suisse analyst Philip Winslow downgraded the rating on Verisign, Inc. (NASDAQ: VRSN) from Neutral to Underperform, but reiterated the $47.50 price target.

In the report, Credit Suisse noted, “We believe the risk/reward from VeriSign’s current share price, which equates to a NTM EV/UFCF multiple of 13.1 (versus our forecasted 5-year CAGRs for operating profit and EPS of 5.0% and 8.9%, respectively), is biased to the downside given (1) near-term risk to domain name growth and (2) our expectation for slowing operating profit and EPS growth relative to valuation. Therefore, we are lowering our rating on VeriSign to Underperform.”

Verisign closed on Friday at $56.81.

Latest Ratings for VRSN

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Credit Suisse Downgrades Neutral Underperform
Jan 2015 JP Morgan Downgrades Neutral Underweight
Jul 2014 Citigroup Maintains Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for VRSN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Credit Suisse Philip WinslowAnalyst Color Downgrades Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Downgrades Fortress Investment Group Following Selloff Last Week

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In a report published Monday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Robert Lee downgraded the rating on Fortress Investment Group LLC (NYSE: FIG) from Outperform to Market Perform, and lowered the price target from $8.75 to $8.00.

In the report, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods noted, “Following the sell-off last week, investors seem to be placing limited value on the liquid hedge fund (HF) business, and while we think the Credit and Castles businesses continue to perform well, we think the uncertainty over liquid HFs could remain an overhang. Considering the incremental uncertainty and adjustments to our DE forecasts and price target, we see better value in other alternative managers. In keeping with KBW’s new relative ratings methodology, we believe a Market Perform rating is more appropriate.”

Fortress Investment Group closed on Friday at $7.36.

Latest Ratings for FIG

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Keefe Bruyette & Woods Downgrades Outperform Market Perform
Jan 2015 Oppenheimer Downgrades Outperform Perform
Jan 2015 Keefe Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for FIG
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Keefe Bruyette & Woods Robert LeeAnalyst Color Downgrades Analyst Ratings

Credit Suisse Downgrades Gran Tierra, Names Top Pick To Survive Low Oil

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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David Phung of Credit Suisse on Monday downgraded shares of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (NYSE: GTE) to Neutral from Overweight with a price target lowered to $3 from $5 on the back of disappointing well results in Bretana Sur, which comprised a prior positive investment thesis of Columbia funding step-change growth in Peru.

“With some degree of uncertainty in future growth, the stock may see limited sustained momentum and we prefer to re-evaluate once the revised report is made available,” Phung wrote. The analyst adds that following the downgrade, Parex Resources is now “our top pick to weather this period of lower oil prices.”

Phung notes that Parex Resources' strong balance sheet and prospects for growth makes it best positioned to benefit from a potential recovery in oil prices.

Latest Ratings for GTE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Credit Suisse Downgrades Outperform Neutral
Jan 2015 Paradigm Downgrades Buy Hold
Jan 2015 Mackie Research Downgrades Buy Hold

View More Analyst Ratings for GTE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Bretana Sur Credit Suisse David Phung Gran Tierra EnergyAnalyst Color Downgrades Reiteration Analyst Ratings

RBC Capital Upgrades Garmin To Outperform

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Analysts at RBC Capital upgraded Garmin Ltd. (NASDAQ: GRMN) from Sector Perform to Outperform.

The price target for Garmin has been raised from $65 to $67.

Garmin shares have surged 17.10% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 15.17% in the same period.

Garmin’s shares fell 0.24% to close at $53.01 on Friday.

Latest Ratings for GRMN

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Jan 2015 Pacific Crest Upgrades Underperform Sector Perform
Jan 2015 JP Morgan Maintains Underweight

View More Analyst Ratings for GRMN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: RBC CapitalUpgrades Analyst Ratings

Albert Fried & Co. Initiates TubeMogul At Overweight

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Analysts at Albert Fried & Co. initiated coverage on TubeMogul, Inc. (NASDAQ: TUBE) with a Overweight rating.

The target price for TubeMogul is set to $23.

TubeMogul’s shares closed at $17.88 on Friday.

Latest Ratings for TUBE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Albert Fried & Co. Initiates Coverage on Overweight
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Dec 2014 Maxim Group Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TUBE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Albert Fried & Co.Initiation Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Albert Fried Initiates Coverage On TubeMogul On Room For Share Growth

Courtesy of Benzinga.

In a report published Monday, Albert Fried & Company analyst Rich Tullo initiated coverage on TubeMogul Inc (NASDAQ: TUBE) with an Overweight rating and $23.00 price target.

In the report, Albert Fried & Company noted, “While TUBE shares are up 120% since the IPO the lock up expired on January 14, 2015, which means insider stock is potentially for sale. Despite the overhang, we think there is room for share growth as TUBE expands domestically, and globally and also as TUBE launches new applications such as Performance TV Ad buying. While the TUBE revenue model is complicated, we think investors will growth comfortable with the model as several industries such as Internet Search and the Oil Industry also have pass throughs. TUBE has less than 1% media buying market share and we think there is plenty of room for long-term growth.”

TubeMogul closed on Friday at $17.88.

Latest Ratings for TUBE

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Albert Fried & Co. Initiates Coverage on Overweight
Jan 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform
Dec 2014 Maxim Group Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TUBE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Albert Fried & Company Rich TulloAnalyst Color Initiation Analyst Ratings


Zero Hedge

Americans' Economic Hope Has Collapsed

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Which came first, the confidence or the stock market rally?

One thing is for sure, the crash in stocks in December has crushed the hope of Americans that their economic future is going to be better under President Trump.

Overall confidence dipped to 58.1 - a 4-month low, but, U.S. consumers this month were the most downbeat on the economy since November 2016, a third straight drop after expectations reached a 16-year high just three months earlier, as the partial government shutdown wears on toward a fourth week.


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Triple Breakout Test In Play For S&P 500!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the rally of late about to run out of steam or is a major breakout about to take place in the S&P 500? What happens at current prices should go a long way in determining this question.

This chart looks at the equal weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) on a daily basis over the past 15-months.

The rally from the lows on Christmas Eve has RSP testing the top of a newly formed falling channel while testing the underneath side of the 2018 trading range and its falling 50-day moving average at (1).

At this time RPS is facing a triple resistance test. Wil...

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Phil's Favorites

Brexit deal flops, Theresa May survives -- so what happens now?


Brexit deal flops, Theresa May survives -- so what happens now?

Courtesy of Victoria Honeyman, University of Leeds

As the clock ticks down to March 29 2019, all of the political manoeuvring, negotiating, arguing and fighting is coming to a peak. In the two and a half years since the 2016 EU referendum, views on both sides have hardened and agreement still seems as far away as it was the day after the referendum.

With Theresa May’s withdrawal agreement disliked by all sides, and voted down by an unprecedented majority in the House of Commons, everyone is wondering what can and should be done next?


more from Ilene

Digital Currencies

Crypto-Bubble: Will Bitcoin Bottom In February Or Has It Already?

Courtesy of Michelle Jones via

The new year has been relatively good for the price of bitcoin after a spectacular collapse of the cryptocurrency bubble in 2018. It’s up notably since the middle of December and traded around the psychological level of $4,000... so is this a sign that the crypto market is about to recover?

Of course, it depends on who you ask, but one analyst discovered a pattern which might point to a bottom next month.

A year after the cryptocurrency bubble popped


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D.E. Shaw Investment Calls For Leadership Change At EQT

By ActivistInsight. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Elliott Management has offered to acquire QEP Resources for approximately $2.1 billion, contending the oil and gas explorer’s turnaround efforts have done little to lift the company’s share price. The company responded and said that a thorough review of the proposition is imperative in order to properly act in the best interests of shareholders, “taking into account the company’s other alternatives and current market conditions.” The news came only a month after Travelport Worldwide agreed to sell itself to Siris Capital Group and Elliott’s private equity arm Evergreen Coast Capital for $4.4 billion in cash and two months after Athenahealth was bought by Veritas and Evergreen for $5.7 bi...

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Insider Scoop

UBS Says Disney's Streaming Ambition Gives It A 'New Hope'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related DIS Despite Some Risks, Analysts Still Expecting Double Digit Growth From Communications Services In Q4 ... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

more from Chart School

Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


more from Biotech

Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>