Archive for 2015

Google Chrome Approaching World Domination?

Courtesy of Mish.

A few moments ago a reader who was having difficulty with an ad on my blog. I occasionally get complaints, and most of the recent ones involve non-US ads. The reader said the problem went away when he switched over to Chrome from Internet Explorer.

That got me wondering what browsers people were using to read my blog. Here are the results from a 20-minute, mid-Saturday snip.

Mish Readers by Browser

The above is publicly available on Stat-Counter which tracks my traffic.

If you wish to take a look, click on the "View My Stats" button (not the number) at the bottom of this page.

Since inception I have had over 102 million hits (the number shown).

I switched over to Stat-Counter from SiteMeter long ago, for numerous problems that I still see people complaining about. Stat-Counter keeps track of all kinds of things as does Google Analytics.

Search Engine Traffic

Search engine traffic (if someone found by blog via a search rather than a bookmark) looks like this.

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Why the Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises

Why the Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises

By Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: This article was adapted from the February issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Elliott Wave International. All data is as of Jan. 30, 2015. (Click here for the full version of the article, including specific near-term forecasts.)

A significant hint of economic softening is the slight decline in average hourly earnings in December. It came despite "a healthy 252,000 increase in jobs. "Economists are struggling to explain the phenomenon," says the Associated Press. "I can't find a plausible empirical or theoretical explanation for why hourly wages would drop when for nine months we've been adding jobs at a robust pace," says a perplexed economist.

Workforce is still shrinking

The chart above of the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate presents a similar conundrum. Why is it falling when job growth is rising? The answer, we think, is the emerging force of deflation.

Notice that the peak participation rate of 67.3% came from January to March 2000, as the major stock indexes topped, after which inflation first began to falter. When stocks rallied to their 2007 top, there was a mild bounce in the rate, but the latest stock market rally failed to generate any sustained rise in the rate of work force participation. Workers appear so discouraged that the pool of available employees is back to where it was in 1978.

The opening chapter of Robert Prechter's, Conquer the Crash, illustrates various other measures depicting a long-term economic deterioration. He writes, "The persistent deceleration in the U.S. economy is vitally important, because it portends a major reversal from economic expansion to economic contraction."

As "great" as it was, the Great Recession of 2008-2009 was just a prelude. Click here to continue reading the complete version of this article, a part of the newest issue of EWI's newsletter, free.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Why the Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises

Technology Disruptors And The Future Of The Internet: Cantor Provides Some Ideas For 2015

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Technology Disruptors And The Future Of The Internet: Cantor Provides Some Ideas For 2015
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In a report titled Technology Disruptors And The Future Of The Internet” a team of Cantor Fitzgerald analysts look into the online advertising and e-commerce markets and the stocks related to them “to reflect continued improvement in the U.S. economic environment and the new conditions in Europe.”

The note points out the top 10 key themes for the Internet in 2015, namely:

  • 1. Mobile overtakes desktop as the browsing platform of choice.
  • 2. Programmatic premium ad buying will forever change ad sales.
  • 3. Video and the coming big shift of TV dollars online.
  • 4. Is there a tectonic shift in search share away from Google?
  • 5. Why the best is yet to come for online commerce.
  • 6. Free shipping becoming the norm; same-day delivery remains the final frontier.
  • 7. Will the rise of Omni-channel commerce save incumbents or accelerate their demise?
  • 8. Cash hoarders and the tax reform on foreign profits.
  • 9. The rise of the sharing economy where access trumps ownership.
  • 10. Winners and losers of net neutrality.

Related Link: 3 Ways You're Making Trading Much Harder Than It Needs To Be

After a very strong 2013 where Internet stocks returned about 50 percent, based on the Cantor Internet Index, 2014 was quite weak, with shares down 8 percent. However, given that the fundamentals of the group over the period did not change all that much, analysts expect returns to normalize in 2015.

“Online advertising grew ~16%Y/Y for both 2013 and 2014, while ecommerce saw a 17% and 16% increase, respectively.” For 2015, Cantor estimates that online advertising and e-commerce “will still show mid-teens growth, implying no material slowdown driven by a) an improving U.S. economy and lower energy prices, both of which are helping drive consumer spending and growth in ad…
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Barrington Initiates Coverage On InvenSense Amid Design Wins With Apple, Samsung And Xiaomi

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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On Monday, analysts at Barrington Research initiated coverage on shares of InvenSense Inc (NYSE: INVN) with an Outperform investment rating and $20 price target.

Ted Moreau Jr. finds the company is gaining market share in the Micro-electro-mechanical Systems space amid design wins with Samsung, Xiaomi and Apple.

“InvenSense has content opportunities in OIS, algorithm and software content, multi?core hub, pressure sensors, and microphones, which combined should drive a more than doubling of their served available market in the coming years from nearly $1.00 in content per smartphone today.”

In addition, Moreau Jr. feels through its sensors positions, the company is well positioned for the Internet of things (IoT) and wearables market. Barrington analysts mention Internet of Things opportunities will drive future growth for the company as the smartphone market begins to mature.

Lastly, Moreau Jr. predicts free cash flow and margin expansion in the coming years as the company benefits from a shift towards “internet of thing flavor.”

Shares of InvenSense recently traded at $15.14, up 0.26 percent.

Latest Ratings for INVN

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2015 Barrington Research Initiates Coverage on Outperform
Nov 2014 JMP Securities Initiates Coverage on Outperform
Oct 2014 Imperial Capital Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for INVN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Barrington Research Ted Moreau Jr.Analyst Color Price Target Initiation Analyst Ratings

JP Morgan Initiates Coverage On 6 Transport Companies

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In a report published Monday, JP Morgan analyst Brian Ossenbeck initiated coverage of six names in the transport space.


Ossenbeck initiated coverage of CSX Corporation (NYSE: CSX) with an Overweight rating and $41 price target. The analyst noted that CSX is "our favored value stock" with a portfolio of coal assets that are better suited to outperform in a negative fundamental outlook as the company's coal yield has a weaker correlation with commodity metallurgical coal prices than its peers.

Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (USA) (NYSE: CP) was also initiated at Outperform with a $290 price target as more crude carloads are still expected to ship in 2015 than 2014 despite recent oil price declines.

Finally, Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU) was labeled as being a "top pick" with growth at a "reasonable" price. The analyst placed a $148 price target as the stock presents a "compelling" combination of improving network efficiencies, limited exposure to shale plays and coal challenges along with growth prospects on both sides of the U.S. and Mexico border.


Ossenbeck initiated coverage of Canadian National Railway (USA) (NYSE: CNI) with a Neutral rating and $88 price target given a view that the company's best in class operating margins, network reach, service metrics and ability to interchange and move traffic makes the company a "premium operator with a premium price tag."

Shares of Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) were also initiated with a Neutral rating and $128 price target as "competition, end markets, and port recovery temper view on growth."


Ossenbeck initiated Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC) as the lone Underweight name with a $107 price target as coal pressures points are "causing a relative headache." The analyst noted that JP Morgan Global Coal analysts are forecasting a 38 percent decline in U.S. met coal exports before bottoming near the long-term average in 2017.

Latest Ratings for CSX

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2015 JP Morgan Initiates Coverage on Overweight
Jan 2015 Susquehanna Upgrades Neutral Positive
Jan 2015 Deutsche Bank Maintains Hold

View More Analyst Ratings for CSX
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brian Ossenbeck JPMorgan railways transportationAnalyst Color Initiation Analyst Ratings

Crocs, Inc. Names David Thomson as General Manager of Asia, Africa and Middle East Businesses

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Crocs, Inc. (Nasdaq: CROX) today announced that footwear and apparel veteran David Thomson has been named senior vice president, general manager, of the company’s Asia, Africa and Middle East region. In this newly created role, Thomson will oversee all sales and operations in the region and work closely with Crocs’ leadership to execute against the company’s global strategic plan.

The company is also announcing a re-organization of its regional business structure from four to three regions – Americas; EU; and Asia, Africa and Middle East – with Japan now part of the consolidated Asia region. This re-organization will help to better align and create efficiencies across Crocs’ global operations.

Thomson has more than 22 years of experience leading footwear, apparel and consumer goods brands in international markets and in start-up, high-growth and turnaround situations. Most recently, Thomson served as executive vice president, Asia Pacific, for Tommy Hilfiger. Thomson will be based in Singapore and plans to join the company on or around May 1. He will report to Andrew Rees, president of Crocs.

“David is a proven leader whose passion for building teams and developing brands will support the growth of our Asia, Africa and Middle East region,” Rees said. “We look forward to welcoming David to the Crocs team and leveraging his experience in emerging and diverse markets to support the brand’s continued global evolution.”

At Tommy Hilfiger, Thomson oversaw growth in emerging markets, including Europe and Asia. Before joining Tommy Hilfiger, Thomson spent 16 years with leading consumer goods companies including Duracell, Gillette, Reckitt Benckiser and Nike. At Nike, Thomson served as general director of Nike’s Russia operation, where he led sales, wholesale growth and retail for the brand.

“I see great potential for the continued growth of the Crocs brand and business in Asia, Africa and the Middle East,” said Thomson. “Crocs has an extremely talented leadership team in place and I’m eager to begin working with this team to help the Crocs brand reach its full potential.”

To learn more about Crocs or to find a Crocs store near you, visit

Posted-In: News Management Press Releases

Wedbush Previews Foundation Medicine, Expects In-Line Earnings

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In an equity research report published Monday, Wedbush analyst Zarak Khurshid previewed fourth quarter results for Foundation Medicine Inc (NASDAQ: FMI)to be reported on Tuesday after market close. The firm expects figures in line with the January 12 preliminary results, and maintained an Outperform rating and a $45 price target on the stock.

The company guided sales of $18.7 million, versus Wedbush’s estimate of $16.9 million and consensus sales estimates of $17.7 million. The firm forecasts EPS loss of ($0.48) for the quarter, and ($1.87) for the full year. For 2015, EPS loss is expected to come in at ($1.23).

“2014 revenue of $61.1 MM was just above the top end of FMI’s prior guidance range of $58 -$60 MM and 2014 clinical test volume of 24,271 was within initial guidance of 22,000 to 25,000.”

Despite the preliminary results already out, the revenue upside driver for the fourth quarter remains unclear, the report said. “4Q14 clinical test volumes were 7,233, which missed our 7,704 estimate suggesting to us that the revenue be at was likely driven by pharmaceutical services unless there was a meaningful improvement in reimbursement levels or collection efficiency in 4Q14. Clinical test volume was up 113% y/y (vs 150% in 3Q14) and up 13% q/q (vs 9% in 3Q14) demonstrating q/q acceleration. It appears that the September & October clinical rebound from weaker later summer activity mostly continued in 4Q14.”

However, the analysts note that they would not expect significant color on the potential immunotherapy test and circulating tumor DNA test programs on the earnings call.

Finally, analysts looked into the 2015 guidance, which they think is likely to be in-line with estimates. They also expect “solid reimbursement in the $3,600 range consistent with 3Q.”

Latest Ratings for FMI

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2015 Leerink Swann Downgrades Outperform Market Perform
Aug 2014 Tigress Financial Initiates Coverage on Neutral
Jun 2014 Janney Capital Initiates Coverage on Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for FMI
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Wedbush Zarak KhurshidAnalyst Color Health Care Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings General

JMP Securities: Updates Ratings On 5 REITs After Earnings

Courtesy of Benzinga.

JMP Securities: Updates Ratings On 5 REITs After Earnings
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Zacks Rank #5 Additions for Tuesday – Tale of the Tape

On February 20, JMP Securities issued a note updating ratings and price targets on the commercial real estate sector, including:

  • Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (NYSE: BXMT),
  • Chesapeake Lodging Trust (NYSE: CHSP),
  • Equity Commonwealth (NYSE: EQC),
  • Host Hotels & Resorts Inc (NYSE: HST) and
  • Sabra Health Care REIT Inc (NASDAQ: SBRA)

Tale Of The Tape – Past Year


Blackstone Mortgage Trust – Market Outperform

JMP increased its price target to $32 from $31 following the company’s 4Q earnings release and conference call.

  • BXMT reported “4Q core EPS of $0.52, which beat consensus by a penny and matched the new $0.52 dividend that was set in December 2014; marking the second consecutive quarter where core earnings fully covered the dividend.”
  • Blackstone management believes it can “continue to deliver on the targeted ROI range of LIBOR +12-13%,” (despite increased competition from larger banks).
  • JMP trimmed its 2015 core EPS estimate to $2.20 from $2.25, primarily due to a slightly lower net interest spread assumption;
  • JMP introduced an initial 2016 core estimate of $2.40; and 1Q16 dividend projection of $0.56.

Host Hotels & Resorts – Market Outperform

JMP maintained its rating but reduced its price target to $25 from $27; based on 14.0x (unchanged) and downward-revised 2016 EBITDA estimate of $1.62 billion (down from $1.70 billion).

  • Host reported disappointing 4Q14 results and provided renovation-impaired guidance that was well below what the Street was expecting.
  • “Group business weakened in 4Q, and renovations at several key properties impacted performance.”
  • “4Q RevPAR grew 3.2% on a 60 bps decline in occupancy and a 3.6% gain in rate.”
  • “Portfolio occupancies are at or near historic peaks, making each incremental point of occupancy that much harder to come by.”

Chesapeake Lodging Trust – Market Outperform

JMP did not provide…
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Benzinga's Top #PreMarket Gainers

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: RIGL) shares surged 16.08% to $2.96 in pre-market trading after dropping 4.49% on Friday.

Ballard Power Systems Inc.(NASDAQ: BLDP) shares gained 15.64% to $2.81 in the pre-market trading session after the company reported the signing of two new technology solutions contracts.

Ocwen Financial Corp. (NYSE: OCN) shares climbed 9.48% to $10.51 in pre-market trading after the company announced its plans to sell a $9.8 billion portfolio of mortgage servicing rights to Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NSM).

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (NASDAQ: TSEM) shares rose 8.32% to $14.84 in pre-market trading after the company reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter.

Home Loan Servicing Solutions, Ltd. (NASDAQ: HLSS) gained 8.18% to $18.11 in pre-market trading after New Residential Investment Corp. (NYSE: NRZ) announced its plans to acquire HLSS for $18.25 per share in cash

Posted-In: PreMarket GainersNews Pre-Market Outlook Markets Movers

UPDATE: Credit Suisse Reiterates Outperform, Raises Price Target On Aetna Following Investor Meetings

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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In a report published Monday, Credit Suisse analyst Ralph Giacobbe reiterated an Outperform rating on Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET), and raised the price target from $103.00 to $112.00.

In the report, Credit Suisse noted, “We recently hosted investor meetings with AET mgmt including CEO Mark Bertolini and CFO Shawn Guertin through London. Meetings were generally upbeat with discussion around continuation of muted underlying cost trend, growth opportunities stemming from public/private exchange and MA, optimism around M&A, and longer-term positioning of the company/industry. We remain comfortable/confident in our estimates with an upward bias to numbers, and view valuation as attractive at 12.3x our 2016 EPS, the cheapest in the group. We reiterate our Outperform rating and are raising our target price to $112 (from $103); AET remains our top pick in Managed Care and is on the Credit Suisse Focus List.”

Aetna closed on Friday at $97.92.

Latest Ratings for AET

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2015 Deutsche Bank Maintains Buy
Feb 2015 UBS Maintains Buy
Jan 2015 Jefferies Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for AET
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Credit Suisse Ralph GiacobbeAnalyst Color Price Target Analyst Ratings


Phil's Favorites

Trump and the problem with pardons


Trump and the problem with pardons

Courtesy of Andrew Bell, Indiana University

As a veteran, I was astonished by the recent news that President Trump may be considering pardons for U.S. military members accused or convicted of war crimes. But as a scholar who studies the U.S. military and combat ethics, I understand even more clearly the harmful long-term impact such pardons can have on the military.

My researc...

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Zero Hedge

Cryptos Are Exploding Higher, Bitcoin At 12-Month Highs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The cryptocurrency market cap surged above $260 billion in early Asian trading tonight as the entire space legs to a new cycle high, led by Litecoin with Bitcoin hitting 12-month highs.


Litecoin is up around 12% in the last hour and the rest of the crypto-space is up 7-8% suddenly...


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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ... more from Insider

Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...

more from Kimble C.S.

Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!

Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


more from Biotech


More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>