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Monday, February 16, 2026

Primary Scorecard: Can Trump Hit His Magic Numbers Tonight?

Courtesy of Mish.

Nate Silver has some interesting Delegate Count Analysis regarding the number of delegates each candidate needs to win tonight to stay on the path for the nomination.

Silver did not say so directly, but odds for anyone but Trump hitting their count are ridiculous. With that in mind, let’s just spotlight Trump’s “Magic Numbers”, from the perspective of what Silver thinks Trump needs to do.

Currently, Silver has Trump ahead of where he needs to be heading into today’s primaries. Can Trump hold his lead?

Trump’s Nomination Path

Trump Tuesday 1

Delegates In Play Tonight

Trump Tuesday 2

Tuesday Scorecard


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