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Grim Election Map for Trump? Fox Analyst vs. RCP vs. Mish

By Ilene
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Courtesy of Mish.

Juan Williams, political analyst for Fox News Channel says Electoral Map Looks Grim for Trump.

I believe the map looks grim for Hillary.

Clearly one of us is wrong, so let’s compare maps and analysis.

Juan Williams

To win the 270 votes needed to claim victory in the electoral college, Trump will have to keep every single state won by Romney — including Arizona and Georgia — and find 64 more electoral votes somewhere.

The question is where? If Trump holds all the Romney states and carries Virginia, Pennsylvania and Florida, he still loses.

“Every preliminary electoral-map forecast this spring paints a bleak picture for Donald Trump in his effort to win the presidency against Hillary Clinton,” Dan Balz recently wrote in the Washington Post.

Balz pointed to separate forecasts from three veteran political handicappers who make the same prediction: Trump is going to get crushed by Clinton in an electoral college landslide.

Larry Sabato, Charlie Cook and Stu Rothenberg all predict a big Clinton victory. For example, Sabato projects Clinton to win 347 electoral votes to Trump’s 191.

RCP Map Analysis 2016-05-23

What a bunch of hooey. Let’s start with an RCP Tossup Map.

Election Map 2016-05-23-RCP

It’s absurd to start with a map of “Romney states”.


Continue reading here…

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