Courtesy of Mish.
I decided to check on Nate Silver’s California Primary Predictions, this time on the Democratic side.
Once again I find his analysis, and even his math absurd.
Polls-Plus Primary Odds
California Polls
Somehow Silver magically assign 92% odds of Clinton winning even though recent trends are swinging heavily towards Bernie Sanders. Clinton is still in the lead, but she holds a mere 1 percentage point advantage in the most recent poll.
It’s also ludicrous for Silver to post Sanders’ polling average at 42.9%.




