Courtesy of Mish.
In the Brexit battle, undecided voters are now strongly breaking into the Leave camp.
A new set of Guardian/ICM poll (one online and one telephone) shows Leave with a 6 point lead in each. The telephone poll is 53-47 with the percentage of undecided voters sinking to 6%.
This continues the trend I warned Matt Singh at Number Cruncher Politics about.
Singh does not dispute the numbers unlike other recent polls believed to be biased.
Leave is in the lead in a running average of the latest six polls and the latest four polls.
Please consider EU referendum: leave takes six-point lead in Guardian/ICM polls.
Support for leaving the EU is strengthening, with phone and online surveys reporting a six-point lead, according to a pair of Guardian/ICM polls.
Leave now enjoys a 53%-47% advantage once “don’t knows” are excluded, according to research conducted over the weekend, compared with a 52%-48% split reported by ICM a fortnight ago.
The figures will make grim reading for David Cameron, George Osborne and the Labour party. They follow a fortnight in which immigration became the dominant issue in the referendum campaign, with the publication of official figures showing that net migration had risen to a near-record 333,000 in 2015.
Prof John Curtice of Strathclyde University, who analyses available referendum polling data on his website whattheukthinks.org noted that after the ICM data, the running average “poll of polls” would stand at 52% for leave and 48% for remain, the first time leave has been in such a strong position.
Leave in Lead
