Courtesy of Mish.
Yesterday I wrote how that even recent phone polls show Leave ahead in the Brexit debate.
A BMG poll that was supposed to be released on Friday was delayed until today. That poll strongly reverses other recent telephone polls.
The headline reads “Remain 53.3%, Leave 46.7%” but that representation is quite inaccurate.
The BMG/Herald Final EU Referendum shows Remain leads 46% to 43% with 11% undecided.
Don’t Knows and PNTS (prefer not to say) totaled 11%. From this set of numbers BMG issued the final result “Remain 53.3%, Leave 46.7%”. Remain lead by 7pts after imputed DK/PNTSs.”
Why impute voting intention for Undecideds and Refusals?
BMG states “It is our view that using predicted voting intentions to impute voting intentions for undecideds and refusals is preferable and more accurate than existing methods of excluding undecideds and refusals.”
