Courtesy of Mish.
Four new Brexit polls came out today.
- An online poll by Opinium was slightly in favor of Leave.
- An online poll by TNS was slightly in favor of Leave.
- An online poll by YouGov was slightly in favor of Remain.
- A phone poll by ComRes shows a 6 point lead for Remain.
If you give the nod to phone polls, Remain is in the lead. Nonetheless, let’s take a deeper look.
Brexit Polls Final Tally
The surge for leave peaked on June 13 or so, before the Jo Cox murder. Many claim “I told you so.”
While I cannot dispute the peak, what happened next is highly debatable. It is likely Jo Cox amplified the expected snapback.
Quotable Quotes
Unlikely the Final Say: Comres: Andrew Hawkins, Chairman of ComRes, said: “As anticipated, the final campaign week has seen a boost for the status quo. But if Remain win, as now appears likely, it will be a victory lacking enthusiasm. Support for Remain is broad and shallow, with Remain voters responding most to warnings about the negative economic risks of voting to Leave. In contrast, support for Leave is deeper but narrower. The burning question now is whether Remain’s win will be of a sufficient margin to settle the issue of EU membership ‘for a generation’, as David Cameron put it. The visceral mood of the campaign, the negative messaging and the likely closeness of the outcome all make it unlikely that this is the end.”
