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Friday, December 19, 2025

Don’t Conflate Seasonality in Oil Market With Rebalancing

Courtesy of EconMatters

Price doesn`t equate a market being in balance, and seasonality has a drawing and a building season in the oil market. A market being in balance means supplies are stagnant not going up or down. Total supplies are still going up during the drawing season. Therefore, oil market still in surplus mode, and not rebalancing.

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