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Sunday, February 22, 2026

Too Late to Worry: Fed Way Late to Rate Hike Party

Courtesy of Mish.

Golden Opportunity to Hike in 2014

The Fed had a golden opportunity to hike in 2014.

2nd quarter GDP rose at 4.0% annualized, 3rd quarter rose at 5.0% annualized, and 4th quarter rose at 2.3% annualized.

Instead the Fed was worried about growth, when growth was fine. Where the heck were the dissents for hikes in 2014?

opportunity-to-hike

Last Three Quarters

  • 2nd Quarter 2016: 1.4%
  • 1st Quarter 2016 : 0.8%
  • 4th Quarter 2015: 0.9%

At the last FOMC meeting there were three dissents in favor of hikes.

Curiously, the Fed is no longer worried about growth. Instead, some members of the Fed are increasingly worrying over bubbles they have blown.


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