Courtesy of Mish.
Nate Silver has Trump’s odds of Winning New Hampshire at 35.3%. Recent polls suggest far better Trump odds by my way of looking at things. Let’s take a look.
Silver arrives at that number based on recent polls.
New Hampshire Polls
Polls prior to October 26 are too dated. I discarded three polls. It’s possible the University of New Hampshire poll is too dated as well, but I left it.
Of the recent polls, one is a tie, three favor Hillary, and three favor Trump.
The Survey Monkey poll is so wildly different one might want to reject it outright. Nonetheless,I left that poll in the mix as well.
