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Sunday, February 15, 2026

Is the Rise in Price Inflation Transitory?

Courtesy of Mish.

The latest CPI Release from the BLS shows prices ticked up 0.3% in August from September.

Year-over-year inflation is up 1.5%. We are nearing the Fed’s 2% inflation goal. Inflationists call this “progress”.

Today I ask a simple question “Is the Rise in Price Inflation Transitory?”

Bear in mind, I am talking about how the BLS measures inflation, not actual inflation. Actual inflation is a measure of money supply and credit.

Even price inflation, as reported, is nonsense because medical expenses are seriously understated, and housing is not included in the CPI at all.

More accurately, the actual question I strive to answer today is “Is the rise in price inflation, as measured by the BLS, transitory?”

My answer to that question is “yes”. The reason is energy. From August to September energy commodities were up 5.5% and gasoline 5.8%. Those numbers have reversed.

crude-daily-2016-11-07


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