Archive for 2016

“Bowels Emptied! Women Molested!” German Media Reveals “Monstrous” CCTV Footage Of Refugee Pool Mayhem

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Europeans are struggling to come to terms with the wave of Mid-East refugees that have inundated the bloc over the course of the last 12 months.

The challenge, for those inclined to believe that German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s multicultural utopia is feasible, is to adopt an open minded approach to the prospect of integrating millions of Muslim asylum seekers into a largely Christian society while retaining a healthy level of skepticism with regard to the prospect of unifying two vastly divergent cultures.

Even those who are predisposed to being patient with the integration process are beginning to question the wisdom behind Berlin’s open-door policy.

Interestingly, it wasn’t the murder of 130 people in Paris that served as the catalyst for what amounts to a wholesale shift in sentiment towards migrants. While there was certainly a public outcry in the wake of the Paris attacks, the backlash coalesced after New Year’s Eve, when scores of women were reportedly assaulted by men of “Arab origin.”

Since then, voters have moved to express their discontent with the bloc’s handling of the refugee crisis by taking to the streets in what on many occasions have turned out to be violent protests.

The official response has been mixed. Germany has endeavored to keep the faith (as it were) by preserving the “yes we can” narrative in public, but in private, many German politicians claim the country is on the verge of closing its borders. Austria has apparently had enough, has suspended Schengen, and is now requiring refugees to learn German or risk losing access to welfare. The country has also developed a pictographic flyer designed to coach migrants on what types of behaviors are acceptable in polite Western European society.

Switzerland has adopted the Austrian flyer and Germany has developed its own cartoons the government hopes will to clear up any “confusion” about how asylum seekers should act once settled in Europe.

A particularly sensitive issue is pool etiquette. If you believe the media, refugees are having a particularly difficult time figuring out how to behave when swimming in public. The controversy led one small German town near Cologne (the site of the New Year’s Eve assaults) to ban adult male asylum seekers from swimming.

Well, despite the best efforts
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Investors Cheer Triple H's Royal Rumble, WWE Championship Victory

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Shares of World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE: WWE) hulked up on Monday, hitting a day-high of $17.66 after opening at the $16.70 level.

The stock closed at $17.29, up 3.3 percent.

The company's annual Royal Rumble event took place on Sunday night. In a unique twist, the WWE Championship was defended in the event's eponymous match for the first time in its 28-year history. WWE's rising star, Roman Reigns, defended the title but was eliminated by the surprise entrant Triple H.

Related Link: Why Focusing On WWE's Recent Ratings Struggles Is 'Rather Short Sighted'

Triple H is the ring name of Paul Levesque, who was one of the hottest stars during the company's late 1990s-early 2000s heyday. He has been a part-time wrestler over the past decade, and hadn't participated in a match since April 2015.

Levesque is WWE's Executive Vice President (Talent/Live Events/Creative).

WWE stock is hot around this time of year, as the company's annual Road To Wrestlemania begins. Wrestlemania 32 will take place on April 3 at AT&T Stadium. The success of the event — in which the company hopes to break an attendance record of 100,000 fans — will certainly be on investors minds.

The growth of WWE Network, which is about to wrap up its second year of existence, will also be telling. The network has expanded to three countries since last year's Wrestlemania: Germany, Japan and India.

Posted-In: Royal Rumble Triple H WrestleManiaNews Events Intraday Update Movers





Kimberly Clark Rebounds From Q4 Miss

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Kimberly-Clark Reports Top And Bottom Line Miss In Q4, Shares Move Lower
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Kimberly Clark Corp (NYSE: KMB) shares are trading lower by $1.30 at $125.42 in Monday's session. The Street has punished the issue after a Q4 EPS miss of a penny with a slight miss for revenues.

After a lower open, it continued in that direction before it found support just under Wednesday's low ($121.71), reaching $121.50.

Since reaching that depressed level, it has staged a huge rebound and continued to make new highs for the session. If the rally continues, there is very little resistance until Friday's close of $126.72.

Posted-In: Technicals Intraday Update Movers Trading Ideas





Citi Upgrades PACCAR, Downgrades Cummins, Says WABCO Is A Buy

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Citi Upgrades PACCAR, Downgrades Cummins, Says WABCO Is A Buy
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  • On Monday, Citi analyst Timothy Thein and his team suggested a pair trade for North American truck stocks.
  • The firm recommended Buy-rated shares of PACCAR Inc (NASDAQ: PCAR) over Neutral-rated Cummins Inc. (NYSE: CMI).
  • In addition, the experts issued a Buy rating on shares of WABCO Holdings Inc. (NYSE: WBC).

In a report issued Monday, analysts at Citi upgraded shares of PACCAR from Neutral to Buy, while downgrading Cummins from Buy to Neutral. The experts fixed respective price targets of $54.00 and $95.00. In addition, they issued a Buy rating on WABCO, accompanied by a $110.00 price target.

The analysts explicated that, while freight fundamentals remain sluggish, and “excess truck inv’s will weigh on near-term build rates,” history suggests relative share underperformance could be diminishing. The experts believe PACCAR is an “earlier cycle” beneficiary as sentiment shifts, and continue to recommend WABCO – especially after the marked decline the stock has experienced in recent weeks.

Related Link: 2 Pair Trades: Goldman Over JPMorgan; Schwab Over Raymond James

Why PACCAR Over Cummins?

The research note went on to explain why the firm prefers PACCAR over Cummins. The analysts commented that sustained growth in high-margin parts coupled with an ongoing rebound in Western Europe “should help to drive more modest ’16 decrimentals than the bears assume.” In addition, at Citi’s $54 price target, the experts see it trading at a relative discount to the market.

On…
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KBW Just Upgraded Two Small-Cap Banks

Courtesy of Benzinga.

KBW Just Upgraded Two Small-Cap Banks
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Keefe, Bruyette & Woods recently released two reports highlighting Cardinal Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: CFNL) and First Financial Bancorp (NASDAQ: FFBC).

Analysts Catherine Mealor and Andrew Taylor upgraded Cardinal Financial to Outperform with a $23 price target. Christopher McGratty and Michael Perito upgraded First Financial from Market Perform to OutPerform with a $19.50 price target.

Cardinal Financial

“Cardinal Bank is a high performing bank that continues to deliver attractive balance sheet growth with exceptional credit quality trends in the metro DC market under its ‘Aggressive on Sales, Conservative on Risk’ operating philosophy,” the report stated.

Related Link: 2 Pair Trades: Goldman Over JPMorgan; Schwab Over Raymond James

“The current valuation supports our expectations for 6–7 percent EPS growth over the next two years; however, we believe upside in the stock could come in the form of an M&A catalyst with CFNL as either a buyer or a seller,” KBW continued.

Another positive catalyst that KBW noted is Cardinal Financial’s mortgage subsidiary George Mason Mortgage. Analysts believe the business unit has brought volatility to earnings; however, its “purchase money focus” in a strong market could provide a cushion in industry downturns.

First Financial

“The company returned to the M&A arena in 2014 with 3 bank deals, which collectively boosted assets by about 10 percent,” the analysts said.

“This evolving dynamic, along with a healthy 4 percent yield are key investment considerations in the near term,” KBW explained, “We expect 11 percent EPS growth in 2016.”

KBW analysts highlighted that First Financial showed strong organic growth, with loans increasing 13 percent in 2015. This may drive the company’s stock going forward in the competitive financial services industry.

At The Time Of This Publication…

  • Cardinal Financial was seen trading at $17.86, down 2.35 percent.
  • First

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    Credit Suisse Maintains Outperform Ratings On Activision Blizzard, EA Following Holiday Season

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

    Related ATVI
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    • While shares of Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) and Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) are down 8 percent and 6 percent since December 28, Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: EA) shares have gained 1 percent.
    • Credit Suisse’s Stephen Ju maintained Outperform ratings for Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, and a Neutral rating for Take-Two.
    • The biggest changes to December quarter estimates are for Activision Blizzard, while those for Electronic Arts and Take-Two are modest, Ju stated.

    “The biggest changes to the model come for ATVI as we adjust for Overwatch and layer in contribution for KING. For EA and TTWO we have made only modest adjustments to our near-to-medium term unit volume estimates as the product release slate has not changed materially,” analyst Stephen Ju wrote.

    Activision Blizzard

    The price target for the company has been raised from $40 to $41. Call of Duty Black Ops 3 is expected to be the main driver of Activision Blizzard’s 4Q results. Ju estimates 18.0mm units for the title in FY15.

    Overwatch appears poised for a console+PC release, compared to expectations of a PC+online only release. While the acquisition of King Digital Entertainment PLC (NYSE: KING) has not yet been completed, its contribution is likely to commence in 2Q16.

    The adjusted EPS estimates for 4Q, 2016 and 2017 have been raised from $0.83 to $0.84, from $1.58 to $1.93 and from $1.90 to $2.40, respectively.

    Electronic Arts

    The price target for the company has been maintained at $90. The FY16 estimate for Star Wars Battlefront is unchanged at 12.85 million units, since management has…
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    Kerrisdale Short Zafgen, Says Beloranib Has 'No Reasonable Chance' Of FDA Approval And Recent Bullishness Is 'Misplaced'

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

    Kerrisdale Short Zafgen, Says Beloranib Has 'No Reasonable Chance' Of FDA Approval And Recent Bullishness Is 'Misplaced'
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    Zafgen Inc (NASDAQ: ZFGN) shares are up 41 percent in the last five trading days amid positive data for beloranib's ability to treat weight loss in patients with Prader-Willi syndrome. In a new report Monday morning, hedge fund Kerrisdale Capital said it is short the stock with a $3 price target. Shares closed last week at $8.30.

    According to Kerrisdale, the market's positive reaction to beloranib efficacy is "misplaced," as it leads to weight loss of 4 to 5 percent but increases the risk of death four-fold. Zafgen’s experimental drug is "highly dangerous," it added. "With patients’ lives at stake, Kerrisdale believes the FDA will reject Zafgen’s pleas for another chance," the fund added.

    The FDA put Phase 3 trials of beloranib on partial hold in October after two patient deaths.

    "While no one knows why Zafgen’s drug is harming patients, similar drugs (called angiogenesis inhibitors) cause similar side effects, suggesting that there is no easy fix."

    With other "safer" competitors already on the market, Kerrisdale said Zafgen is "worth no more than the present value of the cash it will hold" with its only clinical candidate "gone and little else in its pipeline."

    'No Good Way To Mitigate Beloranib's Risks'

    Kerrisdale also took aim at sell-side analysts who believe Zafgen has a "risk mitigation plan." The fact that the second patient death occured as Zafgen was screening for risk factors shows — in the fund's opinion — that "it is now glaringly obvious that Zafgen doesn't know what to look for…the countermeasures it came up with after one patient died didn't stop a second patient from dying of the same cause."

    Kerrisdale added that further human experiments are…
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    Peabody Energy Has Multiple Undisclosed SEC Probes, New Report Warns

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

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    According to Probes Reporter, an independent investment research firm that focuses on public companies’ interactions with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE: BTU) is “playing Disclosure Games” with investors regarding ongoing SEC investigative activity.

    Probes Reporter noted in a research report on Monday that Peabody announced the sale of its stake in Prairie State Energy, an entity which is related to an SEC probe dating back to 2013.

    “Data recently received from the SEC has two disturbing reveals,” the Probes Reporter research document stated. “First, the SEC confirmed enforcement proceedings were on-going as of 30-Nov-2015. We were also told there is/were multiple SEC probes.”

    The report added Peabody’s disclosures, namely an 8-K document filed in December 2015, gives the “[clear] impression” that there was only one SEC investigation which involved Prairie State and the company further suggested it has not received any related communication from the SEC since August 2013.

    “Updates on SEC activity at Peabody merely repeat in form and substance what’s been disclosed earlier without any helpful update,” the report continued. “The disclosure related to not hearing anything from the SEC since Aug-2013 is repeated in the following filings: 10-Q filed in May-2014; 10-K filed on 25-Feb-2015; 10-Q’s filed on 07-Aug-2015, and 09-Nov-2015; and, an 8-K filed on 14-Dec-2015.”

    Accordingly, the Probes Reporter report stated that Peabody’s investors could be left “in the dark” regarding how the sale of its Prairie State asset will impact the company going forward, or if there is “cause to worry.”

    “Now it’s time to ask: Who does that?” the report questioned. “That is, who continues to disclose some long-ago SEC investigation well after it supposedly ended? Dear reader, whenever you see a disclosure like this, we recommend you absolutely assume there is some reason company lawyers decided it had to stay … and stay … and stay. If this is Peabody Energy’s version of transparency, we say it fails. “

    Shares of Peabody…
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    Why Shares Of Valeant Pharmaceuticals Spiked

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

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    Shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl Inc (NYSE: VRX) were trading higher by more than 6 percent on Monday after the company announced the Food and Drug Administration has accepted for review the Biologics License Application (BLA) the company submitted as part of a partnership with AstraZeneca plc (ADR) (NYSE: AZN).

    Valeant and AstraZeneca's brodalumab injection is a monoclonal antibody that targets the IL-17 receptor. The therapy is in development for patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. The therapy is in development for patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.

    Shares of Valeant opened for trading at $88.00. The stock was under heavy buying pressure throughout the morning and by early afternoon the stock was higher by nearly 6 percent at $93.82.

    The FDA has assigned a prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) action date of November 16, 2016. Meanwhile, the Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) for brodalumab in psoriasis was already accepted by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) in the fourth quarter of 2015.

    Posted-In: AstraZeneca Biologics License Application brodalumab FDANews FDA Intraday Update Movers





    Independent Proxy Advisory Firm Recommends Plum Creek Shareholders Approve A Pending Merger With Weyerhaeuser Company

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

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    Mid-Day Market Update: Dow Tumbles Over 200 Points; Plum Creek Timber Shares Jump Following Weyerhaeuser Deal

    Weyerhauser Co (NYSE: WY), a real estate investment trust company that is an owner of timberlands, entered into an agreement to acquire Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (NYSE: PCL), a peer timberland owner, back in November of last year.

    On Friday, Plum Creek Timber announced that Institutional Shareholder Services ("ISS"), a leading independent proxy advisory firm, issued a report in which the firm recommended investors vote to approve the proposed merger.

    Plum Creek will hold a special shareholder meeting on February 12 to vote on the proposed merger.

    "We are pleased that ISS supports the merger transaction between Plum Creek and Weyerhaeuser and recommends that shareholders vote in favor of the Agreement and Plan of Merger. The proposed merger offers a compelling opportunity to bring together an extraordinary set of assets and a best-in-class management team that, when combined, will create the world's premier timber, land and forest products company," said Rick Holley, chief executive officer.

    Posted-In: Institutional Shareholder Services ISS REIT timber TimberlandNews M&A





     
     
     

    Zero Hedge

    Bloomberg System Goes Down Ahead Of US Open

    Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

    For the second time in a few months, the Bloomberg Terminal system appears to be down and is causing panic across Wall Street ahead of the US market open...

    Traders are not happy...

    When Bloomberg panels go down 8 minutes before the open...... pic.twitter.com/pqoQoyoBHj

    — NOD (@NOD008) January 17, 2019 ...

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    Kimble Charting Solutions

    Triple Breakout Test In Play For S&P 500!

    Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

    Is the rally of late about to run out of steam or is a major breakout about to take place in the S&P 500? What happens at current prices should go a long way in determining this question.

    This chart looks at the equal weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) on a daily basis over the past 15-months.

    The rally from the lows on Christmas Eve has RSP testing the top of a newly formed falling channel while testing the underneath side of the 2018 trading range and its falling 50-day moving average at (1).

    At this time RPS is facing a triple resistance test. Wil...



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    Phil's Favorites

    Brexit deal flops, Theresa May survives -- so what happens now?

     

    Brexit deal flops, Theresa May survives -- so what happens now?

    Courtesy of Victoria Honeyman, University of Leeds

    As the clock ticks down to March 29 2019, all of the political manoeuvring, negotiating, arguing and fighting is coming to a peak. In the two and a half years since the 2016 EU referendum, views on both sides have hardened and agreement still seems as far away as it was the day after the referendum.

    With Theresa May’s withdrawal agreement disliked by all sides, and voted down by an unprecedented majority in the House of Commons, everyone is wondering what can and should be done next?

    ...



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    Digital Currencies

    Crypto-Bubble: Will Bitcoin Bottom In February Or Has It Already?

    Courtesy of Michelle Jones via ValueWalk.com

    The new year has been relatively good for the price of bitcoin after a spectacular collapse of the cryptocurrency bubble in 2018. It’s up notably since the middle of December and traded around the psychological level of $4,000... so is this a sign that the crypto market is about to recover?

    Of course, it depends on who you ask, but one analyst discovered a pattern which might point to a bottom next month.

    A year after the cryptocurrency bubble popped

    CCN...



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    ValueWalk

    D.E. Shaw Investment Calls For Leadership Change At EQT

    By ActivistInsight. Originally published at ValueWalk.

    Elliott Management has offered to acquire QEP Resources for approximately $2.1 billion, contending the oil and gas explorer’s turnaround efforts have done little to lift the company’s share price. The company responded and said that a thorough review of the proposition is imperative in order to properly act in the best interests of shareholders, “taking into account the company’s other alternatives and current market conditions.” The news came only a month after Travelport Worldwide agreed to sell itself to Siris Capital Group and Elliott’s private equity arm Evergreen Coast Capital for $4.4 billion in cash and two months after Athenahealth was bought by Veritas and Evergreen for $5.7 bi...



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    Insider Scoop

    UBS Says Disney's Streaming Ambition Gives It A 'New Hope'

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

    Related DIS Despite Some Risks, Analysts Still Expecting Double Digit Growth From Communications Services In Q4 ...

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    Chart School

    Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

    Courtesy of Blain.

    In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

    Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...



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    Members' Corner

    Why Trump Can't Learn

     

    Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

    Why Trump Can’t Learn

    Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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    Biotech

    Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

    Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

     

    Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

    Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from www.shutterstock.com

    Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

    Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.

    ...

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    Mapping The Market

    Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

    By Jean-Luc

    Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

    Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

    The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

    By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

    The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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    OpTrader

    Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

    Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

     

    This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

    We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

    Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

    To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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    Promotions

    Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

     

     

    Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

    Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

    In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

    This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

    Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

     

    ·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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    About Phil:

    Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

    Learn more About Phil >>


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    About Ilene:

    Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

    Market Shadows >>