Archive for 2016

Should Kohl's Guidance Worry Long-Term Investors, Or Is It Much Ado About Nothing?

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related KSS
Benzinga's Top Downgrades
Mid-Afternoon Market Update: Kohl's Drops On Lowered Forecast; Glu Mobile Shares Spike Higher
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Investors in Kohl’s Corporation (NYSE: KSS) saw some very mild relief over Monday’s trading session. After plunging nearly 18 percent on Thursday of last week amid lowered fiscal year 2016 guidance, the stock rebounded more than a percent Monday.

UBS analyst Michael Binetti issued a research note early Monday morning, certainly not helping bulls in the stock.

The analyst, in the title of the note, questioned, “Was KSS 4Q Guide Down Weather or a Signal About Longer-Term Trends?”

Binetti reduced his fourth-quarter EPS estimate from $1.95 to $1.58 and his FY15 estimate from $4.37 to $4 even. The analyst consensus estimate shows analysts have modeled for quarterly earnings of about $1.57 per share and FY15 EPS around $4.03.

Reflecting the lowered earnings estimates, Binetti trimmed his price target on shares of Kohl’s from $49 to $45.

“We believe KSS ended 4Q with high inventories, which will likely further pressure 1Q16—which, in combination with a slow exit rate from January, will likely lead to a more conservative and back-weighted FY16 EPS guide,” according to Binetti.

Latest Ratings for KSS

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2016 Atlantic Equities Downgrades Neutral Underweight
Feb 2016 Nomura Maintains Buy
Feb 2016 MKM Partners Downgrades Buy Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for KSS
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: ado kohl's much adoAnalyst Color Long Ideas Price Target Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas





Bob Peck Still Buying LendingTree, Sees $90 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Bob Peck Still Buying LendingTree, Sees $90 Per Share

Related TREE
SunTrust: LendingTree's 2016 Guidance Is Conservative
LendingTree Starts To Recover As Investors Cheer CEO's Bullish Comments

On Monday, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey issued a report on Lendingtree Inc (NASDAQ: TREE) amid concerns over the future growth of the company. Currently, analysts at SunTrust rate LendingTree as a Buy, while lowering their price target from $120 to $90.

Robert Peck and Matthew Thornton, analysts at SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, wrote, “LendingTree shares have declined more than 30 percent in the year-to-date on a variety of investor concerns ranging from macro to company-specific issues [...]While we reduce PT to $90 from $120 to reflect a re-rated market, we think the risk-reward is favorable. Reiterate Buy.”

Related Link: Analysts Say LendingTree’s 25% Selloff Is Unjustified

Key Catalysts Moving Forward

Analysts at SunTrust highlighted two key catalysts that could drive the company going forward:

1. Top-Line Growth
SunTrust believes Wall Street’s estimate of 25 percent year-over-year top-line growth for 2016 is conservative given LendingTree’s 2015 revenue growth of around 50 percent. If LendingTree can grow its loans at a higher rate than estimates, the company’s stock value could increase substantially.

2. Advertising Investments
The analysts noted that LendingTree spent over $1 million on TV commercials in 2015. This investment has the potential to drive revenue growth and demand for their financial services over the following quarters, as new customers see the company’s value proposition. However, the advertising expense may put pressure on LendingTree margins, which SunTrust believes investors have to be prepared for.

At the time of this publication, LendingTree was seen trading at $54.93, down 8.53 percent.

Image Credit: Public Domain

Latest Ratings for TREE

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2016 Northland Securities Initiates Coverage on Outperform
Jan 2016 SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Maintains Buy
Dec 2015 Bank of America Upgrades Neutral Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TREE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Matthew ThorntonAnalyst Color Long Ideas Price Target Reiteration Markets Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas





Why This Analyst Is Pounding The Table On Qlik Technologies

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Why This Analyst Is Pounding The Table On Qlik Technologies

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  • The share price of Qlik Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: QLIK) has declined 46.41 percent over the past six months, to a low of $21.21 on February 5.
  • Brean Capital’s Yun Kim has maintained a Buy rating on the company, with a price target of $40.
  • Kim believes all potentially negative news is already “more than fully reflected” in the share price.

Analyst Yun Kim mentioned checks suggest the company would report robust results for F4Q, “driven by continued market adoption of its Qlik Sense product and solid execution across all geographies.”

Kim also expects the company to report a sixth consecutive quarter of year-on-year increase in the number of large deals, over $1 million, “demonstrating its ability to execute on large deals.”

Related Link: Tableau’s Plunge Is Killing Other Cloud Names, But Does It Indicate A Long-Term Pattern?

Following the selloff in the stock on February 5, Kim also believes the risk/reward has turned favorable going into the earnings call on February 11 and stated that a “potential modest guide down is already fully reflected in the stock.”

According to the Brean Capital report, Qlik Technologies is possibly the best positioned to benefit from the current trends in data discovery/analytics, which is likely to be entering a mass market adoption stage.

“With QLIK having invested in upgrading its sales infrastructure over the past several years, we believe it is well positioned to grab a lion share of these large deal opportunities that are emerging,” the report added.

Image Credit: Public Domain

Latest Ratings for QLIK

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2016 Deutsche Bank Maintains Buy
Jan 2016 Nomura Maintains Buy
Jan 2016 Mitsubishi UFJ Initiates Coverage on Overweight

View More Analyst Ratings for QLIK
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brean Capital LLC Yun KimAnalyst Color Long Ideas Reiteration Analyst Ratings Tech Trading Ideas





CTS Corp Hits A New 52-Week Low Following Q4 Miss, 2016 Guidance

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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CTS Corporation misses by $0.05, misses on revenue (Seeking Alpha)

Shares of CTS Corporation (NYSE: CTS) were trading lower by more than 7 percent on Monday and hit a new 52-week low of $12.90 after the company reported its fourth quarter results.

CTS earned $0.20 per share in the fourth quarter on revenue of $93.3 million. Wall Street analysts were expecting the company to earn $0.25 per share on revenue of $99 million.

GAAP loss for the quarter totaled $13.7 million (or $0.42 per share) in the quarter compared to an earnings of $7.0 million (or $0.21 per share) in the same quarter a year ago. The company noted that its quarterly GAAP loss includes a discrete tax charge of $0.34 per share and restructuring related charges of $0.28 per share.

Sales for the full fiscal year fell 5.4 percent to $382.3 million as currency impacted total sales unfavorably by $7.8 million. Adjusted earnings per share for the full year also fell to $0.93 per share from $0.97 in 2014.

Looking forward to fiscal 2016, CTS guided its earnings per share to a range of $0.95 to $1.05 on revenue of $390 million to $400 million. Wall Street analysts were already estimating the company to earn $1.04 per share on revenue of $397.6 million.

"CTS had a challenging 2015, and we were disappointed with our revenue performance. However, we achieved a number of significant accomplishments during the year. We improved our gross margin. We also successfully completed the transition of manufacturing from our plant in Canada, added several new customers, and acquired new technology and IP as part of our strategic plans," said Kieran O'Sullivan, CEO of CTS Corporation. "We had a record year for new business awards with an increase of 16% year-over-year. We are building backlog and staying on course towards our long-term strategic growth objectives."

Posted-In: CTS CTS Corp Kieran O’SullivanEarnings News Guidance Movers





JC Parets Is Selling Tesla Motors Inc…For GM?

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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One Of The Most Promising Autonomous Carmakers You Probably Haven't Heard Of Yet
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Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares have had an awful 2016. The stock, which closed last year near $240, is all the way down to the $150 range on Monday, February 8. Perhaps even worse for investors, a big name in the world of technical analysis just unveiled a bear thesis on the company in which he prefers buying General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) stock.

"The trend in the automotive industry has been buy Tesla and sell everything else," Parets wrote on Sunday night.

"This has worked for a long time but I believe this is now changing."

Parets displayed a chart comparing GM versus Tesla, which he said has been "building a massive base" over the long-term. It's possible current price movements in Tesla indicates both stocks are undergoing a "bearish to bullish reversal," as the pair broke out of a two-year downtrend line.

gmtsla_0.png

"The bullish divergence in momentum last year sparked this rally and now momentum is in a solid bullish range," Parets added, explaining that he wants to be long GM vs. Tesla "aggressively" as long as both are above that 2013 downtrend line.

For its part, GM isn't having a great 2016 either, but it is outperforming Tesla. The latter is down 36 percent year-to-date, while GM has fallen 16 percent this year.

Posted-In: General Motors GM JC ParetsAnalyst Color Short Ideas Movers Tech Trading Ideas





Buckingham Sees 36% Upside in Virgin America

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Virgin America -5% as sentiment sours (Seeking Alpha)

Buckingham Research slashed its price target and fourth-quarter earnings outlook Virgin America Inc (NASDAQ: VA) on the back of its recently released cost per available seat miles (CASM) outlook. However, the brokerage sees 36 percent upside on the stock, driven by the airline’s fundamentals and attractive valuation.

The company's CASM excluding special items, fuel and profit sharing increased about 4.6 percent for the fourth quarter versus the same period last year. CASM is a key metric in airline industry used to measure how much it costs to operate each offered seat mile.

Analyst Daniel McKenzie cut his fourth-quarter profit forecast by $0.20 to $1.10 a share and price target by $11 to $40, which still represents 9.6 times the company's estimated 2016 earnings of $4.16 a share.

The low-cost carrier attributed the nonfuel CASM due to higher-than-expected marketing costs, lumpy maintenance expense that was moved forward from the first quarter 2016 and crew training costs.

"We've set aside mgmt.'s 2016 cost guidance and separately, adopted a more cautious stance on revenue, both largely offset by fuel which softens the EPS impact, hence the nickel trim to our 2016 EPS," McKenzie said in a note. "While competitive capacity remains elevated in 1Q16, industry capacity growth in VA's market nonetheless slows by 200 bps sequentially to roughly +5% in 1H16 (leap-year adjusted). Competitive capacity in its most affected market, Dallas, however slows to +2% (vs +10% in 4Q15)," the analyst added.

However, the airline has room to grow its ancillary revenue. It currently earns $24 per passenger in ancillary revenue versus peers at $32-33 per passenger. Virgin Airline has upgraded its systems and is targeting similar kinds of revenue production.

"We estimate the combined initiatives over time are worth $0.90/share ($10 to the stock)," said McKenzie, who has a Buy rating on Virgin America shares.

The company's shares are down 18 percent this year and trade at about 7x the analyst’s revised…
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Tesla Motors Inc's Stock Continues To Fall As Bearish Sentiment Rises

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Shares of Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) were trading lower by more than 3 percent at $157.68 early Monday morning. Monday morning's price action implies the stock could open for trading below its 52-week low of $157.74.

One possible explanation for Monday's decline in Tesla's stock is an overall rise in bearish sentiment. According to StockTwits, 52 percent of investor sentiment is bearish.

Related Link: Could Tesla Motors Inc Stock Be Headed For Double Digits?

StockTwits' data shows that the bearish sentiment of Tesla's stock heading into 2016 was just 22 percent.

Investors and traders appear to also be shrugging off as report from analysts at Credit Suisse, which suggested that the company's slower-than-expected Model X ramp is not due to any fundamental issues. The analysts added that Tesla's slowed production could be attributed to addressing quality issues.

The company is scheduled to release its Q4 earnings report on February 10.

Posted-In: Credit Suisse stocktwits Tesla Tesla Model X Tesla stockNews Pre-Market Outlook Movers





BlackBerry Falls 2% As Company Confirms Job Cuts

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Shares of BlackBerry Ltd (NASDAQ: BBRY) were trading lower by more than 2 percent early Monday morning after the company confirmed it plans on initiating large-scale job cuts.

Mobile Syrup, an independent media source that covers mobile technology news in Canada, reported on Friday that BlackBerry has fired approximately 1,000 employees in both Canada and the U.S.

BlackBerry confirmed in a statement over the weekend that approximately 200 employees, not the previously suggested 1,000 figure, have been impacted by a headcount reduction as part of a turnaround plan.

"As BlackBerry continues to execute its turnaround plan, we remain focused on driving efficiencies across our global workforce," BlackBerry said in a statement. "This means finding new ways to enable us to capitalize on growth opportunities, while driving toward sustainable profitability across all parts of our business. As a result, approximately 200 employees have been impacted in Canada and Florida. It also means that BlackBerry is actively recruiting in those areas of our business that will drive growth. For those employees that have recently left the company, we know that they have worked hard on behalf of our company and we are grateful for their commitment and contributions."

Posted-In: Blackberry BlackBerry Job Cuts BlackBerry Turn Around Mobile SyrupNews Movers Tech





Why The ‘Sultan Of Chaos’ Is Freaking Out

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Authored by Pepe Escobar, originally posted Op-Ed at RT.com,

Picture sleepless nights at ‘Sultan’ Erdogan’s palace in Ankara. Imagine him livid when he learns the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), backed by Russian air power, started a preemptive Battle of Aleppo – through the Bayirbucak region – cutting off Ankara’s top weaponizing corridor and Jihadi highway.
 
Residents inspect damage after airstrikes by pro-Syrian government forces in Anadan city, about 10 kilometers away from the towns of Nubul and Zahraa, Northern Aleppo countryside, Syria February 3, 2016. © Abdalrhman Ismail / Reuters
 
Who controls this corridor will control the final outcome of the war in Syria.
 
Meanwhile, in Geneva, the remote-controlled Syrian opposition, a.k.a. High Negotiations Committee, graphically demonstrated they never wanted to meet with the Damascus delegation in the first place – “proximity” talks or otherwise, even after Washington and Moscow roughly agreed on a two-year transition plan leading to a theoretically secular, nonsectarian Syria.
 
The Saudi front wanted no less than Ahrar al-Sham, Jaysh al-Islam and all Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaeda in Syria, collaborators at the table in Geneva. So the Geneva charade, quicker than one can say “Road to Aleppo!” was exposed for what it is.

And forget about NATO

Notorious Saudi intel mastermind Prince Turki, a former mentor of one Osama bin Laden, has been to Paris on a PR offensive; all he could muster was an avalanche of non-denial denials – and blaming the whole Syria tragedy on Bashar al-Assad.

The bulk of the Syrian ‘opposition’ used to be armchair warriors co-opted by the CIA for years, as well as CIA Muslim Brotherhood patsies/vassals. Many of these characters preferred the joys of Paris to a hard slog on Syrian ground. Now the ‘opposition’ is basically warlords answering to the House of Saud even for bottles of water – regardless of the suit-and-tie former Ba’ath Party ministers handpicked to be the face of the opposition for the gullible Western corporate media.

Meanwhile, the ‘4+1’ – Russia, Syria, Iran, Iraq, plus Hezbollah – is now winning decisive facts on the ground. The break down;


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Catch Up On The Latest Chinese News With These Seven Bullets

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

With China offline for the next seven days as its celebrates its Lunar New Year, here are 7 bullets from Evercore ISI to get everyone up to speed on the latest developments in the world’s most troubled “growth” economy.

Evercore ISI China Weekly Summary

No one can remember (and we can’t think up) more than 7 bullets on anything.  Here, this week’s top China 7.

  • Lunar New Year, Feb 7 – 13.  All markets, business and gov’t closed the entire week.  There will be little news.  All on vacation; many headed home.  Jan-Feb data are always fouled up.    
  • Beijing says 6.5 – 7.0% is the 2016 Real GDP growth target.  In China — targets ‘set’ are targets ‘met.’  But actual economic growth this rapid — implausible to us.     
  • We have seen a giant rise recently in cheerleading stories in China’s media by many officials - claiming all is OK in the economy, finance and currency.  This is jawboning up confidence.  Not convincing to anyone.      
  • China’s domestic equity markets remain broken.  Friday close 2763 — down 21.9% YTD; down 46.5% since Jun 2015 peak of (5166).  The State is in charge; not investors.            
  • The Chinese citizenry can’t find enough attractive destinations for their savings.  So, creative new instruments are arriving just in time to fill the vacuum in an environment of — doubtful regulation, unsophisticated investors, a weak economy and a leadership elite with little ‘appreciation of’ or ‘experience with’ market forces.   
  • CNY is still on a downward path, albeit with interruptions.  We are using 6.80/USD year-end 2016; now 6.53/USD.  Forex Reserves Jan, down $99 bln, vs. Dec, down $108 bln.  We are not alarmed.        
  • New housing stimulus this last week.  A five percentage point reduction in minimum down-payment for both first home and second home buyers.  Small help.  




 
 
 

Zero Hedge

World Trade War I: US Asks South Korea To Join Anti-Huawei Campaign

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The bilateral trade war between the US and China is gradually becoming a global trade war of global geopolitical and commercial dominance between the US and Chinese spheres of influence.

Shortly after the two largest mobile phone companies in the UK decided against launching Huawei-built 5G phones this morning, and roughly around the time a bevy of Japanese tech and telecom companies including ARM Holdings, Panasonic and SoftBank all imposed a boycott on supplying Huawei with mission critical components joining Australia, and New Zealand as major US allies to end commercial relat...



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Phil's Favorites

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

 

Overpriced tech IPOs sell grand visions but aren't worth their valuations

rblfmr / Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of John Colley, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

The year of the tech IPO is 2019. Uber went public on May 10 with a US$82.4 billion valuation. Fellow ride-sharing app Lyft floated in March with a U$24 billion valuation and Pinterest had a US$10 billion IPO in April...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Emerging Markets About To Submerge If 3-Year Support Breaks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Emerging Markets about to “Submerge” and head a good deal lower? What they do at (3) will go a long way in answering this question!

Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has been lagging the broad market for the past 15-months. They hit their 50% retracement level of the last year’s highs and lows and falling resistance at (2) recently. The weakness of last has EEM trading below its 200-MA line.

EEM has spent the majority of the past 3-years inside of rising channel (1), which reflects that this trend remains up. The weakness of late has it testing the bo...



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Insider Scoop

Amgen To Buy Danish Collaborator Nuevolution For $167M

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) took a logical step forward in buying a preclinical biotech it has been collaborating with since 2016. 

What Happened

Amgen announced Wednesday an agreement to buy Copenhagen-based Nuevolution for $167 million.

Th...



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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap May 18, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

China – U.S. trade talk continued to dominate the week.   A heavy selloff Monday was followed by 3 up days, with Friday moderately down.

On Monday, Chinese officials announced retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., hitting $60 billion in annual exports to China with new or expanded duties that could reach 25%.

Then on Wednesday:

The Trump administration plans to delay a decision on instituting new tariffs on car and auto part imports for up to six months, according to media reports.

...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University

...



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ValueWalk

More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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