Archive for 2016

Here’s What YieldCo Investors Are Watching This Week

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Here's What YieldCo Investors Are Watching This Week

In a new report, Avondale Partners analyst Michael Morosi took a look at some of the market-moving headlines among YieldCos this week. According to Morosi, earnings will likely continue to be the market’s top concern.

“YieldCo’s have delivered generally in-line reports with constructive outlooks, reflecting the positive impact from the ITC/PTC extension, though the key uncertainty remains regarding access to equity markets,” he explained.

Related Link: The Auto Loan Market Is Beginning To Look Like 2008′s Housing Bubble

Spotlight On Solar

Morosi sees Nextera Energy Partners LP (NYSE: NEP)’s $270 million-plus equity raise as a positive sign for the industry.

NextEra Energy Partners plans to use the funding toward recently announced Seiling I & II Wind Energy Centers and the acquisition of 299MW of wind projects from NextEra Energy Resources.

In other solar news, the city of Palo Alto, California has announced a 25-year deal to purchase solar power from the Wilsona Solar project at a price of $36.76/MWh.

Sunedison Inc (NYSE: SUNE) also received some good news recently when a Delaware court denied Appaloosa Management’s attempt to block SunEdison’s acquisition of Vivint Solar Inc (NYSE: VSLR).

A Few Names At Outperform

Avondale has Outperform ratings on the following YieldCos:

  • NextEra Energy Partners
  • NRG Yield, Inc. Class A (NYSE: NYLD-A)
  • Abengoa Yield PLC (NASDAQ: ABY)
  • Pattern Energy Group Inc (NASDAQ: PEGI)
  • TerraForm Global Inc (NASDAQ: GLBL)
  • Hannon Armstrong Sustnbl Infrstr Cap Inc (NYSE: HASI)

Disclosure: The author holds no position in the stocks mentioned.

Image Credit: Public Domain

Posted-In: Analyst Color Long Ideas Education Top Stories Markets Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas General Best of Benzinga





StreetSweeper Negative On Celator, Said Good Story Won’t Last

Courtesy of Benzinga.

StreetSweeper Negative On Celator, Said Good Story Won't Last

Shares of Celator Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: CPXX) tumbled more than 3 percent on Monday after TheStreetSweeper’s Sonya Colberg published a scathing report on the company.

According to Colberg, the clinical-stage bio-pharmaceutical company has “finished cherry-picking and left the ladder against the tree.” Meanwhile, new stock promoters have “climbed up and begun tossing investors the pits.”

Colberg continued that Celator is now focusing on a drug that targets a rare cancer called acute myeloid leukemia. In fact, the company has already failed at meeting a primary key endpoint in a phase II trial and that survival rates “were not statistically significant.” However, researchers began to examine a special subgroup of patients with secondary acute myeloid leukemia which produced “better looking results” – hence the “cherry-picking” which helped the company proceed to a phase III trial.

Related Link: 3 Mega Biotechs Leerink Loves

Other Concerns

Colberg further suggested that Celator’s press releases might be “more promotional than informational.” In addition, four positive articles about Celator can be retrieved through Yahoo! Finance’s library and were all written by the same author. Colberg does state it is unclear if these articles are indeed paid promotions, but “they probably are,” as the publication charges between $10,000 and $50,000 for investor relations and related services.

Finally, Colberg pointed out that Celator’s finances are “only getting worse and worse, faster and faster.” At the same time, the company’s top four executives are “hauling in” more than $2 million in compensation.

Bottom line, there is an “excellent chance” that the expected results from a phase III trial in March will “not be positive.”

Image Credit: Public Domain

Latest Ratings for cpxx

Date Firm Action From To
Jun 2015 MLV & Co. Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for cpxx


View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Biotech Long Ideas News Short Ideas Health Care Analyst Ratings Movers Best of Benzinga





Alibaba, Tencent Among JPMorgan’s Top Chinese Internet Picks

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Alibaba, Tencent Among JPMorgan's Top Chinese Internet Picks

JPMorgan said its top picks in Chinese Internet sector are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: wBABA), Tencent Holdings Ltd (OTC: TCTZF) (OTC: TCEHY), JD.Com Inc(ADR) (NASDAQ: JD), Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: CTRP) and Weibo Corp (ADR) (NASDAQ: WB).

Analyst Vivian Hao, who has an Overweight rating on all the above stocks, has a constructive view on China’s Internet sector, after balancing pessimism on China macro against long-term secular drivers and sector-specific catalysts.

“Sector has fallen 21 percent from 4Q15 peak vs NASDAQ/MSCI EM’s 10 percent/8 percent, providing opportunities for segment leaders,” Hao said in a note to clients.

Related Link: JPMorgan’s Chinese Internet Pair Trade Says Short Sohu

Healthy cash flows and earnings growth should be sustained in e-commerce, digital ads, online travel and online/mobile games. In addition, low-hanging fruit from PC-to-mobile traffic migration largely reaped, improving unit economics will drive next leg of growth.

Looking Closer At Specific Names

On Alibaba, Hao said the stock is oversold amid pessimism on gross merchandise value slowdown. She expects the market to eventually recognize and give credit to the company’s monetization improvement, which is evidenced in strong revenue growth and supporting its long-term EBITDA margins. Hao has a price target of $90 on Alibaba stock.

“After the revamp throughout 2015, Alibaba’s platforms are healthier and better value-add to merchants on branding and user engagement. In addition, we believe Alibaba is well positioned in a handful of new initiatives, such as cloud and payment,” Hao noted.

Meanwhile, the analyst said that JD.com is a major beneficiary of structural of C2C (consumer to consumer) to B2C (business to consumer) evolution with unique advantages on in-house logistics and product quality. JD’ secular growth is likely to withstand…
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First Solar, GameStop, Chipotle Lead List Of March’s Best Performers Over Past Decade

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Every Monday, Bespoke publishes the historical median returns of the S&P 500, sectors of the economy and individual stocks for the upcoming couple of weeks based on the returns seen over the past ten years. Of course, the firm highlights, basing investment solely on seasonal trends is not a great idea, for trends do not imply exact repetition. However, knowing historical tendencies always comes in handy when picking out stocks, sectors or ETFs to invest in.

In an article issued Monday, Bespoke shared a list of the fifteen S&P 500 stocks that have posted the highest historical median returns during the entire month of March over the last ten years.

Related Link: Macro Update: Small Business Sentiment Falls, Homeowners Remain Overly Optimistic

GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) lead the list, having delivered a median March return of 12.25 percent. It should also be noted that the company’s March returns were positive in 9 of the past 10 years; only in 2012 did it post a loss of 4.1 percent.

Analysts at Bespoke noted, however, that the most consistent top performing stock in the S&P 500 was Signet Jewelers Ltd. (NYSE: SIG), which has posted positive returns in each one of the last ten years, averaging a gain of 8.64 percent. The company reported preliminary earnings for the fourth quarter on Monday morning, beating estimates, and leading the stock to sore about 10 percent, “getting a headstart on their typically strong March, so it will be interesting to see if the stock can build on those gains in the month ahead,” the analysts added.

Finally, there’s Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE: CMG), which occupies the ninth spot in this list. “The stock has already bounced nicely off its January E.coli lows, but with a median gain of 7.4 percent, the month of March has…
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Deutsche Bank: We’re Still Bullish On Solar

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Deutsche Bank said it remains bullish on solar fundamentals in 2016 despite a relatively weak oil pricing outlook. Analyst Vishal Shah continues to see the outperformance of stocks such as First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) into the upcoming April Analyst Day and expects additional positive catalysts for stocks such as Sunedison Inc (NYSE: SUNE) and SolarCity Corp (NASDAQ: SCTY) over the next few months.

Despite the generally robust fundamentals, solar stocks have had mixed performance during the fourth quarter earnings season, primarily due to company specific execution and financing concerns.

Companies with relatively robust balance sheet, simpler investment theses and valuation frameworks have performed better compared to companies with more complex theses and valuation framework.

“Oil represents less than 5% of global electricity generation and spending on T&D is increasing to become a larger percentage of overall utility capex which would continue to drive an increase in electric power rates,” Shah said in a note to clients.

“Our analysis suggests that retail electricity prices in the US have increased at 2-3% nominal rate over the long term and this trend is likely to continue in the near term, providing support to residential PPA rates offered by solar leasing companies,” he added.

Shah noted that SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ: SPWR) shares offer a very attractive risk-reward profile especially since he expects the company to continue to generate positive EBITDA growth in 2017 from a combination of ramp of utility scale project pipeline, share gains in the US utility solar market.

In the case…
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Analyst: Tesla Is Creating A New Industry With Effectively Zero Dollars

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Analyst: Tesla Is Creating A New Industry With Effectively Zero Dollars
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Electric car maker Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) is creating a new industry with its “Gigafactory,” which is effectively being built with zero dollars, according to Trip Chowdhry of Global Equities Research.

Chowdhry said Tesla’s Gigafactory (a $5 billion investment) has the potential to change multiple­ sub-­industries, and he said Lithium could be available at the cost of salt in the “not too distant future.” This could jumpstart a completely new industry, which would supplant the whole of the existing utility industry.

Going a step forward, Chowdhry said, “TSLA GigaFactory, by itself, may be valued at $600 billion.­ Imagine a world with $0.99 a box of Lithium, similar to Sodium, the common salt we get at Safeway.”

Related Link: Analysts Met With Tesla’s New CFO: Here’s What Happened

The analyst said current global automakers are burning more than $8 billion per year, in advertising, while Tesla is spending $0 on advertising, the money saved on advertisement is being invested in creating a completely new industry with Gigafactory “battery production at scale.”

“In ­spite of this huge auto industry spend of more than $8 billion in advertisements per year, the brand­ loyalty is non-­existent. TSLA spends zero dollars in advertising, and in­ spite of this, has the most aspirational possession value, not only in USA, Canada and Europe, but even in countries like Thailand, Malaysia, South Africa and India, where TSLA has not even sold a single car,” Chowdhry said in a note to clients.

Tesla’s biggest sales persons are its own customers. The company’s referral program has been a “super hit.” In 2016, a new referral program was put in ­place, which gives the new buyer $1,000 off the invoice, the current owner gets $1,200 credit toward the power installation, chance to win Powerwall (Tesla Energy), Model X P85DL, trip to SpaceX, invite to inauguration of Gigafactory, etc.

“The net effect…
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Bernstein Upgrades Airbus To Outperform, Joins Boeing As Bull Plays In Portfolio

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Bernstein Upgrades Airbus To Outperform, Joins Boeing As Bull Plays In Portfolio

On Monday, AB Bernstein issued a company note on Airbus Group SE (EPA: AIR) as analysts believe that aircraft demand will remain strong. Bernstein upgraded Airbus from Market-Perform to Outperform with a 78 euro price target.

Douglas Harned and Christian Laughlin, analysts at Bernstein, wrote, “We view the outlook for commercial aircraft demand as sound, at a time when commercial aerospace stocks are depressed due to macroeconomic fears. Although we have long been positive on the demand outlook for Airbus, we have been concerned about risks associated with A350 development and production increases – concerns that have now dissipated.”

With this upgrade, Airbus joins Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) as a bull play in a Bernstein air-transportation-based portfolio.

Boeing is currently rated at Outperform with a price target of $180.

Related Link: United Technologies CEO: Honeywell Combo Would Be Blocked, Destructive To Shareholder Value

Justification

Analysts at Bernstein gave two key reasons why they see strength in Airbus.

1. Demand For Planes
Analysts at Bernstein revised their outlook for the A350 program, citing corporate demand along with strong margins and smooth production. Bernstein expects deliveries to triple in 2016 to 52 units.

2. Valuation
Bernstein wrote that Airbus is currently discounted in regards to key competitors and believes that the company’s multiple could grow as their airplane models continue to be delivered and earnings are announced. While global economic concerns are still present, Bernstein believes that Airbus can still outperform their competition.

At the time of this publication, Airbus was seen trading at $59.78, up 3.95 percent.

Image Credit: Public Domain

Posted-In: Analyst Color Long Ideas News Short Ideas Upgrades Price Target Travel Markets Best of Benzinga





Tesla Keeps Poaching Key Apple Workers

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Tesla Keeps Poaching Key Apple Workers

Related AAPL
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Electric car maker Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) continues to poach key executives of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), and the latest in the list is said to be chip architect Peter Bannon, according to a report on 9to5Mac.

Last week, Electrek reported that Apple’s alloy expert Charles Kuehmann has joined Tesla.

Related Link: Analysts Met With Tesla’s New CFO: Here’s What Happened

Late January, Tesla hired chip architect Jim Keller as new “Vice-President of Autopilot Hardware Engineering.”

The report said before Keller left Apple for AMD in 2012, he and Bannon were leading Apple’s processor development since the Cupertino-based company bought their chip making firm PA Semi in 2008. Bannon has served Apple for more than seven years. According to Bannon’s LinkedIn profile, he joined Apple in February 2016.

Bannon, who holds several patents when it comes to chip-making, will be a huge asset for Tesla, as he is likely to play a major role in developing advanced chips and sensors for future Tesla vehicles. He would not be alone at Tesla, where he would work with his former colleague Keller and may jointly make autopilot chips.

What Does It All Mean?

The appointment of Bannon, who is latest in the series of Tesla hires from Apple, indicates that Tesla is mooting its own in-house chip development. Moreover, the departure of these key executives dealt a blow to Apple, which is also said to be working on an electric car.

Ironically, Tesla CEO Elon Musk himself has said it is an “open secret” that Apple is making a rival electric car. But, he said he is not threatened by Apple’s efforts.

Image Credit: By Maurizio Pesce from Milan, Italia – Elon Musk, Tesla Factory, Fremont (CA, USA), CC BY 2.0, Wikimedia

Posted-In: 9to6Mac Charles Kuehmann ElectrekNews Management Movers Tech Trading Ideas





Alibaba, Tencent Among JPMorgan's Top Chinese Internet Picks

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Alibaba, Tencent Among JPMorgan's Top Chinese Internet Picks
Related TCTZF
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Related TCEHY
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Benzinga's M&A Chatter for Wednesday February 10, 2016
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JPMorgan said its top picks in Chinese Internet sector are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: wBABA), Tencent Holdings Ltd (OTC: TCTZF) (OTC: TCEHY), JD.Com Inc(ADR) (NASDAQ: JD), Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: CTRP) and Weibo Corp (ADR) (NASDAQ: WB).

Analyst Vivian Hao, who has an Overweight rating on all the above stocks, has a constructive view on China’s Internet sector, after balancing pessimism on China macro against long-term secular drivers and sector-specific catalysts.

“Sector has fallen 21 percent from 4Q15 peak vs NASDAQ/MSCI EM’s 10 percent/8 percent, providing opportunities for segment leaders,” Hao said in a note to clients.

Related Link: JPMorgan’s Chinese Internet Pair Trade Says Short Sohu

Healthy cash flows and earnings growth should be sustained in e-commerce, digital ads, online travel and online/mobile games. In addition, low-hanging fruit from PC-to-mobile traffic migration largely reaped, improving unit economics will drive next leg of growth.

Looking Closer At Specific Names

On Alibaba, Hao said the stock is oversold amid pessimism on gross merchandise value slowdown. She expects the market to eventually recognize and give credit to the company’s monetization improvement, which is evidenced in strong revenue growth and supporting its long-term EBITDA margins. Hao has a price target of $90 on Alibaba stock.

“After the revamp throughout 2015, Alibaba’s platforms are healthier and better value-add to merchants on branding and user engagement. In addition, we believe Alibaba is well positioned in a handful of new initiatives, such as cloud and payment,” Hao noted.

Meanwhile, the analyst said that JD.com is a major beneficiary of structural of C2C (consumer to consumer) to B2C (business to consumer) evolution…
continue reading





First Solar, GameStop, Chipotle Lead List Of March's Best Performers Over Past Decade

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related GME
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Every Monday, Bespoke publishes the historical median returns of the S&P 500, sectors of the economy and individual stocks for the upcoming couple of weeks based on the returns seen over the past ten years. Of course, the firm highlights, basing investment solely on seasonal trends is not a great idea, for trends do not imply exact repetition. However, knowing historical tendencies always comes in handy when picking out stocks, sectors or ETFs to invest in.

In an article issued Monday, Bespoke shared a list of the fifteen S&P 500 stocks that have posted the highest historical median returns during the entire month of March over the last ten years.

Related Link: Macro Update: Small Business Sentiment Falls, Homeowners Remain Overly Optimistic

GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) lead the list, having delivered a median March return of 12.25 percent. It should also be noted that the company’s March returns were positive in 9 of the past 10 years; only in 2012 did it post a loss of 4.1 percent.

Analysts at Bespoke noted, however, that the most consistent top performing stock in the S&P 500 was Signet Jewelers Ltd. (NYSE: SIG), which has posted positive returns in each one of the last ten years, averaging a gain of 8.64 percent. The company reported preliminary earnings for the fourth quarter on Monday morning, beating estimates, and leading the stock to sore about 10 percent, “getting a headstart on their typically strong March, so it will be interesting to see if the stock can build on those gains in the month ahead,” the analysts added.

Finally, there’s Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE: CMG), which occupies the ninth spot in this list. “The stock has already bounced nicely off its January E.coli lows, but with a…
continue reading





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...



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Phil's Favorites

This Is The One Chart Every Trader Should Have "Taped To Their Screen"

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

After a year of tapering, the Fed’s balance sheet finally captured the market’s attention during the last three months of 2018.

By the start of the fourth quarter, the Fed had finished raising the caps on monthly roll-off of its balance sheet to the full $50bn per month (peaking at $30bn USTs, $20bn MBS, although on many months the (balance sheet) B/S does not actually shrink by this full amount which depends on the redemption schedule) and by end-Q4 markets also experienced some of the largest volatility and drawdowns in nearly a decade.

As Nomura&...



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ValueWalk

The Competition For Capital Has Made Stocks Cheap

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The new year is upon us, and now is the time many investors look at what 2018 was and prepare for what 2019 might be. Recession jitters are starting to pick back up again, especially now that the full picture of 2018 is in the books. But what if you could pick only one theme for 2018? Jefferies strategist Sean Darby and team have a suggestion which is especially timely given that it appears to mark the end of an era.

StockSnap / PixabayVolatility carries into the new year

This past year was one of extremes, and the markets ended i...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...



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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

 

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...



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Insider Scoop

Cars.com Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...



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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn

 

Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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Biotech

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from www.shutterstock.com

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.

...

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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>