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Nowcast Leapfrogs GDPNow in 1st Quarter GDP Forecast

Courtesy of Mish.

The latest first quarter GDP estimate by the New York Fed Nowcast jumped to a new high of 3.1%.

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model forecast is well off its previous high of 3.4% and down to 2.7%.

Let’s take a look.

nowcast-2017-02-10

Nowcast Report Updated: February 10, 2017

  • The FRBNY Staff Nowcast stands at 3.1% for 2017:Q1.
  • Positive news from imports and exports moved the nowcast up by 0.2 percentage point over the past week.

GDPNow forecast: 2.7 percent — February 7, 2017

I discussed the latest GDPNow forecast on February 7, in GDPNow Forecast Sinks to 2.7% from 3.4%: What Happened?

gdpnow-2017-02-07

In a follow-up post, Pat Higgins, GDPNow Creator Responded to a Question on Employment.


Continue reading here…

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