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Monday, March 18, 2024

Philstockworld May Portfolio Review (Members Only)

Image result for one million dollars animated gif$773,776! 

That's up $173,776 (28.9%) in our paired Long-Term and Short-Term Portfolios.  30% is a healthy goal for an entire year (and Berkshire Hathaway averages 16.3% per year) so I really, Really, REALLY would love to cash out at this point and take the summer off.  As I have said for the past two weeks, if it wasn't my job to teach people how to trade - including running portfolios during downturns - I would absolutely be cashing out and, to that point, both of my kids' college accounts are in CASH!!! and our Hedge Fund is 90% CASH!!! at the moment so, yes, that is what I would do with my own accounts!  

As long as the indexes are holding above their 50-day moving averages, we're not in immediate danger so, with what we're playing, I'm not going to hedge too heavily either - unless we get signs of a deeper breakdown.  This market seems to bounce back from everything but so did the market in 2007 - until it finally didn't.  It sure would have been nice to be sitting on the sidelines with 128.9% of your money back then, right!

As it stands, our Long-Term Portfolio has 62% of it's cash on the sideline while the STP has 90% on the sideline so we've got plenty to deploy in a downturn.  We just finished our reviews and, in the LTP, there was only one adjustment to make so we like all of our positions and are happy to add more to them if they get cheaper and there were no adjustments to make to the STP, so we're happy with our hedges as well...

Also, these are new portfolios, started Jan 2nd this year as we decided to cash in after our November Portfolio Review last year but we did follow through with my plan, which is why we're doing so well after just 4.5 months of trading in the new portfolios:

Really, I am sorry I've been so cautious but I could not, in good conscience, risk those spectacular gains into Q3 earnings and the Holidays. 

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