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TGIF – On Again, Off Again Trade Deal Weighs on the Market

There is no trade deal

That's why the Asian markets fell 1.5% this morning although, this morning, a lot of people are acting like we're making progress so the Futures are creeping up again – and that's fine with us as we'd LOVE to have an opportunity to short them for the 3rd day in a row.  We made $600 per contract from Wednesday Morning's Trade Idea and $1,200 per contract on Thursday Morning's Trade Idea (it only costs $3/day for you to get these ideas) and this morning we're HOPING to re-test 25,600 on the Dow (/YM) Futures but I think we're more likely to fail or, at best, drift into the holiday weekend.

If you cut through all the "he said, Xi said" noise of the trade rumors, the FACT of the matter is Lighthizer and Mnuchin just spent a week in China and accomplished nothing and now they are talking about extenting the March 1st deadline by at least 60 days, which is a major embarrasment for Trump, who set the arbitrary deadline and forced the problem in the first place.  We haven't even BEGUN to have trade talks with Europe or Japan and Trump has threatened more tariffs on each of them – even though we're not even sending a negotiating team.

This is very much in-line with my premise, which we discussed last week – that Trump DOESN'T want a trade deal – he just wants the tariff money and as long as his base remains too dumb to understand that THEY are the ones paying these tariffs – not China, not Mexico, not Europe or Japan – then Trump can use the tariffs to help "balance" his budget.  I put "balance" in quotes because, when you are running a $1.2Tn annual deficit (yes, it's up 20% since last time I looked) – giving up a projected $200Bn in tariffs would raise your deficit another 20% and you would, officially, be the WORST PRESIDENT EVER!

As noted by Bloomberg: "Trump appears to have over-estimated his own power in these talks. There is a reason the original package of U.S. demands to China was dubbed the “surrender-or-die” list by experts. Trump’s trade hawks believe nothing short of a Chinese capitulation and a fundamental reworking of its economic model will deliver the altered relationship they are after. They seemed to think that if the U.S. just used a tool that no one in recent history had dared to use as aggressively — tariffs — it could force that capitulation."

Trump and the GOP are being undone by the same underlying racism that fuels their rallies.  They don't believe the Chinese are as smart or as willing as they are to endure a protracted conflict but it's Trump's base who are suffering the most in this war as US soybean farmers are drowing in crops, trading well below their break-even point at $10/bushel as China is no longer buying US beans.  Long-term, China is finding other suppliers and developing long-term relationships and, if that business doesn't come back – these farmers will need to find different lines of work and then the banks who lend them money will also come crashing down – and we know how that story goes…

Image result for aoc new green dealIt's always a mistake to believe your oppenents are somehow "inferior" to you and, unfortunately, the GOP thinks anyone who isn't a White, Christian Male is inferior in many, many ways to the point where they underestimate their strengths and that leads them to crushing defeats at the hands of people like Nancy Pelosi, Elizabeth "Pochahantis" Warren and the notorious AOC. 

Mitch McConnell is so dismissive of AOC's New Green Deal that he's going to hold a vote on it (as opposed to blocking any proposed Democratic legislation like he usually does), thinking it will split the Democrats but I think he'll be surprised to see that not every GOP Senator is on board with Planetary Anihilation and, of course, those that vote against it will be held accountable every time we have severe weather for the next 2-6 years.  

Even Ben Garrison doesn't get it.  All those "negatives" in his cartoon are essentially the typical wish-list for young voters.  The Conservative Brain generally only deals in absolutes but the Progressives understand that we set goals and then we find compromises to move things in a different direction.  Taxing incomes over $50M at a 70% marginal rate isn't "no more rich people" – in fact, it's "MUCH more rich people" as those who stop earning money in "protest" (the Randian fantasy) leave room for others to start making some money.  Preferring high-speed rail to air travel where practical is a proven success in all of the World, as is Universal Health Care and Open Borders (the whole point of the EU was to open borders and allow free trade). 

This cartoon is nothing more than a glimpse into the casual, dismissive racism practiced by Conservatives, who have no respect for other people or other countries while young people today, who grow up chatting with people from around the World and make songs like Gangnam Style and Despacito the most watched videos of all-time aren't being sucked in by the GOP's myopic World-view the way they used to.

Like the song says: "SLOWLY" – these revolutions take time and every day the GOP and their Conservative Media seem to find a way to piss more and more Americans off and the marches get stronger and the protests go on longer and we're all just waiting for that "let them eat cake" moment that sparks the Revolution.  We're not there yet and it may take a few more years – but it's coming. 

It was the emergence of the Bourgeoisie and their takeover of Government that formented revolt in France.  In the 1770s, the oligarchs took control and they ran very expensive wars (the 7 Years' War and helping the US Revelutionary War just to piss England off) and that ran up their deficit (sound familiar) and their solution was to tax the poor but not the rich (sound familiar).  Meanwhile, the "Enlighenment" began to spread, which was essentially the same philosophical ideas that sparked the American Revolution (and those guys would have torn down this Government in a second!) and the success of the American Revolutionaries emboldened the French Citizens to begin organizing themselves.  

Image result for kennedy revolutionIt was, in fact, an experiment (or the invention of) Laissez Faire Capitalism in the 1780s that completely destablizied the economy which, ultimately, let to Louis losing his head in 1792 – along with most of the noble class. Sadly though, Trump, McConnel and Company have learned nothing from history other than "Laissez Faire? – Where can I get some of that?" but soon (historically) they will learn the lesson Kennedy preached: 

"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable."  

Have a great weekend,

- Phil

 


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  1. Surprise, surprise… that new corporate tax cut was supposed to eliminate many loopholes but in fact, many of them have remained in place. So corporations get a lower rate and the loopholes. The middle class got nothing and deductions were eliminated. Win, win for our corporate overlords.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/06/opinion/business-economics/trump-tax-reform-state-of-the-union-2019.html

    Why would any multinational corporation pay America’s 21 percent tax rate when it could pay the new “global minimum” rate of 10.5 percent on profits shifted to tax havens, particularly when there are few restrictions on how money can be moved around a company and its foreign subsidiaries?


  2. Good Morning!


  3. Good morning in Trumpland!  

    “The popular video streaming service Netflix posted its largest-ever U.S. profit in 2018­­—$845 million—on which it didn’t pay a dime in federal or state income taxes. In fact, the company reported a $22 million federal tax rebate.

    After a year of speculation and spin, the public is getting its first hard look at how corporate tax law changes under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act affected the tax-paying habits of corporations. The law sharply reduced the federal corporate rate, expanded some tax breaks and curtailed others. The new tax law took effect at the beginning of 2018, which means that companies are just now closing the books on their first full year under the new rules.

    Netflix’s tax avoidance should come as no surprise to those who followed the debate leading up to the passage of the new tax law: A 2017 ITEP report identified Netflix as one of 100 profitable Fortune 500 corporations that paid a 0 percent federal income tax rate in at least one profitable year between 2008 and 2015. In fact, Netflix did it twice, and paid an average tax rate of 13.6 percent over the eight-year period, meaning that the company sheltered more than half of its profits from the 35 percent federal income tax rate in effect at the time.

    Leading up to the 2017 tax battle, the hope of reformers was that Congress would take a fiscally responsible approach and weed out loopholes that made Netflix’s tax avoidance possible. Instead,  GOP leaders who championed the law and President Trump chose to focus on cutting the corporate tax rate as far as possible—from 35 to 21 percent—while leaving in place special breaks and loopholes.”

    For the rest of the article, visit the ITEP here.

    This is why the deficit gets bigger every time they do the math with new info.  The Government is collecting less and less money while spending more and more on things like F35s and Walls (and not a penny for infrastructure).  

    President Donald Trump has agreed to a request from Defense Secretary James Mattis to propose a defense budget of $750 billion for the coming year, marking a reversal from plans to shrink defense spending, an administration official confirmed to CNN.

    That does not include the VA, pensions or interest on the military debts that bring our Military spending well over $1Tn 

    Image result for us military spending vs world 2018

    Don't forget, some of those people are supposed to be our allies – WTF?

    Image result for us military spending vs world 2018

    We can't possibly afford more money for Science Housing, Health or Education, right?  


  4. Big punch-up in the indexes into the open.  Not sure why.

    • January Industrial Production: -0.6% to 109.4 +0.3% consensus, +0.1% prior (revised).
    • Capacity Utilization 78.2% vs. 78.8% consensus, 78.8% prior (revised).

    CAT, BA, JPM and GS leading the Dow to 25,666 – we'll see what sticks.


  5. I think the tax news that StJ and I take for a negative is being considered a big positive by the market. 


  6. Notice in the 2016 Budget (Obama's last one), everything was 1% higher except the military.  Since those departments are mostly at 5% or less, Trump has cut 20% or more from those and added 20% to the military.  That's sick!

    Image result for obama discretionary spending

    Is that really the America you wanted?  


  7. Phil// Any recommendation on T for a new trade?  Thanks.


  8.  DAN posted a great earnings last night and I think it's going to run away from us, AXL maybe? Also, I was looking at DB – is it too big a mess? It's market cap is now just a fraction of its book value. Posted earlier on this but it got cut off into yesterday's chat. So sorry for the repeat.


  9. It was Tdump's goal to cut social programs and other good work. Defense was the obvious choice to put that money and wave the Stars and Stripes. America!!!  :(


  10. Cut budget in science and energy and environment – MAGA!



  11. Stanley Druckenmiller, arguably one of the best investors of all time, placed a big bet against TSLA.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-investment-funds-tesla/billionaire-stanley-druckenmiller-placed-bet-against-tesla-during-fourth-quarter-idUSKCN1Q3308

    I like putting on a bearish call spread:

    Sell the Jan 2021 $350 calls for $65

    Buy the Jan 2021 $420 calls for $45

    Risking 20 points to make 70 points, 50 points net or 250% profit potential if TSLA is below $350.  If my math is correct.

    This is just an example.  I'm sure there are better spreads out there.

    What do you think, Phil ?   Thanks.


  12. albo--if you are taking in $20 that is all you can make.

     

    I think you are risking 50 to make 20.


  13. jabo is right, you're selling the call spread. need to be looking at the other side of the chain at the puts to short Tesla. which is almost never a bad idea, but there is a catalyst coming on 3/1 when it is settled how they're going to address the $920M in convertibles. I wake up every morning and have to resist an immediate urge to short TSLA. My feeling is the window to open a new short is going to be after the hoopla about how sweet it is that Tesla can settle a small part of their debt, and the earnings report which is most likely going to look like a death warrant. But I'd also be interested to hear Phil's take on them.


  14. Singapore may allow scientifically proven medical cannabinoids




  15. A little help or advice

     

    I am trying to create a separate portfolio in my account that focuses on income by buying dividend paying stocks and using covered calls – very conservative.  Goal is steady 10-15% per year returns using approximate $10000 blocks – but usually entering a trade at half blocks (thanks Phil).

    For example – I bought 500 F shares at 8.21   -- it has a .60 divy.   I was going to sell 5 of the Jan 2020 7.87 calls for 1.25.   I figure I will pocket $1.51 per contract — dividend of .60 + call premium of 1.25 – loss of 0.34 on being called away.   1.51/8.21 gives me a yield of 18%.   Any thoughts?  Am I missing something.  Is there a better setup?

    Any thoughts appreciated — Thanks


  16. Thanks guys.  You're right.! 

    Looking  for a way to play TSLA on the short side.  Shorting the stock takes up too much margin.  Possibly.

    a put spread ?


  17. T/Rookie – The 5G rollout will be very destabilizing for Telcos so I wouldn't have high expectations but I do like T whenever they are around $30 as that's $220Bn and they pretty reliably make $20Bn so a nice, comfortable p/e.  At $2.04, the dividend is 6% so you might want to own the stock.  I'd sell the 2021 $30 puts for $4.25 and consider that free money (as I don't mind owning T at $30) and if you buy the stock and sell the $28 calls for $2.75 you net in for $23/26.50 (if assigned), called away at $28 with a $5 profit (21.7%) and a $4.08 dividend (17.7%) for 39.4% profit over two years so there's a great case for owning T with the short puts and calls.  As an option alternative, you can:

    • Sell 10 T 2021 $30 puts for $4.20 ($4,200) 
    • Buy 20 T 2021 $25 for $5.80 ($11,600) 
    • Sell 20 T 2021 $32 calls for $1.90 ($3,800)

    Here we're netting in for $3,600 and the same $5,700 in margin in hopes of getting $14,000 back for a profit of $10,400 (288%) or, at $30, $10,000 for a $6,400 profit (177%) and the worst case here is owning 1,000 shares at net $31.80 (assuming the entire bull call spread is wiped out).   

    So 1,000 shares of T with the short puts and calls would cost you $23,000 + $5,700 in margin and pay back $29,080 for a $6,060 gain (26.3% on cash) or the bull call spread uses $3,600 cash, $5,700 in margin and makes $6,400 at $30 up to a potential $10,400 at $32.  I'd rather have the option spread…

    DAN/Dawg – Nice call.  AXL looks very good as they are a totally boring company that makes $300M but you can buy them for $1.8Bn at $16.50 – very nice.  I love it when a company doesn't even need to grow to gain in price once the value is realized.

    Year End 31st Dec 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TTM 2018E 2019E CAGR / Avg
    Revenue $m 2,931 3,207 3,696 3,903 3,948 6,266 7,310 7,252 7,242 +16.4%
    Operating Profit $m 136.6 203.5 267.6 357.3 380.7 539.5 649.5     +31.6%
    Net Profit $m 367.7 94.5 143 235.6 240.7 337.1 410.6 381.8 368.8 -1.7%
    EPS Reported $ 4.87 1.23 1.85 3.02 3.06 3.01 3.38     -9.2%
    EPS Normalised $ 5.05 1.55 1.85 3.03 3.33 4.27 3.94 3.25 3.10 -3.3%
    EPS Growth % +160.8 -69.3 +19.3 +64.0 +10.1 +28.1 -7.8 -23.8 -4.84  
    PE Ratio x           3.44 3.73 4.52 4.75  
    PEG x           n/a n/a n/a 1.03
    Profitability

    They were down with Manufacturing in Nov/Dec and it was right after the bought MPG for what people thought was too much ($1.6Bn) in the first place in a deal that was 50% dillutive to AXL shareholders and now they have about $5Bn in debt to service ($200M a year at 4%) but MPG also has solid earnings and a low multiple so I think it's worth a toss.  For the OOP, let's:

    • Sell 15 AXL 2021 $15 puts for $2.50 ($3,750)
    • Buy 30 AXL 2021 $13 calls at $6 ($18,000) 
    • Sell 30 AXL 2021 $20 calls for $2.60 ($7,800) 

    That's net $6,450 on the $21,000 spread so the upside potential at $20 is $14,550 (225%).

    DB/Dawg – Too many issues and they are guilty of money laundering, market manipulation, etc.  I wouldn't be so sure they get out of this.

    TSLA/Albo – I'd be very careful at the moment as they have those bonds that convert soon if the stock is below $360 so you can expect all the stops to be pulled out to make that happen.   If it does, THEN I want to be short.

    As to your spread, you are selling the $350 calls and buying the $420s and collecting $20 so you win below $370 up to $20 but you can lose up to $50 at $420.  Risk outweighs reward.  If I were going to make that bet, I'd rather buy the 2021 $420 puts for $150 and sell the $340 puts for $100 so net $50 on the $80 spread and you don't lose until it's over $370 but still too risky with this silly stock.

    F/Jeff – It's a solid strategy but my suggestion is, since you are doing a 1/2 entry, you could buy 500 shares at $8.21 and sell the 2021 $7 calls for $2 and the $10 puts for $2.55 so your net is $3.66 and you still get your dividends and, if called away at $7 that's up $2.34 (64%) and, if less than $10 you would be re-assigned shares at $10 and you just start the process again but your average – on anything over $7, is $6.83 into the next cycle – and you are still collecting your dividends.  


  18. Jeff Looks like you need armchair trades. Possible you missed them every time I put them up.

    Over the time I must have 120 sets in my ports. You need to read up on them.


  19. /YM – OK today's short entry is 25,800…Let's make it 3 in a row!!!


  20. Short-Term Portfolio Review (STP):  We just did a review on Monday at $713,113 and now we're at $723,903 despite getting more bearish – go figure.  The VIX went from 15.50 to 16 and, in this case, we have a lot of bullish premium on the volatile inverse index calls so, for the moment, it looks good.  This portfolio is almost entirely CASH!!! so there's not much we need to do but calculate if the LTP is being protected adequately.

    • Short puts – All good.
    • CAT – Came back.

    • MJ – Oops, Jan $30 puts expired worthless so now let's get serious with this thing and sell 20 of the 2021 $30 puts for $6.40 ($12,800) and use that money to roll our 20 2021 $35 calls at $7.25 ($14,500) to 30 of the 2021 $25 calls at $13.50 ($40,500) and sell 10 April $37 calls for $2 ($2,000) so we're using net $11,200 of our CASH!!! to go $30,000 deeper into the money on our calls and we're still not fully covered – I LIKE IT!!!  

    • SQQQ – Let's clear the decks on the March $22 short calls ($250) and let's roll our 200 Jan $15 calls at $2 ($40,000) down to the Jan $10 calls at $3.20 ($64,000) and we may as well buy back the 100 Jan $30 calls at 0.85 ($8,500) and sell 100 of the 2021 $25s for $2.20 ($22,000) and yes, I know that's an extra year but we'll roll out our longs later and the thing is our delta is 0.70 and their delta is 0.40 and we are 2x covered so there's no way they can hurt us and they'll lose half that premium by the end of this year in the least.  So that gives us 200 Jan $10 calls 1/2 covered by 100 2021 $25 calls and a 20% drop in SQQQ would be a 60% bump from $12 so $19+ would be $9 x 200 = $180,000 of protection and we're only spending net $10,750 to make the adjustment – BRILLIANT!  

    Don't forget the LTP is up almost $200,000 for the month so all we're doing is taking some of those paper gains to lock in the profits by pushing our SQQQ calls down into the money and removing half their covers.  Now we have $180,000 of protection against maybe $400,000 we're likely to lose if the Nas drops 20% (but we'd add more hedges on the way down, of course). 

    • TZA – Same drill but we're already the money and the $7s are $3.50 (+$1) so we could do that roll or we could just DD but let's do the roll and see how it goes.  

    • TNA – This is the ultra long 3x ETF for the Russell and it's beginning to be tempting as a 20% drop in the Russell would be a 60% pullback in TNA to about $22 so, on TZA, we'd go from $10 to $16, which would pay $9 ($180,000) on our $7 calls, which is fine but the TNA Jan (2020) $55 ($7.50)/35 ($2.50) bear put spread is $5 and pays $20 so it's getting close to being a better bet so let's take 40 of those for $20,000 (pays $80,000) to remind us just to keep an eye on them.  


  21. So now the STP should gain about $400,000 if the market drops 20% and I'll be able to sleep a lot better knowing that!  

    TSLA/Albo – If I were going to play it (and I absolutely would not at $300) short here, I'd be hoping they disappoint early May earnings so past those and pick up the May $400 ($97)/360 ($64) bear put spread at $26 on the $40 spread and TSLA has to gain more than 20% for you to lose and, if they do and you still want to bet against them, you can sell Jan $500 calls (now $8.75) for about $25.50 (the price of the $400s) which would pay for any roll you wanted to make on the long puts (the $400s) to try again for the next 6 months.  

    Shorting /YM at 25,800/Buckey – I agree, worth a toss but tight stops above (25,820) as we don't want to lose more than $100.

    Watch /ES 2,770, /NQ 7,050 and /RTY 1,570 – if they break over, get ready to bail! 

    LTP time! 


  22. /YM / Phil – Roger that! Same as we’ve played it all week. 


  23. Phil, thanks on TSLA.  Good advice.  Most likely Elon will be tweeting like mad to get those bonds converted.


  24. Long-Term Portfolio Review (LTP) – Part 1:  We just printed it Wednesday and we were at $1,182,290 and this afternoon we're at $1,207,011 (up 141.4%) so I guess things are going well but so well that I REALLY would like to just cash out and start from scratch.  We're up enough money to buy a nice beach house I have my eye on down the road (living room with ocean views) so why risk it in this silly market that's clearly just printing money at the moment? 

    Yes, we bumped our hedges but nothing is a better hedge than not playing at all!  This is, effectively, a long-only portfolio so of course it's doing well – especially since we pressed all our bets at the bottom but we have just $448,159 in CASH!!! and that worries me – although really the cash is in the STP and that punches us up over $1M in CASH!!! in our paired portfolios – but that doesn't mean I want to use it!  

    So, I'm going to be strict here (I know – I say that a lot) and I don't want to be in ANYTHING I don't want to DD on if they drop 20%.  REALLY….  I mean it!  

    The whole point of selling a short put is we want a placeholder that reminds us to make a proper play if the stock we are watching drops about 20% more (usually that's our net strike) – as long as we decide we still like it.  Keep that in mind.  We either get the stock cheap and add to our play or we don't and we get to keep the cash as a consolation

    • AAPL – Our net is $169, I have no issue with that.
    • ALLY – Not worried. 
    • AVGO – While we can do better with $7,100 than making $2,275 in a year, this one is so in the money that it's a worry-free 32% we'll be waiting for and 32% in a year doesn't actually suck.  
    • BPY – Do we need another REIT?  No we don't.  We made 50% and have to wait 2 years for the other 50% is 16% a year – no thanks – kill it.
    • CAH – We need more in this sector so we'll  keep watching. 
    • CAT – Another one not to worry about and 66% left to gain.
    • CHL – There's just the tiniest chance something bad will happen to CHL (China in general) over the next 35 days so why risk it when we can close it for $225.  

    There's a point I meant to make – there's no urgency to closing these things (and that goes for any "improvement" moves we make as well) so DON'T force yourself to accept a bad price.  If you don't get out at 0.15 or less, just wait until March and it will probably expire worthless and save you $225 – I'm just reducing the risk to zero so we can move on to the next thing.  

    • CPB – I think they are much stronger than they seem.  Earnings 2/27 so we'll see.
    • DAN – Brand new and doing well.  
    • DKS – 20% in the money so not worried enough to turn down 50% this year.
    • DLTR – Up 70% is plenty – kill it.
    • FCX – Well this one found a bottom so we can add to it (I know, not what I wanted) by buying 50 of the 2021 $10s at $4 ($20,000) and selling 50 of the 2021 $17s at $1.40 ($7,000) for net $2.60 ($13,000) less the $9,700 we already took on the 20 short $15 puts means we're in this $35,000 spread that's $11,500 for net $3,300 – still good for a new trade – even with the puts at "just" $4.25. 

    • FDX – Ah ha!  I do NOT want to own them if they drop 20% so let's kill it!  Also, lots of margin used on these.
    • GNC – Oh no, it's another one we should turn into a proper spread!  Oh well, let's buy 50 of the 2021 $2.50 calls for $1.35 ($6,750) and sell 50 of the $5 calls for 0.75 ($3,750) and that's net $3,000 on the $12,500 spread but we sold those puts for $6,000 so we're still sitting on a net $3,000 credit overall with $15,500 upside potential at $5+.  Also good as a new trade despite the now $2.50 short puts.  

    • INTC – Way in the money, I can wait.  
    • LB – We have 20 short 2021 $30 puts, now $7.75 ($15,500) so these are redundant and increase margin and risk so let's kill them.  
    • LMT – We blew our chance to buy the bull call spread on this one.  While I'm not worried about these, again it's margin so let's kill them.  

    • MET – So far in the money I can't let them go.  Still pays another $3,040.
    • NXPI – A good one but I don't care enough to buy more (we didn't at $70 in Dec) so kill them.  

    There's a good point, as much as we may say "Of course I would buy more if it were 20% cheaper" – when push comes to shove, when NXPI fell 20% from our Aug entry – we did not buy more because we were prioritizing other things to buy and they got passed over so why should I stick with them if they already failed the "reality test" of a 20% market drop.  Though it's nice to make the put money – I really use the short puts for stocks I want to build positions in so NXPI is wasting space in this case.  And it's not that I don't like NXPI – just that I clearly like my other stocks better.  

    • PLAY – These guys I do see a future for as Virtual Reality goes more mainstream and D&B is in a position to set up large-scale experiences you can't get at home.   In other words, I'd be excited if they dropped to $40 and we could add a long spread.  So far, we stuck the bottom on our entry.

    • PSA – Another margin issue so kill it.  
    • SEE – We waited a year to make 21% – kill it!  
    • SIG – Brand new.
    • SNE – Brand newer.  
    • TOL – Seems like a very easy $3,075 and I'd love to own them cheaply.  Speaking of which, HOV is at 0.66 – great for a new entry.
    • TWTR – Brand new, good for a new trade if you like collecting $10,350 for not buying TWTR at net $22.90.   Margin just $6,173 so nice and efficient too!  


  25. Long-Term Portfolio Review (LTP) – Part 2:  

    • ARR – On track.
    • ETM – Close enough.
    • NRZ – Over our target.
    • SKT – On track.  These guys are paying $1.40, which is 6.5% – still good for a new trade.  

    • AAPL – Apple really hasn't participated in this rally and they have an event in early March so I guess we can leave them uncovered at the moment.  If they fail $160 we can sell 30 2021 $160 calls, now $33 but maybe $25 if AAPL drops so $75,000 and then we could roll the $120 calls (now $56) to the $100 calls (now $73) for $17 but hopefully more like  $12 ($60,000) so for a net net $15,000 CREDIT, if AAPL drops $10, we can roll into 40 2021 $100/160 bull call spreads, only 3/4 covered and $240,000 in the money from our current net $200,000?  Gee, I guess I really hope Apple drops $10…

    • ALB – Still too cheap to cover.
    • ALK – $25,000 is our max and currently net $12,550 and we're mostly in the money and I like them and it's only a 2020 so I guess we can wait.
    • AMGN – We're even and I don't care about them enough to stick with it so let's kill it.  Might make a better Butterfly play than a LTP play.

    • BBBY – I would cover at $18 and the 30 $12.50 calls are $6.20 ($18,600) so why not just cash them out and leave the short puts and, hopefully, they go back down one day and we get back in on a new bull spread but, if not, then we'll collect another $7,000 on the short puts against just $3,000 in margin so very efficient use of it.
    • BHC – We thought they'd go lower but they haven't.  We may end up doubling down on the bull spread and rolling the short calls but, for now, we'll wait and see.  On the bright side, our long spread is potentially $30,000 and the net of this spread is a $6,725 credit so IF we make it to $35 without getting too badly burned by the short callers along the way, THEN we will make a ton of money and IF the stock crashed and all goes worthless, we still have $6,725 in our pockets as the short calls go worthless and our worst case is buying 1,000 shares at $20 from the puts.  So good for a new trade!  


  26. F/Phil -

    Thanks for the analysis - I am trying to avoid selling puts in this portfolio for the time being because I always seem to get burned whenever I do (like always.  My hope is to gradually add them into the mix.

    Yodi – your armchair trades were the inspiration for this (sure would be great if you had a "portfolio" to look at – wink wink – without searching all the posts) – again I am just trying to avoid the naked puts until I am confident I can handle all of the constant adjustments.  So every time you post an  armchair trade I will probably try to adapt it so I do not leave myself naked.

    Thanks


  27. Sorry, math was wrong on AAPL but I fixed it – hit refresh.


  28. Phil any thoughts on LABD here — took the March 25-29 spread before the SOTU

    Would you close it out or buy back the 29 calls here?


  29. Long-Term Portfolio Review (LTP) – Part 3:

    • C – Even at net $2,362 (we started with a credit) it's still good for a new trade on the $45,000 spread that's $12,000 in the money!  
    • CAKE – Earnings on the 20th.   I guess we're well-balanced though I'm tempted to buy the short calls back so good for a new trade.  

    • CDE – Would be silly to sell these as I really think they could pop.
    • CELG – Just waiting for that deal to close.  Actually good for a new trade as they have an offer and it looks like it will go through and our $40,000 spread is only net $30,000.  As soon as the deal closes, you're cashed out with a 33% gain!  

    • CHK – Let's roll our 50 2020 $2 calls at 0.95 ($4,750) to 50 of the 2021 $2 calls at $1.15 ($5,750) and let's buy back the 50 short $5 calls for 0.16 ($800) so we're spending $1,800 to go naked and add a year.
    • CMG – $605?  Really?  Well, we're bullish but not this bullish and the short callers are killing us.  Fortunately, we can still sell 10 of the 2021 $450 puts for $32 ($32,000) to buy a bit of balance as the March $550 calls would have to gain $30 ($36,000) to wipe that out.  Our $160,000 long spread is 100% in the money at $550 so the only way we owe these guys a dime is if we have $192,000 and the current value of the spread is net $2,560 so we have $189,440 left to gain if CMG stays at $605 and then we'd owe 12 $550 callers $55 ($66,000) and we'd still have $123,440 left.  Kind of puts things into persepctive, right?  Since $605 is ridiculous, let's sell 8 of the June $600s for $50 ($40,000) as the beginning of a pre-roll of the 12 March $480s.  As long as we're under $620, it won't hurt much and, if CMG does take a dive – we get a double win.

    Again, it's very important that you understand HOW the options work or you can needlessly panic about things like the paper $168,900 loss on the CMG short $540 calls or the $50,100 loss on the March $550 calls but, in analysis, it turns out that we're actually fine because $85.95 of the short $540 calls (56% and $171,900) is still premium while our $480s have practically no premium left so just sitting and waiting will turn this trade around as the short premium expires!  

    • CZR – On track.
    • DAL – They just paid out huge profit-sharing bonuses to their employees so I think we're fine on this. 
    • DIS – Could not be less worried.  This is a cleanup of long calls we already took off the table.  We left the short April $115s and covered it with the $110/140 spread so we'll see what happens in April.

    • F – Earlier today I pointed out that if you buy F now for $8.50 and sell the 2021 $7 calls for $2 and the $10 puts for $2.55 that you net in for $3.95 (well, that's the current price) and we're in for $10.45 on our 3,000 so let's take the $1,625 loss on the current puts (both sets) and buy 6,000 more shares of F at $8.50 ($51,000) and sell 75 2021 $7 calls for $2 ($15,000) and 60 2021 $10 puts for $2.55 ($15,300) so we're spending net $19,075 and we end up with 9,000 F at the original $31,350 + the net $19,075 we just spent is $50,425 ($5.60/share) and if we are called away at $7 we make $12,600 and under $10 we'd be assigned back 6,000 shares for net $60,000 – $12,600 = $47,400 ($7.90) or, over $10, we have a clean $12,600 + 1,500 uncovered shares x $3 is $4,500 for $17,100 and, while we wait, we get 0.15 x 9,000 ($1,350) per quarter in dividends for another $10,800.  Yes we can do better with options spreads but this is what we're doing with some of our sideline CASH!!!  We can shut this trade down any time and take back the money if we need it.
    • FCAU – Going nowhere and Brexit is a nightmare and their President got caught cheating on taxes so let's kill it.

    • FTR – Having a good day.  Let's double down and buy 10,000 more longs at $2.65 ($26,500) and buy back the short Jan $8 calls at 0.15 as they are not worth the space and we'll keep the short puts and see what kind of run we get.


  30. LABD/Coulter – That was a fail, I don't think it's coming back.  The $25s are still $1.25 and I think the net of the spread was $1.15 so you can salvage that and put a stop on 1/2 the $29s (now 0.55) at 0.80 and, if that triggers, you can then buy a long-term bull spread cover and roll the other half up (in strike) and out (in time).


  31. Long-Term Portfolio Review (LTP) – Part 4:

    • GCI – Getting bought right at our target price right at our target time too.  Do you guys appreciate how great of a call that was?  
    • GE – Now this is a great call too – finally!   I'm not inclined to cover more at the moment – I think they are consolidating for a move up.

    • GILD – On track.
    • GIS – On track.
    • GOLD – Got two downgrades today and didn't hurt them so I'm very happy to be holding these.  Let's buy back the short April $13 calls for 0.62 and see how things play out.  

    • GPRO – Coming along nicely and we're super-bullish.  
    • GS – It's a $60,000 position in the money at net $30,000 so good for a new trade even.
    • HBI – Another sudden success story that we've had for ages.  Not ready to cover yet.

    • HRB – Waiting for tax season to kick in.
    • IBM – Stock of the Year!  Already at our goal but only net $28,000 out of potential $75,000 so still good for a new trade if making $47,000 (167%) if IBM just flatlines for two years isn't too boring for you….
    • IMAX – Waiting for the big superhero movies this summer.
    • IP – Already in the money but only net $3,000 out of potential $11,250 so – good for a new trade!  

    • KHC – Slow start but I have faith.  Good for a new trade.
    • LB – Earnings 2/27.


  32. Jeff Not the best ay for long discussions, as I have to take care of all my cherry calls.

    Selling puts is always a risk, you really need to like the stock.


  33. Phil, going over the OOP review yesterday.  Your chart shows 15 long puts on FCX instead of short puts.  I think it was short puts on the original trade reco.  Good news if it was, as it's a small profit instead of a loss then.


  34. Phil you are closing quite a lot of puts PSA etc having still a good deal of premium.????


  35. TZA- Phil, for a from scratch hedge- what do you suggest?


  36. Long-Term Portfolio Review (LTP) – Part 5:  

    • M – Earnings 2/26.  Might cut and run if they are not good.  
    • MJ – On track, happy for an excuse to buy more.
    • MO – On track.
    • MT – Betting on trade deals that never come.  Still, the 2021 $20s at $6.40 can be rolled to the 2020 (yes, earlier) $15s at $8.70 for net $1.30 ($5,200) so let's do that as I'd rather have leverage than time.  On the other hand, the 10 short 2020 $30 puts at $7.60 ($7,600) can be rolled to 15 short 2021 $25 puts at $5.25 ($7,875) for about even.  
    • MU – Back on track, no changes needed.  
    • NLY – On track (ish) 
    • NYCB – On track
    • OPK – Well their SEC issues seem resolved but still languishing.  Not worth the bother so let's kill it.
    • PZZA – Let's roll the 30 2021 $55 calls at $5 to the $40 calls at $11 for net $6 ($18,000) and let's offer $1 to close the short $70s as $2.35 is outrageous.  Let's also buy back 10 (1/2) of the Jan $50 calls for $4.40 as I think we'll be able to do better.

    • QCOM – I don't like them but a good deal at this price.  Let's buy back the short Jan $70 calls at 0.75 ($1,125) and see what happens.  
    • SKX – Way over our target but just net $9,000 out of $16,000 and it's a 2020 trade so we can wait for the extra $5,000.
    • SPWR – I'd be way more aggressive if Trump were not in charge.  
    • STT – On track.
    • T – On track.
    • TGT – On track.

    • THC – On track
    • UCTT – On track.
    • WBA – Good for a new trade.  
    • WHR – Over our target but only $20,000(ish) out of $45,000 potential so good for anew trade. 
    • WPM – Back at the top of our range.  I love these guys!   It's a $37,500 spread netting just $22,940 so far but we've been playing them like a fiddle since they were our Trade of the Year in 2016.  This is our 4th major entry.  No good short calls to sell at the moment.

    So we did manage to cut a few positions but not as many as I'd have liked to.


  37. FCX/Idi – I think you're right, thanks, I will fix it.

    PSA/Yodi – I just want to cut back and they don't excite me and they are margin hogs.

    TZA/Pstas – I'd go with the Jan $7s at $2.80 and cover 1/2 with July $10s at $1.05 so net $2.30ish per long with TZA at $9.45 so you get 100% of the upside and the covers can roll to 2x the Jan $20s, which are 0.55 now and you're not going to get a 100% pop on TZA unless we're in a serious crisis!  


  38. Well, I'm exhausted!  Off to NYC….

    Have a great weekend, 

    - Phil


  39. Phil – CMG – you already made the pre-roll sale of 8 more calls earlier this week – just after earnings. You sold 8 of the Jan 2020 $600 calls, not to the June $600s. 

    On how the options work, we don't really need to worry about the short call side as it is part of the spread (I know you know that).

    But you may want to consider rolling the spread up to something like you mentioned to Batman – the Jan 2021 $550 / 660 spread. That will give more room to manage further upside on CMG – on the basis that the adjustment for the March short $550s was to the Jan 2020 $600 calls.

    However, I prefer the idea you posted above to move to the June $600 calls – I think it gives more flexibility.


  40. CMG …….. and I see you had a change of heart on selling puts on CMG (earlier the maxim was when the stock is going up we sell calls not puts). But wouldn't you rather sell shorter term puts – say quarterly to handle any downside momentum (new rat-fuelled e-coli outbreak across half the store count would do it nicely)?

    Minor info item: Bill Ackman sold a small sliver of Pershing's holding in CMG yesterday. Pershing is on a roll with big plays on CMG and SBUX. He obviously needs these to offset his losses on Herbalife and Valeant. Maybe he's thinking of taking profits on CMG (bird hand / bush)?

    Something tells me that the internal chatter around the CMG executive suite is that if they play their hand right, leverage the PR spin on the marketing and sales initiatives, shut down any possibility of negative press appearing on food quality etc, then they can take earnings back (and soon) to the good ol' days of $15 EPS, while still pumping up the P/E ratio near the 90s for this unique restaurant concept that the whole of the US is knocking down their doors to consume.


  41. JeffL- covered calls- I have been doing this for several years now as a modest income generator. Your F play is a good one but I show a return of 14% which is a bit less than your calculation because I am including only 3 dividend payments rather than 4. Latest record date is Jan 30, 2019 so you may not collect the last dividend in Jan 2020 depending on the record date. In other words, the options expiration date may be before the dividend record date. Small matter as 14% is pretty attractive for this play. 

    I look for solid companies that are trading at or near a low point in the cycle and pay a nice dividend. Selling puts makes the trade in to a Buy/Write (which Yodi calls his armchair trades) which is also a very good strategy but entails the short put risk. As always, selling a short put should be reserved for stocks you really are comfortable owning. I would add a similar caveat to covered call trading as your stock can sell off below your buy price and you may have to either take a loss or adjust the play to get back to even. As with the buy/write-armchair trades, covered calls work best in an uptrending market so I keep that in mind also. To mitigate that risk somewhat, I usually only go out one or two months. 


  42. Phil – Get some rest! Always appreciative of the insight and knowledge you have to share. Thanks for being a great teacher and master investor! 


  43. JeffL

    First of all I like to apologize for being a bit short in my reply on Friday. However I regret at Witching day I often have my hands full in respect of rolling short calls and even puts.
    I can only elaborate on Pstas remarks.
    You ask me to have a look at my port in respect of armchair trades. I regret this will not help you much, as these stocks are generally bought at their lows, and some of trading well above their lows now, and one has to be patient before you should load up on them again.
    It is important to follow news information as well as conversations on our web site. Phil mostly runs option plays, shown in his different portfolios. I notice some members play along with them. I can only recommend do not run them in your life port with the same number of options. Always enter a play as high as you are willing to lose. So if Phil plays with 10 or 20 sets, go in with 4 or 6 sets proportionally. A great number of these plays are also known as Tree planting plays.
    I notice some new member do like the fast money and follow the future trading on this site.
    Phil is a shrewd poker player and is a fundi in future trading. You need to have a lap top in your toilette to play this, extreme time consuming and be very well up on the daily and hourly news.
    At least 10000 hours of paper trading on top.
    Yes I do have a fair amount of tree planting plays to follow up with half sale of monthly cherry calls. I seldom sell short month puts on BCS.
    Looking at my armchair trades, they are more as a car rental business, where the stock is the car you are renting out. The only difference is, cars in the rental business always get older with time, however good stocks should mostly get better in time.
    Having said this you will ask what stock can I buy. Well the best time you could have bought stock was presently at the Dec. 2018 dip. However this is water under the bridge now.
    So the first thing you do set up a watch list ( I have it on TOS) of good researched stock paying at least a div. of over 3.5 % p.a..
    Take for instant KO, I mentioned them the other day, when they lost 4 $ in one day. Now trading at 45$, my original purchase goes back at a price of 42 $. So the car!!!! I purchased at 42 was even after the drop still 45$ worth. Yes I could have sold the stock at 49 and bought it back the next day for 45, but regret I do not have that crystal ball.
    I wait for the stock to recover a bit, as Phil says to wait for the down grade police, and then you just start selling again OTM puts and calls against it.
    In my case the first thing I did, instead buying more stock I sold the May 45 put, still good today.
    I did recommend MO when it was trading at 44 now 48 and 49, so here it does no good jumping at a running train.
    Besides the news and the financials of a stock set up a chart at least over 2 years and see where the stock is, when you are intend to buy it. I never buy a stock on top ore even half up on the scale. Here you need to be patient and wait for the next stupid idea Trump has and we have another dip for some or the others of his brain wave short circuited ideas.
    In a longer discussion with another member I recommended NYCB, when it was below 10$, not a great stock for selling premium but great for div.
    Pstas mentioned to sell calls one or two month out, but remember most stock pay quarter monthly div., so you could sell at least 3 month out not to miss the div. But it differs from premium to premium some like NLY I sell even 2 years out.
    Read up on moves we discuss during daily comments, and just follow up on them. Sure I like my 2% per month, but even by selling only calls against the stock you hold, can give you a comfortable income of 12 to 15 % p.a. Here you will have no sleepless nights in respect to margins, when the bottom is falling out of the market.
    In any case always do your own research and do not follow blindly any ones recommendation, as you are the only one who can lose your money!
    So with this base in mind you start your rental fleet of cars!!!!


  44. CMG – I forgot we already did the roll, hadn't logged it in the LTP yet.  As to puts, while I expect a 10% drop or even a 20% drop, $450 is further down than that now and, since we got burned on the short calls – it's a balancing move to sell some puts.  

    Thanks Soma.




  45. Researchers developed artificial intelligence that can write so well it kind of scares even them


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  47. Snow too thick to plow keeps skiers from California resorts



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  49. Cancer Breakthrough Leads China’s Biotech Boom


  50. Comment content omitted because it is too long.


  51. Sorry tried to post my watchlist but see above, when trying to post it again it says you posted this already??? Sounds like TRump to my.


  52. Let's see if half goes. to be taken with a pinch of salt NO recommendations !!!

    AAPL    170.42    -0.38    170.43    170.5    24626814    171.25    171.7    169.75    233.47    142    1.805    1.71%
    ABB    19.82    0.47    19.84    20    2601745    19.73    19.83    19.63    25.47    18.045    3.3951    4.17%
    ABBV    80.85    0.33    80.5    81.73    6295419    81.13    81.7    80.16    122    75.77    3.8941    5.29%
    ABX    13.54    0    13.55    13.75    0    0    0    0    15.52    9.53    <empty>    2.07%
    ADM    41.98    0.09    41.65    42.25    4056076    42.29    42.54    41.82    52.065    39.16    3.2707    3.33%
    ADS    173.21    6.24    142    215    779640    168.69    173.755    168.69    250.27    142.58    1.5192    1.45%
    AEG    5.16    0.21    4.87    5.6    1651821    5.1    5.17    5.09    7.48    4.42    5.1835    6.28%
    AEO    20.07    -0.03    19.31    20.39    3269227    20.18    20.435    20.03    29.88    17    2.4157    2.74%
    AFL    49.28    0.68    46.4    50.25    3380447    48.98    49.38    48.95    49.38    41.4459    2.2827    2.19%
    AGNC    17.62    -0.07    17.62    17.66    6375458    17.72    17.75    17.6    19.72    16.96    12.315    12.26%
    AHT    5.39    0.14    5.3    5.99    313944    5.29    5.42    5.24    8.66    3.85    7.5117    8.91%
    AIV    49.61    0.19    41.87    49.62    998587    49.64    49.67    49.34    49.92    37.97    3.464    3.14%
    AKAM    70.09    -0.69    70.09    70.49    1399465    71.24    71.38    69.97    83.08    57.18    0    N/A
    ALB    81.37    0.95    78.76    82.62    1549822    81.8    81.8    80.33    118.83    71.89    1.3279    1.65%
    ALK    66.32    0.1    61.65    66.5    837780    66.92    67.12    66.09    74.83    57.28    2.1035    2.11%
    AMGN    188.34    1.66    187.8    188.31    3314607    188.065    189.1    185.99    210.19    163.31    2.7123    3.08%
    AMZN    1607.95    -14.7    1608.5    1609.85    4343893    1627.86    1628.9099    1604.5    2050.5    1307    0    N/A
    ANTM    311.58    3.41    291    314    1153557    310.87    311.84    308.78    311.84    215.52    1.1423    1.03%
    APHA    9.6    0.51    9.58    9.62    9284765    9.69    9.91    9.33    16.8598    3.75    <empty>    N/A
    APO    30.24    0.39    29.86    30.35    903408    29.86    30.62    29.86    36.49    22.631    7.8647    7.41%
    AR    9.61    0.54    9.3    9.74    8591279    9.13    9.7    9.12    22.69    8.525    0    12.49%
    ARLP    19.23    0.09    19    19.45    222653    19.17    19.38    19.17    20.99    15.55    11.938    11.02%
    ARNC    17.55    0.06    17.6    17.69    4910507    17.63    17.84    17.51    25.47    15.63    1.4235    1.37%
    ARR    21.05    -0.03    21.01    21.35    835732    21.1    21.21    21.01    24.07    19.75    10.156    10.83%
    AU    13.58    -0.1    13.05    13.6    2234927    13.78    13.79    13.41    14.32    7.075    0.56899    0.44%
    AVGO    281.93    0.43    281.44    282.43    1735175    284.09    284.09    278.7914    284.09    197.4567    3.1707    3.76%
    BABA    166.15    -2.23    165.85    166.19    12099523    168.61    168.77    165.41    211.7    129.77    0    N/A
    BAC    29.11    0.72    29.09    29.13    65866974    28.76    29.31    28.67    33.05    22.66    2.1916    2.06%
    BBBY    16.92    0.26    16.85    16.95    6778058    16.74    16.94    16.58    23.28    10.46    4.8913    3.78%
    BEN    32.45    0.78    29.71    33.16    2665859    31.95    32.485    31.84    40.56    27.34    3.203    3.20%
    BHGE    25.83    0.19    25.6    25.99    4119217    25.89    26.03    25.68    37.76    20.09    3.3488    2.79%
    BID    40.89    0.52    40.89    49.9    247511    40.55    41.01    40.36    60.16    35.62    0    0.98%
    BIDU    170.06    -4.02    170.1    170.44    3444652    175.49    175.63    169    284.22    153.78    0    N/A
    BKCC    6.23    0.01    6.2    6.48    164736    6.22    6.24    6.21    6.53    5.06    12.203    11.56%
    BLL    54.13    -0.82    54    56.68    3568245    55.07    55.12    54.08    55.4816    34.71    0.86994    0.74%
    BP    42.29    0.42    42.3    42.45    3463356    42.19    42.355    42.0801    47.25    36.28    6.4082    5.82%
    BPT    25.48    0.17    24.9    26    187233    25.46    25.7392    25.15    37.23    17    13.319    15.74%
    BRK/B    205.29    2.51    205.17    205.99    5044736    204.86    205.79    204.07    224.07    184.7459    0    N/A
    BTZ    12.04    0.04    11.55    12.06    230499    12    12.05    12    12.78    11.06    6.8601    6.68%
    BX    33.35    0.15    33.35    33.45    4362113    33.23    33.68    33.2    40.6    26.88    8.1181    6.96%
    C    64.27    1.85    64.27    64.4    17908930    63.14    64.575    63.01    78.42    48.42    2.9581    2.80%
    CAH    55.48    -0.02    55    56.93    3650571    55.9    55.98    55.36    73.23    42.17    4.2406    3.43%
    CANN    2.5    0.04    2.22    2.71    144949    2.45    2.55    2.45    5.75    1.46    0    N/A
    CAT    136.2    3.58    136.3    137    5217523    134.1    136.25    133.68    164.6    112.06    2.6442    2.53%
    CC    37.75    -0.94    37.66    39.66    2988843    39.41    39.42    37.55    53.25    25.17    1.572    2.65%
    CCI    120.13    1.38    118.5    122    1861026    119.69    120.2    118.93    120.2    98.85    3.9354    3.75%
    CCL    57.25    0.15    56.27    57.75    3240298    57.39    57.47    56.93    70.56    45.64    3.2344    3.49%
    CDE    5.17    0.1    5.08    5.45    2451515    5.13    5.2    5.03    8.89    3.8    0    N/A
    CELG    90.69    0.01    90.55    90.85    8134592    91.06    91.5    89.49    96.95    58.59    0    N/A
    CHL    53.28    0.27    50.75    53.49    602386    53.02    53.41    53.01    53.44    43.25    4.5299    4.38%
    CIM    18.52    -0.01    18.48    19.03    1915747    18.6    18.64    18.48    19.3199    16.68    11.223    10.80%
    CINF    85.48    1.49    72.03    95    665609    84.5    85.52    84.25    85.91    66.33    2.7383    2.62%
    CLF    11.29    0.05    11.17    11.28    11682317    11.38    11.53    11.16    13.1    6.4    0.6502    1.77%
    CLNS    6.41    0    5.75    7.42    0    0    0    0    14.74    5.28    <empty>    6.86%
    CLX    156.28    -0.07    148.01    162    787965    157.41    157.985    156.0749    167.7    113.57    2.4912    2.46%
    CM    85.37    1.13    80.8    85.37    309583    84.65    85.5601    84.4345    96.98    72.96    <empty>    6.37%
    CMG    605.89    1.46    605.9    607.15    585781    606.51    609.29    601.181    612.6008    300    0    N/A
    CMS    52.77    0.27    51.1    53.45    3460492    52.85    52.8636    52.42    53.82    41.98    2.8802    2.90%
    CNQ    27.85    1.2    26.5    30.03    2387889    27.01    27.865    26.95    38.2    21.85    <empty>    4.81%
    COF    81.57    1.96    80    83.24    2704672    80.27    81.71    80.06    101.665    69.9    2.1167    1.96%
    COP    70.18    1.08    70    70.25    5173527    69.94    70.32    69.48    80.24    52.78    1.8605    1.74%
    CPB    34.79    0.34    34.1    35.67    2533880    34.73    35.11    34.66    46.51    32.035    3.8116    4.02%
    CREE    52.23    0.03    52.1    52.85    960297    52.61    52.77    52.05    52.88    33.72    0    N/A
    CRON    21.29    0.47    21.3    21.32    16070346    21.46    21.84    20.85    25.1    5.12    <empty>    N/A
    CS    11.75    0.19    11.6    11.98    8244498    11.65    11.7675    11.6    18.88    10.23    1.6669    2.21%
    CSCO    49.43    1.03    49.35    49.37    30189636    48.83    49.59    48.44    49.68    40.19    2.8927    2.83%
    CTSH    73.56    0.44    72.76    73.85    2875181    73.71    74.05    73.08    85.1    59.47    1.2602    1.09%
    CTT    9.43    0.08    9.05    10.7    531961    9.34    9.56    9.05    13.73    6.71    4.7244    5.73%
    CVA    16.51    -0.75    16.2    16.5    1424153    17.13    17.32    16.47    18.05    12.92    6.1539    6.06%
    CVI    42.58    0.49    38.5    44    412632    42.47    42.6    41.81    47.67    28.14    5.5942    7.05%
    CVS    69.53    1.84    69.62    69.98    10245409    68.26    69.87    67.8529    82.1488    60.14    2.5407    2.88%
    CVX    119.35    1.19    118.9    119.28    6209780    119.62    119.86    118.5901    131.08    100.22    4.118    3.99%
    CYRN    2.57    0    2.49    3.14    2279    2.57    2.59    2.57    3.785    2.05    <empty>    N/A
    D    73.26    0.36    73.2    73.7    4662432    73.24    73.57    73.01    77.19    61.53    4.6739    5.01%
    DAL    51.08    0.6    51    51.24    6492019    50.89    51.47    50.565    61.32    45.08    2.6253    2.74%
    DAN    19.11    1.8    18.8    19.09    4455601    17.62    19.26    17.55    28.61    12.645    1.9282    2.09%
    DB    8.8    0.46    8.68    8.98    5861354    8.61    8.8    8.59    16.83    7.62    <empty>    2.16%
    DE    158.99    -3.43    159    159.85    7578554    159.47    163.395    157.31    169.96    128.32    1.9399    1.91%
    DEO    157.41    2.41    131.4    196.75    1772732    156.5    157.89    155.96    157.89    131.22    2.4672    1.74%
    DIS    112.59    1.93    112.36    112.79    8197250    111.4    112.6325    111.03    120.2    97.68    1.5657    1.56%
    DLR    115.03    1.22    105    116.7    1288991    114.43    115.11    112.97    125.1    96.56    3.7917    3.51%
    DX    6.07    -0.01    6.04    6.1    646391    6.09    6.1035    6.05    6.82    5.5649    12.587    11.86%
    ECFAX    10.68    0.01    N/A    N/A    0    10.68    10.68    10.68    10.98    10.38    <empty>    N/A
    ED    78.51    0.47    77    79    1693621    78.39    78.76    78.25    84.32    71.12    3.721    3.77%
    EIX    60.5    -0.02    53.5    60.5    2015139    60.87    60.98    60.235    71    45.5    3.5757    4.05%
    EMR    68.31    1.83    67    68.67    3901281    67.13    68.38    66.88    79.7    55.385    3.2552    2.87%
    ENB    35.82    0.12    35.85    36    4122474    36.08    36.26    35.7264    37.69    28.8215    <empty>    8.24%
    ENV    56.78    0.84    48    56.81    277907    56.4    56.98    56    64.8    46.57    0    N/A
    EPR    75.51    0.83    73    76    460306    74.85    75.53    74.36    75.53    51.87    6.2272    5.96%
    ESRX    0    0    92.35    92.65    0    0    0    0    101.73    66.93    0    N/A
    ESV    4.78    0.29    4.77    4.84    10420177    4.56    4.8    4.54    9.51    3.19    <empty>    0.84%
    ET    15.05    0.04    15    15.05    7168497    15.05    15.15    14.93    19.19    11.68    6.9421    8.11%
    ETM    7.35    -0.01    6.5    7.9    600726    7.4    7.4    7.3033    10.95    5.27    4.557    4.90%
    ETN    78.73    1.53    77.5    79    2233251    77.97    78.81    77.78    89.46    64.46    3.845    3.35%
    ETP    0    0    21    21.7    0    N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A    11.791    N/A
    ETR    89.86    0.17    69.09    90.38    1391722    90.15    90.3    89.29    91.165    73.55    4.388    4.05%
    EXPE    127.09    0.33    126    130    1488134    127.25    127.84    126.44    139.77    101.3673    1.1007    1.01%
    F    8.54    0.12    8.51    8.52    58080330    8.49    8.56    8.41    12.15    7.41    7.8431    7.03%
    FAZ    9.57    -0.45    9.56    9.61    3303623    9.84    9.84    9.56    16.99    8.8    <empty>    1.70%
    FB    162.5    -1.45    162.36    162.47    15504415    164.51    164.7    160.86    218.62    123.02    0    N/A
    FCAU    14.76    0.09    14.45    15.15    4751186    14.78    14.8    14.64    24.41    14.01    <empty>    0.07%
    FCEL    0.6155    0.07    0.59    0.62    5184833    0.56    0.6646    0.56    2.11    0.43    0    0.00%
    FCX    12.28    0.12    12.28    12.35    16573385    12.38    12.62    12.23    19.74    9.6    1.9399    1.63%
    FDX    179.3    -4.62    179.05    179.79    4730679    179    179.5    176.96    266.67    150.9438    0.88133    1.45%
    FE    39.59    0.14    35.62    39.86    6692602    39.68    39.79    39.27    39.88    31.29    3.8741    3.84%
    FNSR    23.38    0.38    23.25    23.4    1112304    23.07    23.39    22.9    23.68    14.251    0    N/A
    FRT    135.48    1.26    120.01    135.5    525093    135.03    135.55    133.98    136.91    110.66    3.1786    3.01%
    FSLR    49.18    -1.84    49.02    49.27    2399652    50.73    51.2055    48.76    81.72    36.51    0    N/A
    FTR    2.65    0.28    2.65    2.67    6832217    2.4    2.69    2.38    11.639    1.81    9.245    90.57%
    FTS    35.18    -0.15    30.5    37    396430    35.33    35.41    34.99    36.21    30.88    <empty>    5.12%
    FUN    50.75    -0.78    50.72    53    387099    52.44    52.81    50.71    70.82    45.73    7.6004    7.29%
    GCI    11.31    0.06    8    11.5    572756    11.3    11.37    11.19    11.99    8.37    6.3936    5.66%
    GDX    22.43    0.29    22.34    22.42    37505469    22.27    22.44    22.02    23.305    17.28    <empty>    0.47%
    GE    10.09    0.05    10.08    10.11    78344511    10.12    10.28    10.06    15.59    6.66    4.8877    0.40%
    GEO    22.55    -0.38    22.05    25    973220    22.48    22.67    22.12    28.06    18.43    7.4722    8.51%
    GILD    67.59    1.22    67.51    67.65    6214220    66.71    67.69    66.5    82.715    60.32    3.6451    3.73%
    GIS    45.04    0.51    44.06    45.05    4188319    44.84    45.3    44.77    56.37    36.42    4.2627    4.35%
    GLD    124.8    0.74    124.8    125.05    12190104    124.59    125    124.18    129.47    111.06    <empty>    N/A
    GME    11.43    0.1    11.32    11.74    2211823    11.33    11.44    11.28    17.27    11    9.6733    13.30%
    GNC    2.95    0.01    2.85    3.09    624870    2.95    2.97    2.92    4.65    2.14    0    27.12%
    GNW    4.55    0    4.54    4.72    3960087    4.58    4.585    4.53    5.02    2.66    0    N/A
    GOLD    12.95    0.04    12.92    13.12    12375781    12.85    13    12.7    14.18    9.53    <empty>    2.16%
    GOOGL    1119.63    -9.57    1119.33    1121.38    1391348    1139.3    1139.3    1116.72    1291.44    977.6599    0    N/A
    GPC    107.59    1.9    85.5    125    1227524    106.44    107.6    106.01    107.6    85.8    2.8521    2.68%
    GSK    41.24    0.38    41.1    41.53    3213874    41.21    41.31    41.04    42.36    35.775    5.5859    5.79%
    HAL    31.85    0.25    31.72    31.99    8249104    32.06    32.27    31.53    54.91    24.7    2.7088    2.26%
    HBI    18.77    0.21    17.78    18.82    4532162    18.7    18.84    18.54    22.57    11.57    4.9221    3.20%
    HCP    30.84    0.27    30.8    32    4044801    30.92    30.99    30.76    31.88    21.48    5.299    4.80%
    HD    192.39    4.68    192.41    192.5    4997891    189.87    192.62    189.05    215.43    158.09    2.3109    2.14%
    HIX    6.37    0.02    6.2    6.87    278446    6.35    6.38    6.35    6.72    5.42    <empty>    8.57%
    HOG    37.3    0.62    36    37.55    2225618    37.11    37.44    36.87    47.37    31.36    4.3376    3.97%
    HOME    23.56    0.38    20    23.99    588100    23.37    23.77    23.25    40.97    15.89    0    N/A
    HON    153.32    2.8    153.01    153.69    3039428    152    153.32    151.59    162.38925    123.48    2.3123    2.14%
    HRB    24.1    -0.1    21.7    24.56    3053922    24.25    24.29    23.94    29.81    22.45    3.6925    4.15%
    HSIC    62.39    0.02    59    62.62    2440314    63.19    63.19    62.12    91.35    57.78    0    0.00%
    HTGC    12.94    0.05    12.9    13.15    491063    12.92    12.98    12.9    13.7    10.5699    9.4225    9.58%
    IBM    138.03    1.55    137.65    137.96    3844062    137.58    138.185    137.385    162.1122    105.94    5.4632    4.55%
    ILMN    299.82    7.35    295    300    773565    296.56    299.82    294.02    372.61    221.49    0    N/A
    INT    25.74    0.65    0.02    28    398456    25.37    25.77    25.16    33.17    19.785    0.86705    0.93%
    INTC    51.66    0.85    51.67    51.73    22520361    51.25    51.67    51.09    57.5995    42.36    2.5668    2.44%
    IP    47.15    0.65    46.53    47.6    2923202    46.92    47.315    46.67    61.3    37.55    4.7696    4.24%
    IRM    35.12    -0.15    34.9    36.15    3105256    35.38    35.72    34.95    37.32    30.22    6.8077    6.96%
    IVZ    18.86    0.59    18.49    19.1    4591144    18.45    18.89    18.35    35.03    15.38    7.1087    6.36%
    JNJ    136.38    2.07    136.44    136.53    6665038    135.19    136.41    135.01    148.99    118.621    2.7431    2.64%
    JNK    35.5    0.11    35.47    35.6    5502164    35.44    35.51    35.4399    36.38    32.92    <empty>    5.59%
    JPM    105.55    3.13    105.51    105.67    14716861    103.9    105.7    103.66    119.33    91.11    2.7863    3.03%
    KHC    47.62    0.28    47.63    48.05    5758792    47.82    48.09    47.34    70.8    41.6    4.5364    5.25%
    KIM    17.76    0.08    17.44    17.9    2962843    17.76    17.805    17.65    17.96    13.16    7.6451    6.31%
    KKR    23.53    0.14    21    24    2862630    23.64    23.7    23.45    28.725    18.3    3.2348    2.12%
    KMB    118.44    1.59    117.1    119.07    1853969    117.49    118.74    117.06    120.48    97.1    3.5106    3.48%
    KMI    18.8    -0.08    18.6    18.85    19219708    18.96    18.98    18.76    18.98    14.6201    5.2016    4.26%
    KO    45.24    -0.35    45.29    45.35    35701558    45.9    46.255    45.2    50.84    41.45    3.3341    3.45%
    KR    29.5    0.54    29.2    29.93    5059036    29.2    29.51    29.12    32.74    22.85    1.6884    1.90%
    KRO    14.77    0.26    14.61    14.98    336912    14.69    14.8    14.4    25.95    10.51    4.0615    4.60%
    LADR    17.56    0.02    17.5    18.25    621104    17.62    17.685    17.519    17.96    13.7    7.5561    7.74%
    LAZ    36.73    0.08    36.55    39    2258597    37.01    37.27    36.3    57.37    33.54    <empty>    4.79%
    LEG    44.95    0.57    34    46    944627    44.67    45.01    44.2    47.44    33.48    4.1853    3.38%
    LLY    122.48    1.73    121.4    121.83    10366435    121.18    122.48    120.4    122.48    74.51    1.9444    2.11%
    LMT    307.23    6.23    306.52    307.99    847704    304.01    307.33    304.01    362.98    241.1796    3.1317    2.86%
    LNG    66.22    0.22    60.44    68    1554468    66.36    66.745    66.01    71.03    50.08    0    N/A
    LOGM    82.87    -13.07    83.23    83.55    7520221    80.2    84.4    80.2    129    74.87    1.2907    1.45%
    LTC    47.42    0.33    46    48.05    264208    47.27    47.65    46.87    48.13    34.46    5.1689    4.81%
    LVS    60.31    0.94    60.01    60.49    2742720    59.5    60.4    58.78    81.449    47.39    5.7637    5.11%
    M    24.88    -0.26    24.85    24.9    7538080    25.35    25.35    24.85    41.99    24.05    4.2487    6.07%
    MBT    7.81    0.09    7.54    8    2432234    7.83    7.9    7.785    12.8    6.64    9.6178    2.02%
    MCD    179.97    4.1    179.7    180.28    4648604    177.28    179.98    177.0142    190.88    146.84    2.3596    2.58%
    MDLZ    48.16    0.84    47.49    48.38    10522237    47.53    48.21    47.5    48.21    37.42    2.3982    2.16%
    MDP    55.53    0.56    55.51    60.5    373790    55.29    55.69    54.72    62.4    47.3    4.1972    4.14%
    MET    44.86    1.06    42.96    44.98    6034996    44.26    45.02    44.23    48.92    37.76    3.9942    3.74%
    MFGP    21.9    -0.13    20.07    23.5    911379    21.79    21.95    21.5    29.03    12.67    <empty>    5.33%
    MIC    43.67    0.12    41.84    44.03    415805    43.6    43.83    43.27    65.29    33.71    10.535    9.16%
    MMM    208.86    3.93    208.52    209.49    2000378    206.46    208.97    206    244.86    176.87    2.855    2.76%
    MO    48.74    -0.4    48.78    48.85    9161705    49.29    49.4    48.74    66.525    42.4    6.0741    6.57%
    MPC    65.15    1.11    65.01    65.4    5166334    64.9    65.46    64.54    88.45    54.29    3.1181    3.25%
    MRK    79.81    0.87    79    80.2    10387517    79.66    80.13    79.27    80.19    52.83    2.6044    2.76%
    MSFT    108.22    1.32    108.15    108.25    26606886    107.91    108.3    107.3624    116.18    87.08    1.7328    1.70%
    MU    41.99    -0.24    41.95    42    28968391    42.27    42.395    41.42    64.66    28.39    0    N/A
    MYGN    31.46    0.55    29.5    32.75    1243754    31.11    31.65    30.5    50.44    26.05    0    N/A
    NCLH    53.03    0.84    51.52    54.95    1943360    52.6    53.03    52.11    59.66    39.36    0    N/A
    NEP    42.84    1.08    42.05    45    392170    41.96    42.99    41.74    50.656    37.31    3.9779    4.34%
    NFLX    356.87    -2.2    356.95    357.24    9229980    358.47    364.4    355.5    423.2056    231.23    0    N/A
    NGG    54.31    -0.05    49.69    55.35    446082    54.02    54.36    53.98    59.82    46.36    6.0204    3.91%
    NIO    7.41    -0.07    7.4    7.45    15620191    7.55    7.64    7.255    13.8    5.35    <empty>    N/A
    NLY    10.19    -0.07    10.18    10.39    16099872    10.27    10.31    10.19    10.779    9.57    12.22    11.78%
    NNN    52.57    0.27    47.9    56.75    1131640    52.42    52.57    52.12    54.56    36.95    4.0198    3.80%
    NOC    286.98    6.38    286.51    295    929516    283.41    287.07    282.55    360.88    223.6301    1.9192    1.67%
    NRE    17.25    0.15    14.27    20.15    687073    17.12    17.25    17    17.6    10.08    4.2373    3.48%
    NRZ    17.12    0.09    17    17.11    3044589    17.11    17.14    16.95    18.745    13.86    14.075    11.68%
    NSA    28.52    0.03    28.2    33.33    365208    28.63    28.63    28.38    32.28    23.1    4.4811    4.21%
    NVDA    157.34    2.81    157.21    157.26    37918734    162.95    163.87    156.42    292.76    124.46    0.30259    0.41%


  53. Symbol    Last    Net Chng    Bid    Ask    Volume    Open    High    Low    52High    52Low    Div. Yield – Current    Yield

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    Symbol    Last    Net Chng    Bid    Ask    Volume    Open    High    Low    52High    52Low    Div. Yield – Current    Yield

    NVMI    24.93    0.31    24.75    29.35    98143    24.88    25.21    24.66    32    20.83    <empty>    N/A
    NVO    50.35    0.57    47.81    51    2201283    49.81    50.37    49.64    54.56    41.229    2.7155    1.84%
    NVS    89.88    0.86    89.1    91    2351443    89.11    89.99    89.07    92.3913    72.3    3.422    3.27%
    NWL    17.16    -4.53    17.22    17.23    42437052    18.94    19.07    17.1    29.55    15.115    4.532    5.36%
    NXPI    93.04    1.29    91    93.2    3500722    92.58    93.3    92.02    125.93    67.62    <empty>    1.07%
    NYCB    12.05    0.14    11.9    12.1    6239036    11.99    12.065    11.95    14.53    8.61    7.2264    5.64%
    O    70.09    0.31    69.6    70.53    1561124    70.06    70.16    69.6752    70.48    48.26    4.5931    3.86%
    OAK    41.89    -0.26    40.5    43.5    172721    42.24    42.4    41.51    43.19    38.65    7.4717    7.16%
    ODP    3.34    0.01    3.3    3.38    5520682    3.33    3.41    3.28    3.63    2    3.1153    2.99%
    OHI    36.46    -0.27    35.1    37.25    3384266    36.86    37.01    36.36    40.3    25.141    7.5107    7.24%
    OIH    17.56    0.42    17.42    17.6    4609860    17.34    17.5834    17.26    29.865    13.13    <empty>    1.70%
    OKE    67.71    1.03    65    68.45    4623378    67.29    67.98    67.21    71.99    50.26    4.6246    5.08%
    OMI    7.7    0.15    7.25    8.25    1144325    7.57    7.82    7.49    19.16    5.8335    6.2803    3.90%
    ORCL    51.72    0.24    51.51    51.72    13822166    51.13    51.72    51.07    53.48    42.4    1.5644    1.47%
    PACW    41.13    0.85    40.7    41.13    988800    40.59    41.2698    40.2    55.86    31.16    6.9111    5.84%
    PBCT    17.34    0.39    17.28    17.35    4746074    17.1    17.35    17.02    20.26    13.66    4.8337    4.04%
    PCG    15.48    0.01    15.33    15.77    4823156    15.45    15.68    15.395    49.42    5.07    0    13.70%
    PDCO    23.13    0    22.75    24.75    770444    23.19    23.3    23.04    32.73    18.94    4.5654    4.50%
    PEGI    20.99    0.09    20.7    21.2    575223    20.97    21.2    20.9183    21.54    16.58    8.4952    8.04%
    PEP    115.91    3.32    115.76    115.97    8889504    115.85    116.28    114.11    122    95.94    3.0734    3.20%
    PETS    23.59    0.27    23.3    24.05    383070    23.42    23.9201    23.4001    48.32    20.25    4.4712    4.58%
    PFE    42.4    0.43    42.4    42.5    18186859    42.38    42.51    42.08    46.47    34.32    3.1157    3.40%
    PG    98.48    0.02    98.32    98.57    12069080    98.95    99.2    98.25    99.7    70.73    3.091    2.91%
    PM    83.46    1.61    83.1    83.85    6435136    82.8    83.56    82.2    109.9    64.67    5.4207    5.46%
    PRU    94.15    2.47    93.25    94.35    3010216    92.54    94.35    92.54    111.18    75.6094    4.4145    4.25%
    PSA    207.74    -0.41    182.29    210.5    641769    208.98    209.04    207.18    234.9    185.77    3.9677    3.85%
    PSO    11.86    -0.03    11.85    15    153409    11.91    11.91    11.82    13.19    9.57    1.9995    1.21%
    PUK    39.78    0.75    39.78    46.5    194784    39.64    39.79    39.47    54.7    33.315    3.6256    2.05%
    PZZA    45.26    1.75    44.97    46.27    1076262    44    45.29    43.57    64.175    38.05    1.7551    1.99%
    QCOM    51.98    0.41    51.8    52    12239519    52.08    52.36    51.6    76.5    48.56    4.2774    4.77%
    QCP    20.74    0    20.65    30    0    0    0    0    22.91    12.25    0    N/A
    QIWI    14.29    -0.16    14.2    14.29    200904    14.69    15.04    14.26    20.05    11.61    4.9587    5.88%
    RIG    8.93    0.39    8.9    8.95    16070790    8.64    9.05    8.64    14.47    6.19    0    6.72%
    RTN    184.61    3.48    184.01    186.28    2973612    182.44    185    182.38    229.75    144.27    2.2628    1.88%
    RY    76.59    0.8    71.05    77.12    614738    76.18    76.79    76.13    81.56    65.76    <empty>    5.12%
    SBRA    19.99    0.21    19.95    20.55    1688163    19.85    20.125    19.78    23.83    15.7    8.0887    9.00%
    SBUX    70.71    -0.13    70.6    70.75    13924591    71.15    71.37    70.1935    71.54    47.37    2.177    2.04%
    SCO    19.26    -0.9    19.2    19.26    2588175    19.64    19.76    19.2257    33.2    12.2938    <empty>    0.00%
    SDVI    0.0006    0    0.0006    0.0007    751534    0.0006    0.0006    0.0006    0.0007    0.0002    <empty>    N/A
    SIG    25.89    0.38    25.71    26.13    1385127    25.6    26.19    25.54    71.07    23.61    2.3352    5.72%
    SKT    21.73    -0.07    21.6    22.22    1400919    22.08    22.08    21.57    24.91    19.76    6.8868    6.53%
    SLB    44.95    0.81    44.95    45.04    8174863    44.63    45.095    44.47    75.43    34.99    5.5432    4.45%
    SMSI    1.97    0.05    1.9    2.17    153412    1.96    2.02    1.94    2.85    1.45    0    N/A
    SNY    42.55    0.99    40.72    43.09    773801    42.15    42.57    42.07    45.62    37.43    4.0085    4.37%
    SO    48.56    -0.04    48.3    49    4647718    48.84    48.96    48.45    49.62    42.38    5.4128    4.94%
    SPY    277.37    2.99    277.98    278    97088659    276.36    277.41    276.13    293.94    233.76    <empty>    2.07%
    SQQQ    11.73    -0.13    11.71    11.73    21778175    11.6    11.89    11.6    21.37    10.8302    <empty>    3.51%
    STAG    28.74    0.33    26.35    29    6676635    28.41    28.78    27.6    29.07    22.57    5.7072    4.98%
    STWD    21.82    -0.02    21.75    22    2580060    21.93    21.93    21.8    23.04    19.155    8.9219    8.80%
    STX    45.71    -0.06    45.46    45.76    1953340    46.1    46.1    45.5671    62.7    35.38    6.5711    5.51%
    SU    33.89    1.34    33.5    34.05    6173322    33.34    34.05    33.01    42.55    25.81    <empty>    4.96%
    SUN    30.34    0.19    30    30.64    392916    30.29    30.6    30.08    31.33    23.8    11.174    10.88%
    T    30.47    0.68    30.47    30.52    37188658    30.03    30.52    29.93    37.81    26.8    7.0428    6.70%
    TD    56.91    0.74    52    57.47    1143093    56.46    57.11    56.385    75.455    47.73    <empty>    4.71%
    TGT    72.84    0.66    72.91    73.2    3835820    72.56    73.38    72.225    90.39    60.15    2.9617    3.51%
    THC    24.47    0.63    23.91    25    775776    24.04    24.5    23.7691    39.739    16.605    0    N/A
    TM    121.15    1.9    116.12    124.08    164940    120.35    121.23    120.21    138.68    111.1218    3.4005    2.90%
    TMUS    72.05    1.55    71.95    72.85    5711297    70.65    72.07    70.43    72.07    55.09    0    N/A
    TOL    36.85    0.14    35.5    37.2    1404384    36.71    37.15    36.54    49.24    28.68    1.2181    1.19%
    TOT    56.29    0.92    55.55    56.65    1047068    55.97    56.3399    55.92    65.69    49.7    5.6929    5.16%
    TRI    52.96    0.27    46    54    435526    52.88    52.96    52.44    54.124904    40.224694    3.021    2.91%
    TSLA    307.88    4.11    307.8    308.33    3904947    304.5    308    303.9    387.46    244.5901    0    N/A
    TSN    62.61    1.43    60.18    64.6    3169964    61.64    62.96    61.52    77.31    49.77    2.5793    2.40%
    TTM    11.26    0.03    11.19    11.6    1360357    11.32    11.37    11.245    29.11    10.29    0    0.13%
    TWTR    31.23    0.27    31.25    31.32    17591516    31.2    31.8    30.97    47.79    26.19    0    N/A
    TWX    98.77    0    100.44    100.63    0    0    0    0    103.9    85.88    1.7023    1.63%
    TXN    107.57    0.6    105.1    107.75    3604287    107.83    107.87    106.69    118.48    87.7    2.7831    2.86%
    TZA    9.46    -0.46    9.44    9.45    10539560    9.74    9.8259    9.45    18.69    7.804    <empty>    2.14%
    UAL    88.31    0.16    88.21    88.74    2230336    89.35    89.35    88.11    97.85    64.795    0    N/A
    UBS    12.95    0.27    12    13.57    2485555    12.88    12.96    12.86    19.53    11.605    <empty>    5.02%
    UCTT    12.5    -0.06    12.45    12.5    585127    12.59    12.68    12.36    21.95    6.94    0    N/A
    UGA    27.07    0.87    26.1    27.51    105057    26.65    27.08    26.53    37.15    22.05    <empty>    N/A
    UL    54.53    0.05    51.55    58.42    589499    54.78    54.81    54.49    58.07    50.74    3.4946    3.24%
    UN    55.15    0.04    52.13    63    1381318    55.38    55.41    55.12    58.72    51.56    3.3935    3.21%
    UNG    23.39    0.4    23.36    23.49    1876538    23.26    23.42    23.01    39.87    21.65    <empty>    N/A
    UNH    271.13    5.8    270.6    271.5    3673690    267.79    271.13    266.62    287.94    212.495    1.3849    1.33%
    URI    134.86    3.16    134.51    135.39    1630488    133.07    136.05    132.11    190.74    94.28    0    N/A
    VER    8.27    0    7.85    8.48    3137779    8.28    8.29    8.24    8.38    6.52    7.5758    6.65%
    VGR    11.88    0.24    11.5    12    1402037    11.71    11.9461    11.66    20.409524    9.2133    11.196    13.47%
    VKTX    9.07    0.01    9.08    9.11    3315710    9.03    9.2438    8.83    24    3.69    0    N/A
    VLO    84.4    0.79    84.11    84.39    3929766    84.39    85.13    84.06    126.98    68.81    4.2684    4.27%
    VOD    18.26    0.32    18    18.36    5955910    18.13    18.27    18.06    30.2    17.7    8.0419    5.97%
    VRSK    125.38    1.54    103.31    125.6    662056    124.56    125.4    123.24    125.99    95.21    0    N/A
    VTR    65.21    0.47    65.09    65.46    1925856    64.98    65.25    64.64    65.7    46.5457    5.3977    4.86%
    VZ    55.16    1.13    55    55.1    15719416    54.48    55.19    54.32    61.58    46.085    4.2423    4.37%
    WBA    73.43    1.32    73.2    73.6    4670444    72.91    73.83    72.66    86.31    59.07    2.3921    2.40%
    WDC    47.65    -0.33    47.6    47.88    4439259    48.46    48.46    47.375    106.96    33.83    5.4437    4.20%
    WFC    49.22    0.7    49.06    49.22    19346194    49.09    49.42    48.49    61.2651    43.02    3.559    3.66%
    WHR    139.36    1.79    135    140.35    897177    138.56    140.95    137.56    173.34    99.4    4.2575    3.30%
    WMB    27.27    0.41    26.61    27.43    11116458    27.2    27.43    27.05    32.22    20.36    4.8547    4.99%
    WMT    99.99    1.47    100.25    101    9480983    98.98    100    98.855    106.21    81.78    2.0243    2.08%
    WPC    75.2    0.06    74.5    76    695933    75.17    75.38    74.88    75.75    59.4    6.3287    5.48%
    WPM    21.31    0.13    20.64    21.5    1754390    21.33    21.44    21.17    22.865    15.08    <empty>    1.69%
    WPP    54.43    0.75    51.2    55.66    151293    54.41    54.5    54.1    98.47    50.31    5.4858    5.51%
    WSM    55.72    0.22    48.5    57.7    750423    55.68    56.36    55.44    73.99    45.005    2.9526    3.09%
    WTW    30.28    0.4    30.28    30.45    2430752    29.72    30.83    29.72    105.7265    27.97    0    N/A
    WY    25.54    0.12    24.75    27.67    5359581    25.58    25.619    25.42    38.39    20.52    4.0285    5.32%
    XOM    77.71    1.44    77.59    77.79    14330339    76.94    77.76    76.75    87.36    64.65    4.7368    4.22%

    NVMI    24.93    0.31    24.75    29.35    98143    24.88    25.21    24.66    32    20.83    <empty>    N/A
    NVO    50.35    0.57    47.81    51    2201283    49.81    50.37    49.64    54.56    41.229    2.7155    1.84%
    NVS    89.88    0.86    89.1    91    2351443    89.11    89.99    89.07    92.3913    72.3    3.422    3.27%
    NWL    17.16    -4.53    17.22    17.23    42437052    18.94    19.07    17.1    29.55    15.115    4.532    5.36%
    NXPI    93.04    1.29    91    93.2    3500722    92.58    93.3    92.02    125.93    67.62    <empty>    1.07%
    NYCB    12.05    0.14    11.9    12.1    6239036    11.99    12.065    11.95    14.53    8.61    7.2264    5.64%
    O    70.09    0.31    69.6    70.53    1561124    70.06    70.16    69.6752    70.48    48.26    4.5931    3.86%
    OAK    41.89    -0.26    40.5    43.5    172721    42.24    42.4    41.51    43.19    38.65    7.4717    7.16%
    ODP    3.34    0.01    3.3    3.38    5520682    3.33    3.41    3.28    3.63    2    3.1153    2.99%
    OHI    36.46    -0.27    35.1    37.25    3384266    36.86    37.01    36.36    40.3    25.141    7.5107    7.24%
    OIH    17.56    0.42    17.42    17.6    4609860    17.34    17.5834    17.26    29.865    13.13    <empty>    1.70%
    OKE    67.71    1.03    65    68.45    4623378    67.29    67.98    67.21    71.99    50.26    4.6246    5.08%
    OMI    7.7    0.15    7.25    8.25    1144325    7.57    7.82    7.49    19.16    5.8335    6.2803    3.90%
    ORCL    51.72    0.24    51.51    51.72    13822166    51.13    51.72    51.07    53.48    42.4    1.5644    1.47%
    PACW    41.13    0.85    40.7    41.13    988800    40.59    41.2698    40.2    55.86    31.16    6.9111    5.84%
    PBCT    17.34    0.39    17.28    17.35    4746074    17.1    17.35    17.02    20.26    13.66    4.8337    4.04%
    PCG    15.48    0.01    15.33    15.77    4823156    15.45    15.68    15.395    49.42    5.07    0    13.70%
    PDCO    23.13    0    22.75    24.75    770444    23.19    23.3    23.04    32.73    18.94    4.5654    4.50%
    PEGI    20.99    0.09    20.7    21.2    575223    20.97    21.2    20.9183    21.54    16.58    8.4952    8.04%
    PEP    115.91    3.32    115.76    115.97    8889504    115.85    116.28    114.11    122    95.94    3.0734    3.20%
    PETS    23.59    0.27    23.3    24.05    383070    23.42    23.9201    23.4001    48.32    20.25    4.4712    4.58%
    PFE    42.4    0.43    42.4    42.5    18186859    42.38    42.51    42.08    46.47    34.32    3.1157    3.40%
    PG    98.48    0.02    98.32    98.57    12069080    98.95    99.2    98.25    99.7    70.73    3.091    2.91%
    PM    83.46    1.61    83.1    83.85    6435136    82.8    83.56    82.2    109.9    64.67    5.4207    5.46%
    PRU    94.15    2.47    93.25    94.35    3010216    92.54    94.35    92.54    111.18    75.6094    4.4145    4.25%
    PSA    207.74    -0.41    182.29    210.5    641769    208.98    209.04    207.18    234.9    185.77    3.9677    3.85%
    PSO    11.86    -0.03    11.85    15    153409    11.91    11.91    11.82    13.19    9.57    1.9995    1.21%
    PUK    39.78    0.75    39.78    46.5    194784    39.64    39.79    39.47    54.7    33.315    3.6256    2.05%
    PZZA    45.26    1.75    44.97    46.27    1076262    44    45.29    43.57    64.175    38.05    1.7551    1.99%
    QCOM    51.98    0.41    51.8    52    12239519    52.08    52.36    51.6    76.5    48.56    4.2774    4.77%
    QCP    20.74    0    20.65    30    0    0    0    0    22.91    12.25    0    N/A
    QIWI    14.29    -0.16    14.2    14.29    200904    14.69    15.04    14.26    20.05    11.61    4.9587    5.88%
    RIG    8.93    0.39    8.9    8.95    16070790    8.64    9.05    8.64    14.47    6.19    0    6.72%
    RTN    184.61    3.48    184.01    186.28    2973612    182.44    185    182.38    229.75    144.27    2.2628    1.88%
    RY    76.59    0.8    71.05    77.12    614738    76.18    76.79    76.13    81.56    65.76    <empty>    5.12%
    SBRA    19.99    0.21    19.95    20.55    1688163    19.85    20.125    19.78    23.83    15.7    8.0887    9.00%
    SBUX    70.71    -0.13    70.6    70.75    13924591    71.15    71.37    70.1935    71.54    47.37    2.177    2.04%
    SCO    19.26    -0.9    19.2    19.26    2588175    19.64    19.76    19.2257    33.2    12.2938    <empty>    0.00%
    SDVI    0.0006    0    0.0006    0.0007    751534    0.0006    0.0006    0.0006    0.0007    0.0002    <empty>    N/A
    SIG    25.89    0.38    25.71    26.13    1385127    25.6    26.19    25.54    71.07    23.61    2.3352    5.72%
    SKT    21.73    -0.07    21.6    22.22    1400919    22.08    22.08    21.57    24.91    19.76    6.8868    6.53%
    SLB    44.95    0.81    44.95    45.04    8174863    44.63    45.095    44.47    75.43    34.99    5.5432    4.45%
    SMSI    1.97    0.05    1.9    2.17    153412    1.96    2.02    1.94    2.85    1.45    0    N/A
    SNY    42.55    0.99    40.72    43.09    773801    42.15    42.57    42.07    45.62    37.43    4.0085    4.37%
    SO    48.56    -0.04    48.3    49    4647718    48.84    48.96    48.45    49.62    42.38    5.4128    4.94%
    SPY    277.37    2.99    277.98    278    97088659    276.36    277.41    276.13    293.94    233.76    <empty>    2.07%
    SQQQ    11.73    -0.13    11.71    11.73    21778175    11.6    11.89    11.6    21.37    10.8302    <empty>    3.51%
    STAG    28.74    0.33    26.35    29    6676635    28.41    28.78    27.6    29.07    22.57    5.7072    4.98%
    STWD    21.82    -0.02    21.75    22    2580060    21.93    21.93    21.8    23.04    19.155    8.9219    8.80%
    STX    45.71    -0.06    45.46    45.76    1953340    46.1    46.1    45.5671    62.7    35.38    6.5711    5.51%
    SU    33.89    1.34    33.5    34.05    6173322    33.34    34.05    33.01    42.55    25.81    <empty>    4.96%
    SUN    30.34    0.19    30    30.64    392916    30.29    30.6    30.08    31.33    23.8    11.174    10.88%
    T    30.47    0.68    30.47    30.52    37188658    30.03    30.52    29.93    37.81    26.8    7.0428    6.70%
    TD    56.91    0.74    52    57.47    1143093    56.46    57.11    56.385    75.455    47.73    <empty>    4.71%
    TGT    72.84    0.66    72.91    73.2    3835820    72.56    73.38    72.225    90.39    60.15    2.9617    3.51%
    THC    24.47    0.63    23.91    25    775776    24.04    24.5    23.7691    39.739    16.605    0    N/A
    TM    121.15    1.9    116.12    124.08    164940    120.35    121.23    120.21    138.68    111.1218    3.4005    2.90%
    TMUS    72.05    1.55    71.95    72.85    5711297    70.65    72.07    70.43    72.07    55.09    0    N/A
    TOL    36.85    0.14    35.5    37.2    1404384    36.71    37.15    36.54    49.24    28.68    1.2181    1.19%
    TOT    56.29    0.92    55.55    56.65    1047068    55.97    56.3399    55.92    65.69    49.7    5.6929    5.16%
    TRI    52.96    0.27    46    54    435526    52.88    52.96    52.44    54.124904    40.224694    3.021    2.91%
    TSLA    307.88    4.11    307.8    308.33    3904947    304.5    308    303.9    387.46    244.5901    0    N/A
    TSN    62.61    1.43    60.18    64.6    3169964    61.64    62.96    61.52    77.31    49.77    2.5793    2.40%
    TTM    11.26    0.03    11.19    11.6    1360357    11.32    11.37    11.245    29.11    10.29    0    0.13%
    TWTR    31.23    0.27    31.25    31.32    17591516    31.2    31.8    30.97    47.79    26.19    0    N/A
    TWX    98.77    0    100.44    100.63    0    0    0    0    103.9    85.88    1.7023    1.63%
    TXN    107.57    0.6    105.1    107.75    3604287    107.83    107.87    106.69    118.48    87.7    2.7831    2.86%
    TZA    9.46    -0.46    9.44    9.45    10539560    9.74    9.8259    9.45    18.69    7.804    <empty>    2.14%
    UAL    88.31    0.16    88.21    88.74    2230336    89.35    89.35    88.11    97.85    64.795    0    N/A
    UBS    12.95    0.27    12    13.57    2485555    12.88    12.96    12.86    19.53    11.605    <empty>    5.02%
    UCTT    12.5    -0.06    12.45    12.5    585127    12.59    12.68    12.36    21.95    6.94    0    N/A
    UGA    27.07    0.87    26.1    27.51    105057    26.65    27.08    26.53    37.15    22.05    <empty>    N/A
    UL    54.53    0.05    51.55    58.42    589499    54.78    54.81    54.49    58.07    50.74    3.4946    3.24%
    UN    55.15    0.04    52.13    63    1381318    55.38    55.41    55.12    58.72    51.56    3.3935    3.21%
    UNG    23.39    0.4    23.36    23.49    1876538    23.26    23.42    23.01    39.87    21.65    <empty>    N/A
    UNH    271.13    5.8    270.6    271.5    3673690    267.79    271.13    266.62    287.94    212.495    1.3849    1.33%
    URI    134.86    3.16    134.51    135.39    1630488    133.07    136.05    132.11    190.74    94.28    0    N/A
    VER    8.27    0    7.85    8.48    3137779    8.28    8.29    8.24    8.38    6.52    7.5758    6.65%
    VGR    11.88    0.24    11.5    12    1402037    11.71    11.9461    11.66    20.409524    9.2133    11.196    13.47%
    VKTX    9.07    0.01    9.08    9.11    3315710    9.03    9.2438    8.83    24    3.69    0    N/A
    VLO    84.4    0.79    84.11    84.39    3929766    84.39    85.13    84.06    126.98    68.81    4.2684    4.27%
    VOD    18.26    0.32    18    18.36    5955910    18.13    18.27    18.06    30.2    17.7    8.0419    5.97%
    VRSK    125.38    1.54    103.31    125.6    662056    124.56    125.4    123.24    125.99    95.21    0    N/A
    VTR    65.21    0.47    65.09    65.46    1925856    64.98    65.25    64.64    65.7    46.5457    5.3977    4.86%
    VZ    55.16    1.13    55    55.1    15719416    54.48    55.19    54.32    61.58    46.085    4.2423    4.37%
    WBA    73.43    1.32    73.2    73.6    4670444    72.91    73.83    72.66    86.31    59.07    2.3921    2.40%
    WDC    47.65    -0.33    47.6    47.88    4439259    48.46    48.46    47.375    106.96    33.83    5.4437    4.20%
    WFC    49.22    0.7    49.06    49.22    19346194    49.09    49.42    48.49    61.2651    43.02    3.559    3.66%
    WHR    139.36    1.79    135    140.35    897177    138.56    140.95    137.56    173.34    99.4    4.2575    3.30%
    WMB    27.27    0.41    26.61    27.43    11116458    27.2    27.43    27.05    32.22    20.36    4.8547    4.99%
    WMT    99.99    1.47    100.25    101    9480983    98.98    100    98.855    106.21    81.78    2.0243    2.08%
    WPC    75.2    0.06    74.5    76    695933    75.17    75.38    74.88    75.75    59.4    6.3287    5.48%
    WPM    21.31    0.13    20.64    21.5    1754390    21.33    21.44    21.17    22.865    15.08    <empty>    1.69%
    WPP    54.43    0.75    51.2    55.66    151293    54.41    54.5    54.1    98.47    50.31    5.4858    5.51%
    WSM    55.72    0.22    48.5    57.7    750423    55.68    56.36    55.44    73.99    45.005    2.9526    3.09%
    WTW    30.28    0.4    30.28    30.45    2430752    29.72    30.83    29.72    105.7265    27.97    0    N/A
    WY    25.54    0.12    24.75    27.67    5359581    25.58    25.619    25.42    38.39    20.52    4.0285    5.32%
    XOM    77.71    1.44    77.59    77.79    14330339    76.94    77.76    76.75    87.36    64.65    4.7368    4.22%


  54. Now if you check out these stocks with finviz or over a two year period with TOS charts you will find that 95% of these have there lows in Dec 2018. And if you did not jump in at that time you missed the boat.

    Would be great if we bought them at that time. But this is where some of your ground work starts PATIENT!

    Phil is talking about an other dip of 10 to 20 % that is where you need the cash and the cojones to buy.

    However if you look closely you find still one or two like KO, ABB, LOGM good for selling an OTM put,

    M with ??? but at there Dec lows (Phil's favorit), NLY good at 10$,NWL possible to sell a lower OTM put, STWD worth a poke I hold at 20$,

    T I would look out at 29$, VOD possible at 18$,

    So please remember these are only ideas, some off are even non exsisting any more.

    Always do your own research.


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  59. Yodi, I appreciate you sharing your armchair plays.  I'm interested in creating a conservative dividend portfolio, following a similar strategy.  2% per month sounds good.  Do you mind sharing what kind of return you get on your account per year?  I know you have hundreds of plays, which offers compelling diversification, albeit with more labor.  But I'm just wondering what you have been able to achieve in overall return.  Thanks.


  60. Thanks for sharing Yodi!


  61. palotay,

    A bit hard to seperate. My armchair trades are not yet one year old. In Dec. I experienced as well a considerable drop. But overall over the last 3 years I could show an increase of 20% per year.

    Please note the watch list does hold a mix of stocks. BCS and armchair.


  62. Robert, you welcome!


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  66. Awesome Yodi….  thanks for sharing.