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2024
January 25th, 2020 at 5:45 pm
Just read a study on the corona virus that puts its basic reproduction rate (R0) at 3.6 – 4 which means an infected person will on average infect another 3-4 people. Which pretty much makes it more infectious than SARS and MERS were. Even with a complete quarantine in Wuhan the study estimates only a ~25% reduction in infections outside of Wuhan. It also estimates that only 5% of total infections have been identified in Wuhan. In other words, it seems this will be hard to contain and our only hope at the moment is in a vaccine.
Study here: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1.full.pdf
Just something to keep in mind in regards to markets, economics and volatility for the following weeks.