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Friday, December 5, 2025

Why Harris Lost (The Crosstabs Edition)

What the Catalist Data Tells Us

By Sarah Longwell, The Bulwark 

For those of us who love sifting through actual data when trying to make sense of seismic events—like, say, Donald Trump’s re-election—this week was invaluable. Democratic data firm Catalist came out with its report on the 2024 election, giving us the best set of numbers yet to understand what the hell really happened. Many of the big takeaways are in line with what we already knew: Kamala Harris lost because she struggled with younger and more diverse voters, while Trump overperformed with these groups. But in the troves of files, there was still a lot of interesting demographic data to parse.

Yes, Harris backslid the worst with male voters. Compared to Joe Biden’s performance in 2020, she lost six points with men overall. She lost 12 points with Latino men, seven points with black men, and six points with Asian men.

More here >

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