Portfolio Building and Tech Investing (6/11/2025)
Timeline
0:00 – MP Materials and rare earth dependency on China
2:20 – CPI spike and market reaction
3:40 – Gasoline and food inflation analysis
6:12 – CPI flaws and Fed’s misunderstanding of real cost of living
7:00 – Student loan debt and cost of living
8:44 – Trump’s military parade
10:00 – National Guard deployment
11:36 – Gavin Newsom's response
12:27 – Energy prices and CPI impact
13:13 – Tariff delays
14:32 – Seasonal gasoline demand trends and consumer substitution
16:39 – Challenges interpreting early economic pullbacks
17:19 – Trump’s tax cuts and disinterest in tariffs
20:23 – Newsom as potential Democratic candidate, legality of military use
21:00 – Breaking down CPI components and inflation implications
22:45 – Treasury bond auction analysis and implications
24:01 – Commodity price moves and tariff impact on CPI
26:35 – 10-year Treasury auction performance and Fed outlook
28:36 – Market positioning before tariffs
30:24 – May 22 portfolio review
31:07 – Updated watch list
36:06 – Income portfolio overview
37:05 – Crocs and Foot Locker commentary
37:26 – Intel analysis and portfolio suitability
38:05 – Risk levels of Jack in the Box, Macy’s, and others
39:02 – UPS rejecting Amazon business
41:07 – Firing unprofitable customers – business consulting philosophy
44:01 – Long-term portfolio names and value investing philosophy
47:13 – IMAX and blockbuster movie release impacts
48:13 – Lockheed Martin stock
51:16 – Comparing U.S. and Canadian defense contracts
53:11 – LMT put-selling trade idea
56:35 – MP Materials investment case revisited
58:24 – Rare earth market valuation
1:00:17 – MP expansion phase, earnings potential, and speculation
1:00:28 – Merck, Moderna, ON Semiconductor, Paramount legal risk
1:02:59 – Trump suing Paramount and interference in media
1:03:08 – Portfolio review of Pfizer, Prudential, Qualcomm, RH
1:04:48 – RH stock fundamentals and high-end consumer base
1:06:10 – SoFi enthusiasm and price action
1:06:22 – Speculative stocks
1:07:08 – Target’s adaptability and AI-driven retail strategy
1:09:04 – UnitedHealth risk from regulatory exposure
1:11:43 – Whirlpool, Valet, Block, Yeti Holdings
1:12:38 – Watch list update strategy
1:13:23 – Deep dive: Chimera (CIM) REIT trade
1:19:25 – Chimera's real estate and mortgage strategy
1:22:09 – Importance of understanding full company story
1:22:21 – Pinterest vs.
