Earnings & the $700/Month Portfolio Review
Timeline
0:00 – Tech issues
2:30 – Politics of the day
3:41 – Robo John post; political analysis
4:01 – Obama, Republican backlash, and political polarization
6:03 – Trump influence and extreme politics
6:19 – Civil-war map, U.S. breakup discussion
8:13 – Red vs. blue state finances and fiscal imbalance
9:27 – Gerrymandering and threats to democracy
10:00 – Mandami, NYC politics, Trump threats
11:11 – Review of NYC mayors (Bloomberg, Giuliani, Koch)
13:48 – Google AI quality and AI evolution
14:43 – Google as an investment idea
15:42 – Comparing AI tools (Google, Perplexity, ChatGPT/Bod)
18:38 – Using Gemini to analyze political articles
22:55 – Political analysis tied to 2026 investing themes
24:45 – How to use AI for deeper investment research
27:00 – Mandami tax vs Trump tariffs
30:14 – Energy, utilities, cost-of-living themes for investors
31:50 – Election uncertainty, hedging, volatility
33:01 – Using AI + Seeking Alpha for stock discovery
34:14 – Three stock ideas surfaced by AI
35:14 – LYB deep dive (chemicals, write-down, valuation)
40:08 – Morningstar comparison; confirming LYB thesis
44:23 – Should LYB be added?
46:06 – LYB as new trade idea
47:20 – How AI assists stock selection
49:02 – LYB chart and valuation range
52:11 – LYB options review
54:09 – Portfolio review begins
55:25 – Annualized return math
57:17 – How risk changes as portfolio grows
58:11 – Position review (ET, HELE, PATH, SALE, SOFI, etc.)
1:10:09 – Why options outperform buying stock
1:11:14 – AI misreads financials; write-down example (LYB)
1:12:26 – AI vs. AGI and how Bod learns investing
1:17:29 – Why investors must use AI
1:20:04 – Dividend vs. options misunderstandings
1:22:55 – Best Buy–IKEA partnership as catalyst
1:25:05 – Best Buy valuation and turnaround
1:29:22 – Timing catalysts in stock selection
1:31:03 – Retail inventory accounting explanation
1:35:25 – Analyst blind spots and real business understanding
1:39:13 – Best Buy seen in-store; catalyst confirmed
1:40:06 – LYB and Best Buy flagged for trades
1:41:07 – Pinterest earnings drop
1:43:14 – Pinterest valuation discussion
1:45:03 – SQQQ hedge adjustments
1:49:33 – Market reaction to elections
1:50:38 – Gold long-term trend
1:51:01 – Bitcoin vulnerability to quantum computing
1:53:02 – EPD post-earnings move
1:54:22 – PR follow-up
1:54:49 – VALE call sale
1:55:44 – Portfolio upside summary
1:57:00 – ULCC earnings preview
1:58:01 – Bod’s analysis notes
1:59:22 – Wrap-up
Summary
Phil opens with quick tech fixes, then shifts into a discussion of New York politics, Trump’s threats toward the city, and broader concerns about democratic backsliding, gerrymandering, and state-level fiscal realities.
