PSW's Weekly Webinar: Watch List Review
Originally recorded 12-03-25
Timeline:
0:00 – Opening
1:05 – Watch list workload and schedule update
2:30 – Oil short thesis introduction
4:00 – EIA petroleum report and inventory data
6:30 – Oil demand weakness and exports discussion
9:55 – U.S. energy policy and long-term oil depletion
12:00 – Managing oil trade and dollar correlation
14:10 – Dollar weakness and impact on oil
15:00 – Policy risk and mileage standards
16:10 – Catch-up since Thanksgiving
16:30 – Comcast as a top trade
18:10 – Warner Bros / Netflix / Comcast acquisition analysis
21:30 – Comcast assets and Vegas Sphere economics
23:00 – Wicked film and sequel commentary
28:15 – Box office comparisons and global release timing
29:40 – Recent webinars and market recap
30:20 – Fed rate cut and macro context
30:40 – Time-tested investing principles article
33:00 – Thanksgiving week market behavior
33:30 – AGI / Anya box and hologram concept
34:20 – 2026 portfolio outlook and positioning
36:50 – Lululemon top trade
38:05 – $700/month portfolio update
39:15 – Sector themes heading into 2026
39:45 – AGI round table concept
41:45 – AI agents, reality check, AI accuracy and workflow failure example
49:20 – AI image tools that work
52:05 – Watch list session begins
53:15 – Tesla / Boring Company analysis
59:00 – Infrastructure failures and political risk
1:02:20 – State of AI vs media hype
1:03:40 – Proprietary AI systems and future vision
1:05:05 – Member Q&A: SM Energy
1:08:20 – AI-driven stock analysis demo
1:12:00 – Watch list methodology and costs
1:15:00 – FAR system
1:16:45 – Market range framework
1:18:30 – Using the live watch list
1:19:20 – Kill list overview
1:24:40 – New positions and sector rotation
1:25:50 – Broadcom as AI pick-and-shovel play
1:29:40 – Utilities and energy demand
1:30:00 – Core portfolio philosophy
1:33:40 – Long-term investing analogy
1:35:00 – Blue-chip income strategy
1:37:30 – Picks-and-shovels AI investing
1:39:20 – Back-end kill list review
1:42:20 – Tariffs, geopolitics, and macro risks
1:46:40 – Yeti and premium consumer thesis
1:55:00 – Final watch list wrap-up
Summary
This webinar begins with a market and watch-list reset following Thanksgiving, then moves quickly into a detailed macro and trading discussion centered on oil.
