Too Much to Talk About (But We'll Try)! (1/21/2026)
Timeline
0:00 – Pivot Points vs. Sentiment and Trend Analysis
1:05 – Analyzing Bounce Lines (Strong vs. Weak Retrace)
1:55 – Calculating the 5% Rule and Retracement Levels
3:33 – Reliability of Technical Support and Pivot Points
4:30 – Using Flexible Grids and Different Time Frames
5:35 – Futures and S&P 500 Consolidation Analysis
5:58 – Spike-to-Spike vs. Base-to-Base Charting
8:05 – Testing Support and Resistance Calculations
11:45 – Timing Options Entries and Exits
12:12 – Channel Trading Strategy (e.g., Barrick Gold)
14:23 – Delta and Option Pricing Calculations
16:20 – Concept of Filling Option Spreads
18:25 – Daily Market Performance and VIX Update
19:30 – Identifying Lower-Zone Consolidation
21:18 – Geopolitical Commentary (Greenland, Trade, History)
26:40 – Round Table Report: Treasury Notes and Interest Rates
27:40 – National Debt Calculations and Budget Impact
31:18 – Tariff Policy and Trade War Implications
35:45 – Analysts’ Nuances: Japan Bonds and Housing Policy
39:20 – Magnificent 7 Performance Review
40:15 – Historical P/E Ratios and Bank Income Trends
42:15 – Congressional Activity and Legislative Trends
43:20 – Top Trade Alert Analysis: Generac (GNRC)
45:25 – Rolling and Hedging Option Strategies
53:00 – Watchlist Review: Performance of A–L Stocks
1:06:50 – Strategy and “AI-Driven” Value Investing Philosophy
1:07:35 – Watchlist Review: Performance of N–Z Stocks
1:11:10 – Specific Stock Case Studies (AT&T, Target, Whirlpool)
1:18:50 – “Final Four” Trade of the Year Selection (Pfizer)
1:21:30 – Compounding Returns
1:27:10 – Market Sentiment: Waiting for Earnings and Macro Clarity
1:32:50 – Q&A
1:45:30 – News Reaction: Greenland / NATO Trade Update
Summary
Phil blends technical market mechanics, options strategy, and macro-geopolitical context, with a strong emphasis on disciplined trading frameworks and patience in uncertain conditions. The early part of the discussion focuses on pivot points and retracement levels as objective tools for understanding market structure.
