Performance

There's nothing we hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn't work out.

It's never going to happen here!

Here's a site that promises you that, using options, you "could have turned $5,000 into $1M in just over 5 years."  That's just not our style, too flashy!

Not only do we publish weekly reviews or our trades (see Phil's Weekly Wrap-Ups), but you can review every single word we've said since November of 2005 in our archives (and the historical comments are available even to report members) and see for yourself what you think of our picks!

Do we need your credit card so you can look? No, why should we - the picks should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past than you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

Our picks and articles usually appear daily, but delayed, under the "Financial Blogs" section of Yahoo Finance and often in the "Blog Posts" section of Google Finance. I am often posted on Seeking Alpha and have maintained a daily blog on Blogger for most of 2006 before switching to the site you see here.

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking sites on the web and they all think they're smarter than us... We don't try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!

We've been told by marketing experts that we need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters, that we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and we're supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets.

We're not going to do that. When we look for a good financial newsletter, we just read that stuff and go "blah blah blah" in our heads until we found some kind of sample of the actual numbers.

Well, we give you those numbers. We let you see everything we did, winners and losers, no samples. There's a weekly update and you can take a look most weekends you can check out Phil, Optrader and Oxen's styles for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read them every day.

All right, so we're not good at marketing - but that's not why you're here is it?

We are "amateur" investors, like you, who just got sick of all the BS we were getting from all the "professional" services and we decided to start our own. We are not brokers or pro traders and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio... But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to us?  We do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and we're happy to share what we know with you.  No other reason.  Nothing bad will happen to you if you don't sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open.

Here's a short list of past accomplishments (and please, check out the Seeking Alpha list, this is all of our major macro articles, not just the ones that worked):

6/21 - Gold Rises on N. Korean Nuke Threat (GLD, GOLD)
Gold goes from $580 to $676 following recommendation.

6/29 - Why The EU's Fines Against Microsoft Aren't So Significant (MSFT)
Recommends Oct $25s for .50, stock was at $23.25

7/4 - Trump Should Suffer From New Jersey Shutdown (TRMP)
Trump peaked July 6th at $20.25, closed at $16.98 on August 10th

7/7 - Google's Private Jet: A (Part-time) Shareholder's Concern
Google peaks at $427.89 that day, fell to $363.36 on August 3rd

7/21 - Google, Time to Find a New Revenue Stream
Follow up on a week of commentary warning readers to get out of Google

7/24 - Misreading American Express Earnings
American Express drops to $49.73 on earnings, recovers to $53.72 on August 17th (I was so irate with the reaction to the earnings, which were mid-day that I published this one on the afternoon and we made a killing on the current month options).

7/31 - Did the Fed Overdo the Rate Hikes?
Predicted Fed pause and negative reaction the markets would have to it.

8/5 - Berkshire Hathaway Reports Blowout Quarter; Good Entry Point For New Investors
August 7th (Monday) BRK.A opens at $92,200, $96,700 on August 24th

8/8 - Options Trader: How I'm Playing Today's Fed Decision
Notably calls the top on oil at $77 despite Lebanon war and BP Spill, Oil peaked at $77.70 on August 10th

8/17 - SOX Found: Is a Major Upswing In the Works?
Predicts the late-August rally based on technical indicators

8/18 - Sears: Too Cheap to Resist
Sears drops to $139.72 on earnings, rises to $152.45 on September 5th

8/20 - Gold: Heading for a Trainwreck Due to Oversupply?
Predicted coming drop in gold prices while it was going up.

8/21 - Nike's New Sneaks Should Give Some Lift
NKE drops to $76.45, closes at $82.05 on September 8th

8/22 - Gold Bugs, Don't Dig In Too Deep
Warns of a false rally with gold climbing towards $640

8/23 - Oil's Slippery Slope: Why Crude and Oil Stocks May Be Headed Down, Fast
Oil was at $72, was at $60 within 30 days!

8/25 - The Market's Just Waiting for an Excuse to Rally
Dow 11,300, need I say more?

8/30 - Will Market History Repeat Itself?
Calling for a major rally based on chart patterns.

8/31 - Gold — Don't Be Left Holding the Bag
Gold fell from $640 to $570 in the next 2 weeks.

9/1 - A Few Miner Adjustments: BHP Billiton & Phelps Dodge
A nice example of a complex spread played against news - I love these trades!

9/5 - Frontline's Weakness May Portend a Spill in Tanker Stocks
Very nice call on the tanker sector

9/6 - Windows Upgrade Presents New Vista for Dell
Nice bottom call on Dell

9/8 - How Long Can the Exxon Bulls Last?
Longer than I thought!

9/11 - Google's Low Volatility Presents Unique Options Opportunity
The call that made me famous!

9/11 - Why Broadcast TV Has No Need to Fear Video Sharing
Did I bring YouTube to Google's attention?

9/15 - Oil Price Manipulation: Taking from the Poor to Give to the Rich
Led to a series of very productive oil puts in the daily column

9/18 - eBay: Runaway SG&A Expenses Dragging Down The Stock
It was the EXACT bottom for Ebay

9/20 - Investment Banks Have Too Much Money On Their Hands
I was way off here, apparently you cannot have too much money!

10/1 - Yahoo and eBay: Undervalued
Still waiting for Yahoo to read this one...

10/8 - Bread and Butter Trade: Buy the Leap, Sell the Call
Slightly more complex option strategies

10/8 - Phil Davis' Google Play -- Round Three Update
We're not ashamed to make money over and over on the same thing!

10/20 - Getting Ready to Go Long SanDisk
We're still waiting for my $40 target (see comments)

10/22 - Cell Phone Makers: Nokia May Run, But Qualcomm's On An End Run
Scratch that, reverse it - thank you!

10/23 - The Rise and Fall of Oil: Roach Motel Theory
May be the call of the year - still waiting to see!

10/29 - Deflating Housing Bubble = Comfy Landing for Equities
That one was dead on!

11/4 - Prop 87: Follow the Money
We also love our politics!

11/9 - How to Short Homebuilders: Look for the Fastest Growers
This one is still unfolding...

11/16 - Zune Is DOA -- Sansa Anyone?
We know how this turns out!

11/19 - Options Trader: Long Term Picks
A review of our long-term calls

12/2 - Options Trader: Friday Wrapup and November Rundown
Good to read to get caught up

12/5 - ExxonMobil: Black Magic
Did little old me cause Exxon to dip? I don't think so but I'm getting blamed!

12/6 - Las Vegas Sands: Dicey Valuation
Still playing itself out but down $6 in 6 sessions since the post.

12/11 - Insurance Sector Looks Cheap
Huge winner in just one week!

12/14 - Can the U.S. Markets Break Loose?
Of course our subscribers get all this information first...

That's it for now, we'll update it when we get around to it but all the new stuff is right here on this site. You are welcome to use the ad-supported sites any time but the mailing list, intra-day alerts and daily comment section are for members only.

We hope you will join us!

Thanks,

- Phil, David and Optrader

 

 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Policy Errors Have Consequences

 

Policy Errors Have Consequences

Courtesy of John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

“T.S. Eliot once wrote, ‘Only those who risk going too far can possibly find out how far one can go.’ It seems the US financial system is bound and determined to find out.”

—John Hussman, July 29, 2021

“If I was Darth Vader and I wanted to destroy the US economy, I would do aggressive spending in the middle of an already hot economy… What are you going to get out of this? You’re going to get a sugar high, the higher inflation, then an economic bust.”

—Stanley Druckenmiller, July 23, 2021

“...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Wildfires Are Coming For Wine, Weed, And Christmas 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

There are 86 large wildfires that have burned 1,498,205 acres in 12 US states and emit large quantities of carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and dangerous particulate matter into the atmosphere this summer that could affect wine weed and Christmas. 

The West Coast fire season is off to a fiery start, and an abundance of smoke can destroy precious vineyards and damage the fruit. 

University of California Davis researchers say California's wine cou...



more from Tyler

Chart School

Bitcoin Gann review, what happened at $65000, what is next?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Bitcoin stopped at $65,000 and sunk 50%, that was not expected, confused.

It's funny how Gann Angles can be the rail road for price action. 





Chart in video.








Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

more from Chart School

Biotech/COVID-19

Big tech has a vaccine misinformation problem - here's what a social media expert recommends

 

Big tech has a vaccine misinformation problem – here’s what a social media expert recommends

Misinformation on social media is hindering efforts to vaccinate people against the coronavirus. Sheldon Cooper/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Courtesy of Anjana Susarla, Michigan State University

With less than half the United States population fully vaccinated for COVID-19 and as the delta variant sweeps the nation, the U.S. surgeon general issued an advisory that called misinformation ...



more from Biotech/COVID-19

Digital Currencies

What are stablecoins? A blockchain expert explains

 

What are stablecoins? A blockchain expert explains

Stablecoins promise more stability than other cryptocurrencies. DenBoma/iStock via Getty Images

Courtesy of Stephen McKeon, University of Oregon

Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency linked to an asset like the U.S. dollar that doesn’t change much in value.

The majority of the dozens of stablecoins that currently exist use the dollar as their benchm...



more from Bitcoin

Politics

Bipartisan infrastructure deal begins to address consequences of a warming planet: 3 essential reads

 

Bipartisan infrastructure deal begins to address consequences of a warming planet: 3 essential reads

A lot of coastal infrastructure wasn’t designed for the frequent flooding and crashing waves brought by rising seas. Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

Courtesy of Bryan Keogh, The Conversation and Stacy Morford, The Conversation

...



more from Politics

Promotions

Free Webinar Wednesday: July 7, 1:00 pm EST

 

Don't miss Phil's Webinar on July 7 at 1:00 pm EST. It's FREE and open to all who wish to join.

Click here: 

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6552545459443187211

Join us to learn Phil's trading tactics and strategies in real-time!

...

more from Promotions

Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil Cleared For Blast Off On This Dual Breakout?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Crude Oil about to blast off and hit much higher prices? It might be worth being aware of what could be taking place this month in this important commodity!

Crude Oil has created lower highs over the past 13-years, since peaking back in 2008, along line (1).

It created a “Double Top at (2), then it proceeded to decline more than 60% in four months.

The countertrend rally in Crude Oil has it attempting to break above its 13-year falling resistance as well as its double top at (3).

A successful breakout at (3) would suggest Crude Oil is about to mo...



more from Kimble C.S.

ValueWalk

Managing Investments As A Charity Or Nonprofit

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Maintaining financial viability is a constant challenge for charities and nonprofit organizations.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The past year has underscored that challenge. The pandemic has not just affected investment returns – it’s also had serious implications for charitable activities and the ability to fundraise. For some organizations, it’s even raised doubts about whether they can continue to operate.

Finding ways to generate long-term, sustainable returns for ...



more from ValueWalk

Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



more from M.T.M.

The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



more from Tech. Traders

Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



more from Lee

Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.