Performance

There's nothing we hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn't work out.

It's never going to happen here!

Here's a site that promises you that, using options, you "could have turned $5,000 into $1M in just over 5 years."  That's just not our style, too flashy!

Not only do we publish weekly reviews or our trades (see Phil's Weekly Wrap-Ups), but you can review every single word we've said since November of 2005 in our archives (and the historical comments are available even to report members) and see for yourself what you think of our picks!

Do we need your credit card so you can look? No, why should we - the picks should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past than you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

Our picks and articles usually appear daily, but delayed, under the "Financial Blogs" section of Yahoo Finance and often in the "Blog Posts" section of Google Finance. I am often posted on Seeking Alpha and have maintained a daily blog on Blogger for most of 2006 before switching to the site you see here.

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking sites on the web and they all think they're smarter than us... We don't try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!

We've been told by marketing experts that we need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters, that we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and we're supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets.

We're not going to do that. When we look for a good financial newsletter, we just read that stuff and go "blah blah blah" in our heads until we found some kind of sample of the actual numbers.

Well, we give you those numbers. We let you see everything we did, winners and losers, no samples. There's a weekly update and you can take a look most weekends you can check out Phil, Optrader and Oxen's styles for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read them every day.

All right, so we're not good at marketing - but that's not why you're here is it?

We are "amateur" investors, like you, who just got sick of all the BS we were getting from all the "professional" services and we decided to start our own. We are not brokers or pro traders and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio... But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to us?  We do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and we're happy to share what we know with you.  No other reason.  Nothing bad will happen to you if you don't sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open.

Here's a short list of past accomplishments (and please, check out the Seeking Alpha list, this is all of our major macro articles, not just the ones that worked):

6/21 - Gold Rises on N. Korean Nuke Threat (GLD, GOLD)
Gold goes from $580 to $676 following recommendation.

6/29 - Why The EU's Fines Against Microsoft Aren't So Significant (MSFT)
Recommends Oct $25s for .50, stock was at $23.25

7/4 - Trump Should Suffer From New Jersey Shutdown (TRMP)
Trump peaked July 6th at $20.25, closed at $16.98 on August 10th

7/7 - Google's Private Jet: A (Part-time) Shareholder's Concern
Google peaks at $427.89 that day, fell to $363.36 on August 3rd

7/21 - Google, Time to Find a New Revenue Stream
Follow up on a week of commentary warning readers to get out of Google

7/24 - Misreading American Express Earnings
American Express drops to $49.73 on earnings, recovers to $53.72 on August 17th (I was so irate with the reaction to the earnings, which were mid-day that I published this one on the afternoon and we made a killing on the current month options).

7/31 - Did the Fed Overdo the Rate Hikes?
Predicted Fed pause and negative reaction the markets would have to it.

8/5 - Berkshire Hathaway Reports Blowout Quarter; Good Entry Point For New Investors
August 7th (Monday) BRK.A opens at $92,200, $96,700 on August 24th

8/8 - Options Trader: How I'm Playing Today's Fed Decision
Notably calls the top on oil at $77 despite Lebanon war and BP Spill, Oil peaked at $77.70 on August 10th

8/17 - SOX Found: Is a Major Upswing In the Works?
Predicts the late-August rally based on technical indicators

8/18 - Sears: Too Cheap to Resist
Sears drops to $139.72 on earnings, rises to $152.45 on September 5th

8/20 - Gold: Heading for a Trainwreck Due to Oversupply?
Predicted coming drop in gold prices while it was going up.

8/21 - Nike's New Sneaks Should Give Some Lift
NKE drops to $76.45, closes at $82.05 on September 8th

8/22 - Gold Bugs, Don't Dig In Too Deep
Warns of a false rally with gold climbing towards $640

8/23 - Oil's Slippery Slope: Why Crude and Oil Stocks May Be Headed Down, Fast
Oil was at $72, was at $60 within 30 days!

8/25 - The Market's Just Waiting for an Excuse to Rally
Dow 11,300, need I say more?

8/30 - Will Market History Repeat Itself?
Calling for a major rally based on chart patterns.

8/31 - Gold — Don't Be Left Holding the Bag
Gold fell from $640 to $570 in the next 2 weeks.

9/1 - A Few Miner Adjustments: BHP Billiton & Phelps Dodge
A nice example of a complex spread played against news - I love these trades!

9/5 - Frontline's Weakness May Portend a Spill in Tanker Stocks
Very nice call on the tanker sector

9/6 - Windows Upgrade Presents New Vista for Dell
Nice bottom call on Dell

9/8 - How Long Can the Exxon Bulls Last?
Longer than I thought!

9/11 - Google's Low Volatility Presents Unique Options Opportunity
The call that made me famous!

9/11 - Why Broadcast TV Has No Need to Fear Video Sharing
Did I bring YouTube to Google's attention?

9/15 - Oil Price Manipulation: Taking from the Poor to Give to the Rich
Led to a series of very productive oil puts in the daily column

9/18 - eBay: Runaway SG&A Expenses Dragging Down The Stock
It was the EXACT bottom for Ebay

9/20 - Investment Banks Have Too Much Money On Their Hands
I was way off here, apparently you cannot have too much money!

10/1 - Yahoo and eBay: Undervalued
Still waiting for Yahoo to read this one...

10/8 - Bread and Butter Trade: Buy the Leap, Sell the Call
Slightly more complex option strategies

10/8 - Phil Davis' Google Play -- Round Three Update
We're not ashamed to make money over and over on the same thing!

10/20 - Getting Ready to Go Long SanDisk
We're still waiting for my $40 target (see comments)

10/22 - Cell Phone Makers: Nokia May Run, But Qualcomm's On An End Run
Scratch that, reverse it - thank you!

10/23 - The Rise and Fall of Oil: Roach Motel Theory
May be the call of the year - still waiting to see!

10/29 - Deflating Housing Bubble = Comfy Landing for Equities
That one was dead on!

11/4 - Prop 87: Follow the Money
We also love our politics!

11/9 - How to Short Homebuilders: Look for the Fastest Growers
This one is still unfolding...

11/16 - Zune Is DOA -- Sansa Anyone?
We know how this turns out!

11/19 - Options Trader: Long Term Picks
A review of our long-term calls

12/2 - Options Trader: Friday Wrapup and November Rundown
Good to read to get caught up

12/5 - ExxonMobil: Black Magic
Did little old me cause Exxon to dip? I don't think so but I'm getting blamed!

12/6 - Las Vegas Sands: Dicey Valuation
Still playing itself out but down $6 in 6 sessions since the post.

12/11 - Insurance Sector Looks Cheap
Huge winner in just one week!

12/14 - Can the U.S. Markets Break Loose?
Of course our subscribers get all this information first...

That's it for now, we'll update it when we get around to it but all the new stuff is right here on this site. You are welcome to use the ad-supported sites any time but the mailing list, intra-day alerts and daily comment section are for members only.

We hope you will join us!

Thanks,

- Phil, David and Optrader

 

 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Italy's Luigi Di Maio Resigns As Five Star Leader

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

With his once-vanquished partner-turned-rival Matteo Salvini breathing down his neck, Luigi Di Maio, the longtime leader of Italy's anti-establishment, left-of-center Five Star Movement, has stepped down from his position at the head of the party, though he will continue to serve as Italy's foreign minister in a coalition government with the centrist Democrats.

Di Maio

News of Di Maio's departure is a harbinger of more political turbulence in a...



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The Technical Traders

Junior Gold Miners Setting Up For Another Rally

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our recent research suggests the US stock market may be entering a period of volatility that may include a broad market rotation/reversion event.  We believe this volatility event could begin to happen anytime over the next 10 to 30+ days.  The rally in the US stock market ending 2019 and carrying into 2020 appears to be setting up a “rally to a peak” type of price pattern. Please take a minute to review the following articles we’ve posted recently about this topic and how it relates to opportunities in
Metals/Miners.

January 20, 2020: ...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Wednesday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • The MBA's index of mortgage application activity for the latest week is schedule for release at 7:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for December will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • The Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the latest week is schedule for release at 8:55 a.m. ET.
  • The FHFA house price index for November will be released at 9:00 a.m. ET.
  • Existing home sales report for December is schedule for release at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Posted-In: Economic DataNews ...



http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Phil's Favorites

Oil Is The Only Way Back Up For Venezuela

Courtesy of OilPrice.com, Editorial Dept.

There’s only one path to rebuilding Venezuela, and it’s paved with oil. For the time being, that path leads nowhere.

The key to controlling everything now lies with the National Assembly, the only body with the power to hand out oil licenses—and Maduro’s recent scheme to retake control of the country’s oil may just have been foiled by more Trump sanctions. 

Venezuela is the 12th largest oil producer in the world and home to the world’s largest oil reserves--all of which is irrelevant as long as it remains in the throes of a deep economic and ...



more from Ilene

Kimble Charting Solutions

Hang Seng Index Double Topping At 2007 Highs?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Could the Hang Seng Index be “Double Topping” at its 2007 highs? Possible, yet not proven!

The Hang Seng Index attempted to break above its 2007 highs at (1), only to see a key reversal pattern take place the following month.

After the reversal pattern, the index has created a series of lower highs, just below falling resistance.

So far this month, the index is attempting to break above falling resistance, where it could be created a bearish reversal monthly pattern at (2).

What would it take to prove that a double top was i...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Monday, 16 September 2019, 05:22:48 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: This chart says SP500 should go back to 2016 levels (overshoot will occur of course)



Date Found: Tuesday, 17 September 2019, 01:53:30 AM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: This would be HUGE...got gold!


...

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Members' Corner

The War on All Fact People

 

David Brin shares an excerpt from his new book on the relentless war against democracy and how we can fight back. You can also read the first, second and final chapters of Polemical Judo at David's blog Contrary Brin.

The War on All Fact People 

Excerpted from David Brin's new book, the beginning of chapter 5, Polemical Judo: Memes...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



more from Lee

Digital Currencies

Cryptos Have Surged Since Soleimani Death, Bitcoin Tops $8,000

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Bitcoin is up over 15% since the assassination of Iran General Soleimani...

Source: Bloomberg

...topping $8,000 for the first time since before Thanksgiving...

Source: Bloomberg

Testing its key 100-day moving-average for the first time since October...

...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

...

more from Promotions





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>