Archive for the ‘Phil’s Favorites’ Category

Momentum Monday – Frothy With A Chance of Mania …Don’y Be Shy But Don’t Chase …AND A Semiconductor Linkfest


Momentum Monday – Frothy With A Chance of Mania …Don’y Be Shy But Don’t Chase …AND A Semiconductor Linkfest

Courtesy of Howard Lindzon

It is Monday which means Ivanhoff and I have done our tour of the markets looking for momentum and the clues to what looks good right now.

Incredibly, the can’t find much to worry about – with respect to prices – so for this week we decided to just completely go with the flow.

You can watch/listen to this week’s show right here

Below, I will share a bunch more charts and links below that try and capture this moment of market joy and nirvana.

Here are Ivanhoff’s summary thoughts:

Here are the best-performing sectors last week – energy, cleantech, cannabis, biotech, small caps, semis, large-cap tech. A wide variety of winners. We are in the sweet spot where the markets are simultaneously trying to discount the impact of a working COVID vaccine and the new social distancing restrictions around the world. As a result, almost everything is going up, except gold and the U.S. Dollar.

There’s a hint of hubris in the market. It is not only the electric vehicle stocks that have gone wild. Some recent IPOs in the software and equipment space have defied gravity too- PLTR, SNOW, U, CRSR, etc. Many SPACs have also been on the move. It’s a bit frothy. And yet, there are still plenty of long setups. I expect any corrections to be shallow and take the form of sector rotation.

If you are confused by the continued rise in prices, you are listening to too much financial television or reading too many ‘experts’ and ‘analyst’ reports.

Ivanhoff and I keep it simple each week and focus on prices.

There are so many fascinating individual stock price moves this year and last week that it is hard to know where to begin….BUT 2020 is still the year of Tesla. No stock has ever bent more minds and last week the market cap of Tesla surpassed

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Senator Wyden Calls Mnuchin’s Grab of CARES Act Money “Sabotage.” Wyden Has a Right to be Suspicious of Mnuchin

Courtesy of Pam Martens

Senator Ron Wyden

Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon

On November 25, Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon Tweeted this: “The Trump administration is working harder to sabotage the economy and tie the Biden administration’s hands than it is to help working families survive a pandemic.” Wyden’s Tweet included a clip from a Bloomberg News article about how U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin was planning to move $455 billion of CARES Act money to the General Fund of the Treasury so that the next Treasury Secretary in the Biden administration wouldn’t be able to use it to help bolster the economy.

That same Bloomberg News article included this sentence: “The money in question includes $429 billion that Mnuchin is clawing back from the Fed — which backed some of the central bank’s emergency lending facilities…” But as we detailed last Friday, 75 percent of the $454 billion that the CARES Act earmarked for emergency lending programs at the Fed to help struggling Americans and businesses survive the pandemic and support bank lending was never handed over to those programs by Mnuchin. All that the Fed has been reporting on its weekly financial statements for months is $114 billion from the Treasury for these programs. The breakdown of that $114 billion is as follows, according to the Fed’s weekly H.4.1 financial statements: (See Footnote 14 to Table 1.) We contacted the Fed via email and it stands by this breakdown:

$10 billion for the Commercial Paper Funding Facility; $37.5 billion for the Corporate Credit Facilities to buy up corporate bonds and Exchange Traded Funds; $37.5 billion for the Main Street Lending Facilities for loans to small and mid-size businesses; $17.5 billion for the Municipal Liquidity Facility to support municipal bond issuance; $10 billion for the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility; and $1.5 billion for the Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility.

Under the structure of the Fed’s emergency lending programs, it has the ability to leverage the money coming from the Treasury by as much as 10-to-1 to expand its lending programs, if the situation warrants.

Wyden has very good reasons to be suspicious of Mnuchin’s motives. During Mnuchin’s Senate confirmation hearing on January 19, 2017, Wyden made the not-so-subtle suggestion that Mnuchin had falsified his financial disclosures to the Senate Committee. Wyden said this:

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Consumer Bureau To Decide Who Owns Your Financial Data


Consumer Bureau To Decide Who Owns Your Financial Data

What Should Banks, Fintechs Be Allowed to Do With All that They Know About You?

Courtesy of Jillian S. Ambroz, DCReport

A federal agency is gearing up to make wide-ranging policy changes on consumers’ access to their financial data.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is looking to implement the area of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act pertaining to a consumer’s rights to his or her own financial data. It is detailed in section 1033.

The agency has been laying the groundwork on this move for years, from requesting information in 2016 from financial institutions to hosting a symposium earlier this year on the problems of screen scraping, a risky but common method of collecting consumer data.

Now the agency, which was established by the Dodd-Frank Act, is asking for comments on this critical and controversial topic ahead of the proposed rulemaking. Unlike other regulations that affect single industries, this could be all-encompassing because the consumer data rule touches almost every market the agency covers, according to the story in American Banker.

The Trump administration all but ‘systematically neutered’ the agency.

With the ruling, the agency seeks to clarify its compliance expectations and help establish market practices to ensure consumers have access to consumer financial data. The agency sees an opportunity here to help shape this evolving area of financial technology, or fintech, recognizing both the opportunities and the risks to consumers as more fintechs become enmeshed with their data and day-to-day lives.

Its goal is “to better effectuate consumer access to financial records,” as stated in the regulatory filing.

The agency, established after the economic crisis of 2008 to ensure consumers were never manipulated and scammed again for unscrupulous profit, went off the rails under Trump. The current administration all but “systematically neutered” the agency, according to an article by The Brookings Institution.

The agency went from collecting $12 billion in fines for consumer abuses under its first director Richard Cordray, to…
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Visualizing 50 Years Of Gaming History, By Revenue Stream (1970-2020)

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Every year it feels like the gaming industry sees the same stories—record sales, unfathomable market reach, and questions of how much higher the market can go.

We’re already far past the point of gaming being the biggest earning media sector, with an estimated $165 billion revenue generated in 2020.

It's important to break down shifting growth within the market. From Visual Capitalist's Omri Wallach:

Research from Pelham Smithers shows that while the tidal wave of gaming has only continued to swell, the driving factors have shifted over the course of gaming history.

1970–1983: The Pre-Crash Era

At first, there was Atari.

Early prototypes of video games were developed in labs in the 1960s, but it was Atari’s release of Pong in 1972 that helped to kickstart the industry.

The arcade table-tennis game was a sensation, drawing in consumers eager to play and companies that started to produce their own knock-off versions. Likewise, it was Atari that sold a home console version of Pong in 1975, and eventually its own Atari 2600 home console in 1977, which would become the first console to sell more than a million units.

In short order, the arcade market began to plateau. After dwindling due to a glut of Pong clones, the release of Space Invaders in 1978 reinvigorated the market.

Arcade machines started to be installed everywhere, and new franchises like Pac-Man and Donkey Kong drove further growth. By 1982, arcades were already generating more money than both the pop music industry and the box office.

1985–2000: The Tech Advancement Race

Unfortunately, the gaming industry grew too quickly to maintain.

Eager to capitalize on a growing home console market, Atari licensed extremely high budget ports of Pac-Man and a game adaptation of E.T. the Extra Terrestrial. They were rushed to market, released in poor quality, and cost the company millions in returns and more in brand damage.

As other companies also looked to capitalize on the market, many other poor attempts at games and consoles caused a downturn across the industry. At the same time, personal computers were becoming the new flavor of gaming, especially with the release of the Commodore 64 in 1982.

It was a sign of what was to

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Mythmakers: The Men Who Created Donald J. Trump


Mythmakers: The Men Who Created Donald J. Trump

Mark Burnett, Jeff Zucker, and the Trustwashing of a Fake President

Courtesy of Greg Olear, Prevail, author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia 

FOR FOUR YEARS NOW, the two individuals arguably most responsible for Donald John Trump winning the White House have managed to steer clear of the spotlight. We know all about the impact Vladimir Putin and Julian Assange, Mark Zuckerberg and Rupert Murdoch, James Comey and the New York Times, Facebook and Cambridge Analytica had on the 2016 election. But it was Jeff Zucker, the president of CNN, and Mark Burnett, the producer of The Apprentice and Celebrity Apprentice, who created the “Donald J. Trump, Successful Businessman” that ran for president. They were Professor Henry Higgins, and Trump, Eliza Doolittle.

This past week, at long last, both of these Dr. Frankensteins are in the news. Zucker is reportedly leaving CNN. Burnett, meanwhile, has reportedly been a disaster as head of MGM—in other words, his tenure there has not exactly been touched by an angel—and his charges are starting to blab. As Kim Masters puts it in her Hollywood Reporter hit piece, “much like the president with whom he is so closely associated, [Burnett is] an agent of chaos.” Hopefully this is a harbinger of their precipitous fall from grace, although I’m not holding my breath.

Zucker, Burnett, and Trump have been friendly for years. In 2004, Donald was broke, and desperate for a steady paycheck. Burnett—who’d already inflicted The Survivor upon the world, warranting his doom—cooked up the idea of a “reality” show featuring Trump as a rich, successful titan of industry. And Zucker, who was then president of NBC Entertainment, greenlighted the project.

Never mind that Trump was a serial bankrupt who had pissed away his $400 million inheritance. Never mind that he was neither self-made, nor a billionaire, nor a titan of industry. Never mind that his real estate company was a small family business with something like a dozen employees. Never mind that the furniture in his offices was shabby and worn. Never mind that he lacked the real-life courage to say to an underperforming employee, “You’re fired.” Zucker signed the checks, Burnett created the fantasy, and Trump played a reasonable facsimile of what a future “businessman president” might…
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Invesco’s John Hoffman and Nasdaq’s Sean Wasserman Join Me on Panic with Friends to Discuss the Mother of All ETFs ($QQQ) and Investing in Innovation


Invesco’s John Hoffman and Nasdaq’s Sean Wasserman Join Me on Panic with Friends to Discuss the Mother of All ETFs ($QQQ) and Investing in Innovation

Courtesy of Howard Lindzon

If you read my blog you know I have been banging the drum about owning $QQQ over $SPY forever. Technology has been the place for your money and going forward I expect more of the same as technology bleeds into healthcare and biotech which also make up large parts of the $QQQ. You can see all the $QQQ holdings here on Koyfin.

A few weeks ago Invesco teamed up with The Nasdaq to launch a suite of $QQQ new products including the $QQQJ (up and comers). I thought this was an excellent idea and decided to go deeper in a podcast with the people closest to it. Thanks to my good friend Allan Schoenberg for coordinating it all.

You can listen to it right here on Apple or Spotify.

For more details on the podcast keep reading….

Guests: John Hoffman & Sean Wasserman

John’s Profile: Head of Americas, ETFs & Indexed Strategies at Invesco

Sean’s Profile: Vice President, Global Head of Index & Advisor Solutions at Nasdaq

Where to Find John: LinkedIn

Where to Find Sean: LinkedIn

What’s the Panic About:

We brought on Invesco’s John Hoffman and the Nasdaq’s Sean Wasserman to talk about the ETFs of all ETFs – QQQ. Invesco, a global asset management firm, is the father of the QQQ ETF, which launched with the Nasdaq over 20 years ago. John says the company now manages just north of $1.2 trillion (no big deal). Now, Invesco and Nasdaq are expanding their partnership to launch the Invesco QQQ Innovation Suite. This will offer investor access to the NASDAQ-100 and NASDAQ Next Gen 100 portfolios. I won’t go into too much detail because Sean and John are the real experts in this space. But I will say after listening to this episode, you will feel like an ETF and QQQ expert. In this episode, the three of us have a wide-ranging discussion about all things QQQ, ETFs, Invesco and Nasdaq’s new partnership product, investor relationships, managing & building portfolios, the democratization of investing, network effects, emerging…
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Five ways Black Friday shopping will be different in 2020


Five ways Black Friday shopping will be different in 2020

Not as simple as it used to be. Patrick Shutterstock/Shutterstock

Courtesy of Amna Khan, Manchester Metropolitan University

Friday November 27 marks a key date in the UK’s retail calendar as consumers head online to take advantage of thousands of so-called “Black Friday” discounts. Although the name was traditionally used in the US for the Friday following Thanksgiving, in recent years the shopping event has risen to prominence in the UK as the biggest sales day of the year. The event has now also expanded over the weekend to include “Cyber Monday”.

In 2020, people in the UK will spend an estimated £6 billion on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales, compared to around £5.6 billion in 2019. However, with restrictions in place due to the COVID-19 pandemic there are many ways that 2020 will look very different to both retailers and consumers.

It has been an extremely tough year for UK retail. COVID-19 lockdown restrictions have hit traditional high street stores hard and this set to be compounded by the prediction that in the six weeks before Christmas, footfall across all UK retail destinations will be reduced by 62%.

With consumers moving online to purchase what they need, many retailers have been offering discounts and sales throughout the year in an effort to attract customers in an extremely competitive market.

Some retailers such as Marks & Spencer and Next will not be taking part in Black Friday at all. Perhaps more surprisingly, other retailers will be bucking the trend by raising their prices or actively campaigning against the need for discounting.

A smaller Christmas bottleneck

Retailers are trying to manage the shift from shopping in-store to online that has increased during the pandemic. By flattening the curve of the peak of online orders on Black Friday and at the beginning of December for Christmas, retailers are trying to encourage consumers start buying earlier and throughout this period.

This is the reason why retailers have been offering discounts over a longer period rather than focusing their efforts on online promotions dedicated to a single date. Retailers are ultimately…
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The Weekly Webinar – 11-25-2020

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at PSW!


Major Topics:

00:00:24 – Checking on the Market
00:03:10 – S&P 500 | VIX
00:05:44 – Trading Techniques
00:08:35 – TSLA | DDD
00:34:06 – TM | Global Automotive Market Share | F
00:47:07 – NAK
00:51:04 – FSLR
00:56:09 – SPWR
01:01:39 – Alaska Unemployment Rate
01:03:34 – Trading Techniques
01:04:22 – Futures
01:04:58 – TLT
01:07:53 – COVID-19 Update


Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW!

You can also subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here.

What We Take Back


What We Take Back

Courtesy of Greg Olear, at Prevail, author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia 

Be thankful! Come January, there will be a resurgence of good things.

I’VE BEEN SAYING Trump is toast for a good month now. But after his string of humiliations this week—loss upon loss in court; states certifying election results despite his repeated demand for recounts; the defenestration of Sidney Powell, the QAnon darling late of his legal team; his lipsticked lapdog at the GSA reluctantly, and classlessly, handing Joe Biden the keys to the car; Trump himself sitting behind what appears to be an end table, upbraiding a reporter to not talk to the President of the United States like that—it’s really, truly over. If you don’t believe me, believe Marc Elias, the heroic voting rights attorney largely responsible for that Jets-like streak of Trump court losses.

Donald John Trump will never concede, because money, but he’s now entered the “pardon all my co-conspirators” phase of the lame duck period, which precedes the “grab as much cash as possible on the way out the door” phase.

To be sure, the president can still author a lot of misery in the next 54 days. The Second Wave is here, the Supreme Court just sided with the virus, millions of people crisscrossed the country for Thanksgiving, Black Friday exists. And Trump is going to make things as dark and difficult as possible, because he’s a vindictive little prick.

With that said, he will be gone come January 20, come hell or high blood pressure. Here’s a short list of things we take back when he leaves:


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Parler is bringing together mainstream conservatives, anti-Semites and white supremacists as the social media platform attracts millions of Trump supporters


Parler is bringing together mainstream conservatives, anti-Semites and white supremacists as the social media platform attracts millions of Trump supporters

Parler is similar to Twitter but doesn’t control or discourage hate speech or calls to violence. OLIVIER DOULIERY/AFP via Getty Image

Courtesy of Alex Newhouse, Middlebury Institute of International Studies

Since the 2020 U.S. presidential election, Parler has caught on among right-wing politicians and “influencers” – people with large online followings – as a social media platform where they can share and promote ideas without worrying about the company blocking or flagging their posts for being dangerous or misleading. However, the website has become a haven for far-right extremists and conspiracy theorists who are now interacting with the mainstream conservatives flocking to the platform.

As the three highest-profile social media companies – YouTube, Facebook and Twitter – continue to take action to mitigate the spread of extremism and disinformation, Parler has welcomed the ensuing exodus of right-wing users. It has exploded in popularity, doubling its members to 10 million during the month of November – although it is still dwarfed by Twitter’s roughly 330 million monthly active users.

With its newfound success, the site is contributing to the widening gap between the different perceptions of reality held by the polarized public. On mainstream social media, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris won the presidential election, and theories alleging crimes by the Biden campaign and Democrats are flagged as misinformation. On Parler, Donald Trump won in a landslide, only to have his victory stolen by a wide-ranging alliance of evildoers, including Democrats and the so-called “deep state.”

While it’s too early to tell if Parler is here to stay, it has already achieved a reputation and level of engagement that has overtaken other alternative platforms. But along with its success comes the reality that extremist movements like QAnon and the Boogalooers have thrived in the platform’s unregulated chaos.

Parler’s origins

Parler was launched in 2018 and found its place as another niche platform catering to right-wing users who ran afoul of content moderation on Facebook, Twitter and YouTube. Its user base remained small – fewer than 1 million…
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Musk: Tesla stock will be crushed if we don't control costs

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk warned employees in an email that if they don’t start controlling costs, their stock will plunge. Shares of Tesla stock fell by about 4% after the email was reported.

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Tesla CEO calls for cost control to support stock

CNBC and Electrek obtained the...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Are Commodity Prices About To Let The Good Times Roll?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Commodities have traded “heavy” for the past decade, as bond yields remain low and inflationary forces remain under wraps. But this trend could be up-ended as we head into 2021.

Today’s chart 2-pack looks at long-term “monthly” charts of the Thomson Reuters Equal Weight Commodity Index and the 10-Year US Treasury Bond Yield.

Over the past decades, Commodities and Yields have shown weakness. The Commodity Index has managed ...

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Zero Hedge

China Lands Spacecraft On Moon To Collect Lunar Rocks 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

According to the Chinese state-run CGTN news channel, China's National Space Administration declared on Tuesday morning that it's "Chang'e-5 successfully landed on the near side of moon." 

Chang'e 5, China's first-ever attempt to collect lunar rocks and conduct a return mission back to Earth, apparently touched down this morning. Not much on the landing was conveyed by CGTN, who only offered a single-sentence statement. 

Over the next few days, th...

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Phil's Favorites

Salesforce Confirms Deal To Buy Slack

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

It's official. After reportedly entering high-level, late-stage talks, Salesforce, one of the newest members of the Dow 30, has agreed to buy Slack, a former Silicon Valley "unicorn" that IPO'd last year.

Shares of the Slack have surged in after-hours trade on the news, as if the massive surge seen following the initial reports that the two companies were in talks wasn't enough.

Here are the juicy details: $27.7 billion in cash and stock, giving the corporate software giant a popular workplace-communications platform in one of the biggest technology deals...

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Rapid COVID-19 tests can be useful - but there are far too few to put a dent in the pandemic


Rapid COVID-19 tests can be useful – but there are far too few to put a dent in the pandemic

Rapid tests for COVID-19 are easy to administer and give fast results. AP Photo/Julio Cortez, File

Courtesy of Bonnie LaFleur, University of Arizona and Katherine Ellingson, University of Ari...

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Digital Currencies

Five Reasons Why Bitcoin is Going Up


Five Reasons Why Bitcoin is Going Up

Courtesy of 

Call it the “Respectability Rally”…

A few reasons for Bitcoin’s return to the record highs. It’s about $18,500 as of this writing, matching the previous highs from 2017’s original explosion.

Reason one: It’s going up because it’s going up. Don’t scoff, this is the reason most things in the markets happen and then the explanations are called for afterwards. I’m in financial television, I have literally watched this process occur in real-time. The more something moves in a given direction, the more peop...

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Mythmakers: The Men Who Created Donald J. Trump


Mythmakers: The Men Who Created Donald J. Trump

Mark Burnett, Jeff Zucker, and the Trustwashing of a Fake President

Courtesy of Greg Olear, Prevail, author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia 


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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Friday, 12 June 2020, 08:06:43 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.

Comment: Interesting (2)

Date Found: Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:27:02 AM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.

Comment: Recession Forecasts Time Frame

Date Found: Monday, 15 June 2020, 11:07:52 PM


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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.


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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...

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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House


Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...

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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
... more from Insider


Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.