Posts Tagged ‘Apple Computer’

Apple Isn’t the Problem. Wall Street’s Big Banks are the Problem.

Yellow highlighting mine, reminds me of my student days, only neater. – Ilene 

Apple Isn’t the Problem. Wall Street’s Big Banks are the Problem.  

Young man holding iphone in front of mouth, studio shot

Courtesy of Robert Reich

Why is the Federal Trade Commission threatening Apple with a possible lawsuit for abusing its economic power, but not even raising an eyebrow about the huge and growing economic (and political) muscle of JP Morgan Chase or any of the other four remaining giant banks on Wall Street?

Our future well being depends more on people like Steve Jobs who invent real products that can improve our lives, than it does on people like Jamie Dimon who invent financial products that do little other than threaten our economy.

Apple’s supposed sin was to tell software developers that if they want to make apps for iPhones and iPads they have to use Apple programming tools. No more outside tools (like Adobe’s Flash format) that can run on rival devices like Google’s Android phones and RIM’s BlackBerrys.

What’s wrong with that? Apple says it’s necessary to maintain quality. If consumers disagree they can buy platforms elsewhere. Apple was the world’s #3 smartphone supplier in 2009, with 16.2 percent of worldwide market share. RIM was #2, with 18.8 percent. Google isn’t exactly a wallflower. These and other firms are innovating like mad, as are tens of thousands of independent developers. If Apple’s decision reduces the number of future apps that can run on its products, Apple will suffer and presumably change its mind.

On the other hand, the four largest U.S. financial institutions are so big and the rest of the economy so dependent on them that if one of them makes a bad decision it can take us all down. Between them they hold more than $7 trillion in assets, over half the size of the entire U.S. economy.

So why is the FTC nosing around Apple and not around Wall Street? Because the Federal Trade Commission Act allows the agency to stop “unfair methods of competition” almost anywhere in the economy except in the financial sector. Banks are explicitly excluded.

Another reason for financial reform.

And how are we doing on that front? Senate Dems and Republicans have just agreed to jettison a $50 billion fund in the financial reform bill that would have been used to wind down operations of a failing bank. Republicans had created a smokescreen by…
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FOLLOWING UP ON APPLE

Pragcap post-apple earnings: 

FOLLOWING UP ON APPLE

Close-up of three apples in a row

As expected, Apple crushed earnings.  By Wall Street’s standards the analysts were laughably far from reality.  Apple posted EPS of $3.33 which was 36% higher than Wall Street’s ridiculous estimate of $2.44.   Revenues came in at $13.5B which was $1.5B higher than Wall Street’s estimate of $12B.

As we suspected, the “unaffiliated” estimates were much closer to the actual figures though Apple still managed to outperform these lofty expectations.  The company is providing EPS guidance that is practically comical – $2.28-$2.39.  This is well below my estimate of $2.85.

Regardless of all this, one thing is certain – Apple Inc. is absolutely smoking.


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Apple Mac Sales Soar, iPhone Misses

Apple Mac Sales Soar, iPhone Misses

Courtesy of Dan Frommer at Clusterstock

steve jobs - tbiApple threw us a curveball today: The company reported results in GAAP format, reflecting an accounting change that means they no longer have to distribute iPhone revenue and earnings over 24 months.

Unfortunately, that means Apple’s GAAP results don’t match up with non-GAAP estimates. So analysts are going to have to tweak their models.

As expected, the Mac had a monster quarter. Apple reported 3.36 million Mac shipments, higher than the Street expected. But the iPhone was relatively weak: Apple only shipped 8.7 million iPhones, lower than the 9.1 million Street consensus.

Steve Jobs also touted the Apple tablet in the earnings release: "The new products we are planning to release this year are very strong, starting this week with a major new product that we’re really excited about."

Shares resumed trading at 4:55 and were immediately down about 1%. But now it seems to be creeping upwards.

Join us for LIVE coverage of the company’s conference call, beginning at 5:00 p.m. ET. Click here for the latest.

Key stats:

  • GAAP Revenue: $15.7 billion
  • GAAP EPS: $3.67
  • Macs: 3.4 million vs. 3.0 million consensus
  • iPhones: 8.7 million vs. 9.1 million consensus
  • iPod: 21 million vs. 21.0 million consensus
  • Gross margin: 40.9%
  • Guidance (Rev.): $11.0 billion to $11.4 billion
  • Guidance (EPS): $2.06 to $2.18

LIVE Conference call coverage: (refresh for the latest)

4:52 Waiting for call to begin..

5:04 Call begins. Opening remarks from IR boss.

5:04 COO Tim Cook, CFO Oppenheimer on the call. No Steve Jobs. (Jobs not expected.)

5:05 Oppenheimer: We’re thrilled to report our best quarter ever! New records for Macs and iPhones. All historical comps busted because of new accounting rules. Peter will explain in detail coming up. Now going over results from release.

5:07 Record Mac sales of 3.36 million, beating by over 300,000. Up 33% year-over-year. Compares extremely favorable to ICD’s 17% year-over-year growth for the market. iMac especially huge.

5:08 New records for K-12 and High ed for Dec. quarter.

5:08 Traditional iPods declined, but 55% y/y increase in iPod touch, sending up ASP and revenue.

5:09 Strong sales of music, video, and apps drove up iTunes sales. Features over 8,000 films,…
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Phil's Favorites

An epidemiologist explains the new CDC guidance on 15 minutes of exposure and what it means for you

 

An epidemiologist explains the new CDC guidance on 15 minutes of exposure and what it means for you

A girl wearing a mask walks down a street in the Corona neighborhood of Queens on April 14, 2020 in New York City. Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images

Courtesy of Ryan Malosh, University of Michigan

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has new guidance clarifying what exactly “close cont...



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Biotech/COVID-19

An epidemiologist explains the new CDC guidance on 15 minutes of exposure and what it means for you

 

An epidemiologist explains the new CDC guidance on 15 minutes of exposure and what it means for you

A girl wearing a mask walks down a street in the Corona neighborhood of Queens on April 14, 2020 in New York City. Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images

Courtesy of Ryan Malosh, University of Michigan

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has new guidance clarifying what exactly “close cont...



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Zero Hedge

76% of US CEOs Will Slash Office Space As Remote Work Dominates 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

The virus pandemic has accelerated more flexible work options for employees, with many companies instructing employees to work remotely through 2021, or in some cases, permanently. As a result, according to a new survey, CEOs have said they will slash office space, a move that could ripple through commercial real estate markets, all the way down into local economies. 

In collaboration with Deloitte, Fortune surveyed 171 CEOs between Sept. 23 to 30, found 76% of respondents are expected to reduce office space size in the near...



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ValueWalk

Coronavirus stimulus checks: Pelosi, Mnuchin point fingers as talks stall

By Aman Jain. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The last hope of a stimulus deal hinged on negotiations between House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Now Pelosi and Mnuchin have stopped negotiating on the coronavirus stimulus package and checks and started blaming each other for the lack of a deal.

Coronavirus stimulus checks: Pelosi and Trump- Mnuchin play blame game

Until Thursday, both Pelosi and Mnuchin were optimistic on reaching an agreement this week. However, the two started blaming each other on Friday for the impasse, saying a deal could be reached if the other side compromised.

Pelosi ...



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Politics

How to track your mail-in ballot

 

How to track your mail-in ballot

Make sure you know when your ballot is arriving, and whether it’s been accepted for counting back at your election office. erhui1979/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Courtesy of Steven Mulroy, University of Memphis

Many voters who want to participate in the election by mail are concerned about when they’ll receive their ballot – and whether it will get back in time to be counted.

The pandemic has caused interest in ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper/Gold Indicator Breaking Out Again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Doc Copper/Gold ratio broke above a 2-year falling channel back in 2016 at (1). Following this breakout, it rallied for the next year. During that year, Copper related assets did very well!

The ratio peaked in the summer of 2018 and created a series of lower highs over the past two years.

The strength of late has the ratio attempting to break above dual resistance at (2).

If the ratio continues to push higher and succeeds in breaking out, Copper, Basic Materials (XLB), and ...



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Chart School

Dow Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Time to see what happens to the Dow post US elections.

The Dow Gann Angle Target 3 (from 2007 top) is on the table, and what a ride that will be. The FED went BRRRRR is all the fundamental news you need to know. Gann angles are very good tool to see how the masses are pushing price.


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The last two US elections saw Bitcoin and the DOW rally well for 6 months, due to stimulus. The most bearish 2020 US Election case for the markets is a Biden win with the Senate and Congress controlled by the Democrats, somehow this blog feels that is very unlikely. So what could go wrong!


...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading - here's why it's not yet a big deal

 

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading – here's why it's not yet a big deal

Where there’s a bit there’s a writ. Novikov Aleksey

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, University of Liverpool

The sale and promotion of derivatives of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to amateur investors is being banned in the UK by the financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It is a...



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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

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