Posts Tagged ‘BBT’

Testy Tuesday Morning – The Spin Is In!

We did get our stick save yesterday – only it came at 7:45 pm!

That's right, on pretty much no news at all and without any global markets open, the US futures all took off in synch at 7:45 last night and went up and up and up into Asia's open.  There was no particular news and Jim Cramer had just finished telling his viewers that the markets may be overbought.  Cramer also is now targeting a "3-5% decline," which is amazingly the exact decline I predicted last week and he also swiped my BBT pick as his "find of the day."  So good morning Jim, nice to have you back!  We don't mind Cramer stealing our buy picks because we have a full day advantage over his flock so welcome aboard suckers – er, fellow Cramer fans

Anyway, so the after-hours markets were flat but the ubiquitous futures market took off as soon as all the retail traders had their trading accounts turned off for the night and you would have thought something huge was happening to watch the relentless, non-stop, 3-hour climb in the Dow, the Nasdaq, the S&P and even the Russell futures that led into the Asian open.  Did this blatant manipulation of the indexes fool Asian investors?  Of course it did!  The Nikkei opened at 8pm EST and had gapped down to 10,200, exactly 4% off the high of 10,620 on Friday.  As I said to members in yesterday's chat, that 4% line is critical in the follow-through day on the 5% rule as it represents our expected bounce off 5%, so holding that line is still bullish.

Well, never let it be said that Mr. Stick doesn't know how to paint a bullish picture and the Nikkei was rescued from failing that 4% line by the relentless futures buying between 8pm and 10:30, which coincided with 9pm to 11:30 on the Nikkei, which just so happens to be when they close for lunch.  What happened at 11:30 Tokyo time?  Well, suddenly everyone lost interest in the US futures and they fell ALL THE WAY BACK to where they started in just 60 minutes.  Please Congress, whatever you do, don't look into this nonsense – better to just sit there in your little offices and say "the market forces are too complicated for me to understand" and
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Monday Market Melt-Down

Yee-haw!

We love the smell of pullback in the morning.  It smells like – victory!  After extensively reviewing our bearish positions in this week's wrap up and after calling for cashing out our bull plays last week and after taking a whole bunch of short positions – I would have been in a very bad mood this morning had we gone up 150-points instead of down so forgive me for being pleased with myself

Although we called the stick-save at Friday's close, even when I predicted it at 12:40 I said that: "getting back to there would be fake, fake, fake and failing there would be very bearish going into the weekend."  In my closing Alert to Members at 4:04 I said: "12:42 targets were:  Dow 9,350, S&P 1,005, Nas 1,990, NYSE 6,540 and RUT 570.  We got 9,321, 1,004, 1,985, 6,537 and 564 so let’s hear it for the 5% rule and Mr. Stick, who’s program is playing our tune.  This was, of course  fake, fake, fake, so we still expect our sell-off next week."   See, this stuff isn't too hard to follow – targets set at 12:42, targets failed at the close, stay short into the weekend… 

Speaking of targets, our first downside targets, which we went over in last Wednesday morning's post, should be tested this morning at Dow 9,100, S&P 980, Nasdaq 1,950, NYSE 6,400 and Russell 550.  As that post was an extensive discussion of levels and ranges we expect and is still fresh, I won't get back into into it here other than to say how mean you are for not using THIS LINK to get a free trial of the PSW REPORT (just 2 weeks left on summer offer) and then using THIS LINK to refer 2 friends and lock in your own discounts.  We're starting a new $100,000 Virtual Portfolio this weekend and only members will get those trade live and I'll also be continuing the $5,000 virtual portfolio and it's a great time to start following now that we are back to cash there

While we are nowhere near as bullish as Cramer (seen here in Thursday making fun of us for being too cautious), we are also not perma-bears.  A nice sell-off here is not only long overdue but it's also healthy and, if we hold 80% of the move up…
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Chinese ETF Options Hint of More Nerves Ahead

Today’s tickers: FXI, NUE, BBT & NTAP

FXI – Bearish options activity was observed on the China exchange-traded fund this morning amid a nearly 2.5% decline in shares to $40.78. Investors expecting further declines initiated bearish reversal plays on the ETF in the September contract. Approximately 10,000 calls were shed at the September 44 strike price for 80 cents apiece in order to partially finance the purchase of 10,000 put options at the now in-the-money September 41 strike for an average premium of 1.96 each. The net cost of the reversal amounts to 1.16. Thus, profits will begin to amass to the downside if shares fall beneath the breakeven point at $39.84 by expiration. Additional plain-vanilla put buying in the amount of 5,000 lots was seen at the September 41 strike for 1.96 per contract. Investors who did not fund their purchase of puts by selling calls will not start to profit unless the FXI declines at least 4% from the current price through the lower breakeven point at $39.04. Increase investor uncertainty regarding the future price of the fund is reflected by the 11% rise in option implied volatility today to a high of 41%. – iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund

NUE – The manufacturer of steel and steel products edged onto our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner this morning after call activity was observed in the January 2010 contract. Shares of NUE have suffered a 2.5% decline to stand at $46.48. The bullish ratio call spread established by one investor suggests a recovery in the stock up to its current 52-week high of $53.46 or above by expiration. The spread involved the purchase of approximately 5,000 calls at the January 50 strike price for a premium of 3.70 apiece against the sale of 10,000 calls at the higher January 55 strike for 2.07 per contract. The trader receives a net credit on the transaction of about 44 cents and may bank additional gains if NUE rallies 8% higher to surpass the $50.00 level by expiration. Maximum potential profits of 5.00 (excluding the credit received) will be attained by the investor if shares surged to $55.00. The risk undertaken by the trader in this situation is that he is holding a short position in 5,000 calls. Potentially unlimited losses would begin to amass on the call options if the stock blows through the breakeven point to
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Phil's Favorites

Might consciousness and free will be the aces up our sleeves when it comes to competing with robots?

 

Might consciousness and free will be the aces up our sleeves when it comes to competing with robots?

Our advantage lies in incommensurables, and it’ll grow in importance. Franck V. on Unsplash

Courtesy of Allan McCay, University of Sydney

The rise of artificial intelligence has led to widespread concern about the role of humans in the workplaces of the future.

Indeed, Israeli historian, futurist and publishing sensation Yuval Noah Harari warns in his most recent book 21 Lessons for the 21st Century that there might one day be little need for human...



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Digital Currencies

Blockchain voting is vulnerable to hackers, software glitches and bad ID photos - among other problems

 

Blockchain voting is vulnerable to hackers, software glitches and bad ID photos – among other problems

How secure is online voting with blockchain technology? WhiteDragon/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Nir Kshetri, University of North Carolina – Greensboro

A developing technology called “blockchain” has gotten attention from election officials, startups and even Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang as a ...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Repo Market Bank Regulations and the Slings And Arrows of Outrageous Leverage

 

Repo Market Bank Regulations and the Slings And Arrows of Outrageous Leverage

Courtesy of 

Are repo market regulations really behind the money market’s problems? That’s what bankers and their hired mouthpieces are saying.

So I need to get a few things off my chest about this notion that post financial crash Dodd-Frank bank regulations are the cause of the current repo market problems.

It’s total bullsh*t. The bankers and their superleveraged hed...



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The Technical Traders

Daily Market Forecast and Trading Patterns

Courtesy of Technical Traders

CLICK HERE TO GET REAL TIME TRADE ALERTS!

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Zero Hedge

US Ambassador Tells Impeachment Panel Of Trump-Ukraine Quid Pro Quo

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

A lightning-fast leak of closed-door testimony from US diplomat to Ukraine, William B. Taylor, reveals his ongoing belief that there was a quid pro quo between the Trump administration and Ukraine - who President Trump asked to investigate the country's role in the 2016 US election, as well as corruption allegations levied at Joe and Hunter Biden.

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Insider Scoop

Roku To Purchase Dataxu For $150M In Cash And Roku Shares

Courtesy of Benzinga

Roku, Inc. (NASDAQ: ROKU) has entered into an agreement to acquire Boston-based Dataxu, a demand-side platform, for $150 million in cash and Roku shares.

Dataxu provides marketers with an automated bidding and self-serve software to manage ad campaigns progr...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Apple Bullish Breakout Suggesting Tech Follows In Its Path?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Apple sending a bullish message to the overall Tech market? Sure could be

Apple (AAPL) is working on a breakout above last year’s highs at (1), after creating a series of higher lows over the past year.

Tech ETF QQQ has been a similar-looking pattern to Apple over the past few months, as it is near old highs while creating higher lows.

Is Apple’s upside breakout suggesting that QQQ will follow in its footsteps and breakout?

Str...



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Chart School

Gold Stocks Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold stocks are swinging back forth between the range, and a break out swing higher is due. Gold stocks are holding a near perfect Wyckoff accumulation pattern. All should get ready to play this sector. Yet we must recognize that gold stocks are a one of the most crazy rides at the stock market fair, so play very carefully.

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GDX PnF chart from within the video

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Important channels around the HUI.
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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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