Posts Tagged ‘conspiracy theories’

Blogger Backlash to the Backlash Begins

Blogger Backlash to the Backlash Begins

Let’s say that you’re a market commentator or financial blogger…

If earlier this year you predicted that unemployment would climb higher than 10% and that the market would be crushed, would you now be considered half-right or half-wrong by your followers? Will you be rewarded for nailing the unemployment number or hated for keeping readers out of the biggest market rebound of all time?

We’re starting to see the beginnings of the backlash against many financial bloggers, especially those of the gloom/ conspiratorial kind. Most of the hate is actually coming from other bloggers.

For all of 2008 and the beginning of 2009, we were being force fed troughs full of lies and obfuscation about what our true financial picture was and what was being done behind the scenes.  It was in this environment that many in the investor class turned to more, shall we say, alternative voices for a different take on the parade of financial meltdowns. 

Bloggers were no longer relaying the news, they were digging for the truth in the data and making the news.

Now, 7 months or so removed from the bottom for most financial assets, many are tired of the conspiracies, even if they contain some truth and even if they do constitute an incredibly unlevel playing field. The attitude is starting to shift more toward the traditional “Hey, I know these guys are stealing and screwing me and are pulling all the strings, but what the hell? I can make money in the market now, too, and what can I do about it anyway, might as well join the party.”

The Fly said recently that he hates these gloom bloggers, and if CNBC also hates financial bloggers, than by the transitive property, he must love CNBC.  He said it 20 times cooler than I could paraphrase, but I can totally relate to that notion

Sean O’Brien (Ex-Wirehouse), now writing at The Davian Letter, recently laid it out for the “tin foil hat and black helicopter crowd“:

It is with curious amusement that I have watched the explosion of the Govt/Fed/Vampire Squid conspiracy theory genre within the bloggeratti and the mainstream media. They all act as if they have just discovered something so secret and nefarious. They (and I


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Are Markets Being Manipulated?

Are Markets Being Manipulated?

Courtesy of Damien Hoffman at Wall St. Cheat Sheet

Federal Reserve Federal Reserve

Conspiracy theories are nearly as old as the first human thought. However, there is a valid demarcation between presenting a collection of compicated facts as opposed to connecting stars from across the Universe.

Bob English and his team at Precision Capital Management recently distributed a buzz-worthy report entitled, “A Grand Unified Theory of Market Manipulation.” With a healthy dose of skepticism and understanding that the “Invisible Hand” is actually semi-transparent, I asked Bob to put his theory on the anvil so we could see which quality sword emerges …

Damien Hoffman: Bob, your team recently released an interesting report entitled, “A Grand Unified Theory of Market Manipulation.” Could you summarize this report for us?

Bob English: There’s an episode of an American sit-com I remember seeing years ago that featured a kid played by Ricky Schroeder and a grandfather played by the inestimable John Houseman — who, interestingly was a grain speculator until the 1929 crash wiped him out.  They decided to corner the baseball card market for Tommy Lasorda cards by buying all they could, then planted rumors that he was a shoe-in for the Baseball Hall of Fame.  The scheme worked at first as they were able to sell the cards for high prices that they could set.  They owned the supply and created artificial demand.  However, in the end, Tommy Lasorda dumped a carton of his own cards on the market, collapsing their prices.  As a side point, there never was a good explanation given why Lasorda did this.

Anyway, in the current situation, instead of baseball cards we have US Dollars, and the US government controls the supply.  If the government increases supply slowly and encourages demand, the Dollar’s price erodes over time but most people don’t notice.  The real threat is a Tommy Lasorda in the form of China or Japan coming in and dumping the cards (i.e., Dollars) onto the market at once.  Those Lasorda’s don’t want to do this, but there is a point that can be reached at which they would — for example, if they saw their investment in US Dollars about to become worthless and thus had little to lose.

At the same time, everyone has a vested interest in a rising stock market.  It…
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Goldman Sachs Posts Record Number Of $100 Million Days

Goldman Sachs Posts Record Number Of $100 Million Days (GS)

shark attack, goldman sachs, tbiCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock

We knew Goldman has an awesome quarter with respect to trading, but the steadiness of the bank’s profits in this area are something to behold.

Bloomberg: Goldman Sachs Group Inc. made more than $100 million in trading revenue on a record 46 separate days during the second quarter, or 71 percent of the time, breaking the previous high of 34 days in the prior three months. Trading losses occurred on two days during the months of April, May and June, down from eight in the first quarter, the New York-based bank said today in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company made at least $50 million on 58 of the 65 trading days during the quarter, or 89 percent of the time.

Of course, conspiracy theorists will think this has something to do with them stealing money, or frontrunning or engaging in High-Frequency Trading. But they said yesterday that HFT-related gains accounted for just 1% of annual revenue (so about $500 million), which means there’s no way that can account for so many $100 million days.

That being said, nobody has offered an explanation of how they pull this off so steadily.

goldman sachs nails the oil trade

Goldman: We Don’t Frontrun Our Clients, And HFT Is Negligible To Us

Goldman Sachs Nails The Oil Trade (GS)

Goldman’s Brand Is Officially Trashed (GS)

 

 

Still the Same

 

 


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Phil's Favorites

Momentum Monday - Rotation Rotation Rotation is The New Location Location Location

 

Momentum Monday – Rotation Rotation Rotation is The New Location Location Location

Courtesy of Howard Lindzon

Happy Monday everyone.

Not much has changed in the last week.

Tech leaders are correcting and the money is flowing into other stocks and markets…not out of the market.

The promise of low interest rates and money printing has most people focused on being in the markets.

As always, to kick off Momentum Monday’s, Ivanhoff and I tour the markets for what we see and like and are thinking. You can watch/listen right h...



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Biotech/COVID-19

SARS-CoV-2 infection can block pain, opening up unexpected new possibilities for research into pain relief medication

 

SARS-CoV-2 infection can block pain, opening up unexpected new possibilities for research into pain relief medication

The spike protein on SARS-CoV-2 interferes with pain perception. SEBASTIAN KAULITZKI/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY/Getty Images

By Rajesh Khanna, University of Arizona

Imagine being infected with a deadly virus that makes you impervious to pain. By the time you realize you are infected, it’s already too late. You have spread it far and wide. Recent findings in my lab suggest that this scenario may be one rea...



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Zero Hedge

2020 Has Been A "Nightmare Year" For America, And The Economic Fallout Is Just Getting Started

Courtesy of Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog

Most of us have never experienced a year that has been as tough as 2020 has been for our nation.  It has just been one major crisis after another, and the month of September has brought us even more trouble.  The worst wildfire season in the history of the state of California has been making headlines day after day, and now the passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg threatens to escalate the political turmoil in this nation to an entirely new level. 

Many had such high hopes for 2020, but at this point this year has been such a disaster that USA Today is calling...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Could It Be "Schitts Creek" For Technology Stocks If Selling Starts Here?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Nasdaq has been the unparalleled leader of the stock market in 2020, having rallied furiously off the COVID-19 crash market bottom in March.

But all of the excitement around tech stocks and the comeback in the stock market may be coming to an end… that is, if a key Fibonacci price target has anything to do with it!

In today’s chart, we look at the long-term “monthly” chart of the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) and focus in on the 18-year rally.

As you can see, the Nasdaq peaked in 2000 and bottomed in 2002. Applying Fibona...



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ValueWalk

Global Banking Stocks Hit Hard By FinCEN Leak

By Gorilla Trades. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Commenting on the impact of FinCEN leak on global banking stocks and today’s trading Gorilla Trades strategist Ken Berman said:

Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The major indices are all trading considerably lower at midday following the most bearish overnight session since June. The S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow all hit new correction lows in early trading, but the tech benchmark has been slightly stronger than its peers. The troubling European COVID trends reignited the "lockdown trade" and put pressure on the most sensitive industries and cyclical issues, in...



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Politics

Can Trump and McConnell get through the 4 steps to seat a Supreme Court justice in just 6 weeks?

 

Can Trump and McConnell get through the 4 steps to seat a Supreme Court justice in just 6 weeks?

A political battle is shaping up over the confirmation of the next Supreme Court Justice. Jose Luis Magana / AFP/Getty Images

By Caren Morrison, Georgia State University

United States Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died on Sept. 18, thrusting the acrimonious struggle for control of the Supreme Court into public view.

President Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell have already ...



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Chart School

Stocks are not done yet - Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There are a few times in history when a third party said this US paper (stocks, funds or bonds) is worthless.

Here is two.

1) 1965 Nixon Shock - The French said to US we do not want your paper dollars please pay us in gold. This of course led to the US going off the gold standard.

2) 2007 Bear Stern Fund Collapse - Investors said their funds collateral was worth much less than stated. This of course was the beginning of the great america housing bust of 2008.


In both cases it was stated .."look the Emperor is naked!"... (The Empe...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies Rarely Used To Launder Money, Fiat Preferred

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Shaurya Malwa via Decrypt.io,

Traditional channels continue to dominate the estimated $2 trillion global money laundering racket instead of cryptocurrencies, a report says.

In brief
  • Money laundering via cryptocurrencies is not a preferred tool for criminals, a report said...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

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TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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