Posts Tagged ‘consumer recovery’

THOUGHTS ON THIS MORNING’S DATA

THOUGHTS ON THIS MORNING’S DATA

looking at dataCourtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

Mixed bag of data this morning depending on how you want to interpret things.   Retail sales were mixed with discounters performing well and high end retailers performing poorly.  The U.S. consumer continues to keep spending under wraps and is very price conscious when they do buy goods and other items.  This morning’s retail sales data was another sign that the cash for clunkers is going to detract from sales for months to come.  This is by far the most worrisome component of anyone’s v-shaped recovery thesis.  The U.S. consumer is simply not coming back as fast as many would like.

Jobless claims continued to trend sideways at 570K. Continuing claims shot higher to 6.23MM.  This is continuing bad news for U.S. consumers.  570K claims and 6.23MM continuing are truly remarkable figures for an economy that is supposedly on the mend.  This doesn’t bode well for a consumer recovery.  Perhaps most alarming is the sideways movement.  This likely means we’ll see little to no change in overall job losses tomorrow while the market expects a 10% decline in job losses.  Don’t be shocked if we see a figure very close to last month’s 247K….

 THOUGHTS ON THIS MORNINGS DATA

ISM manufacturing was essentially in-line at 48.4. Econoday reports:

But there are definitely signs of improvement that point to a plus 50 reading for the composite index perhaps as soon as next month. Prices jumped 22 points to 63.1, a gain, especially given flat fuel prices, pointing to rising demand for inputs. Business activity, akin to a production index, showed an actual month-to-month increase in August, up more than 5 points to 51.3. This index on the manufacturing side rose above 50 in June, by the way matching that month’s cyclical pivot higher in total U.S. manufacturing sales.

The composite index attempts to anticipate GDP and these results may temper related estimates which have been climbing to as much as 4 percent for next year. But the coincident indicators in this report — the prices index and business activity index — point to ongoing expansion. Yet the headline was weaker than expected, pushing stocks and commodities lower.

All in all, it’s a fairly worrisome set of data for anyone who believes the consumer is going to rebound to their old habits and save the economy.  Thus far, there are little to…
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Kimble Charting Solutions

High Times Going To Return For Pot Stocks?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

High times for pot stocks do not come to mind when looking at this 6-pack!

On average, these stocks have declined nearly 50% since recent highs.

Are pot stocks about to experience “High Times” again?

The large declines since recent highs has each of these stocks testing support at each (1).

If the pot stocks are to move higher, these key support lines need to hold.

Out of these six stocks, ABBV is reflecting relative strength to the others, as it has been moving higher off support the past 60-days.

...

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Insider Scoop

11 Stocks To Watch For October 16, 2019

Courtesy of Benzinga

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

  • Wall Street expects Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC) to report quarterly earnings at $0.51 per share on revenue of $22.79 billion before the opening bell. Bank of America shares rose 0.3% to $29.83 in after-hours trading.
  • Analysts expect Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) ...


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Phil's Favorites

Legal cannabis celebrates its first anniversary in Canada: What's next?

 

Legal cannabis celebrates its first anniversary in Canada: What's next?

Montrealers hold up a Canadian flag with a marijuana logo on it outside a government cannabis store in the city Oct. 17, 2018. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Graham Hughes

Courtesy of Michael J. Armstrong, Brock University

This week marks the first anniversary of Canada’s recreational cannabis legalization. It’s an appropriate time to review what happened last year and consider what’s coming next.

Legalization brought big changes for some folks. About 9,200 employees now work at cannabis producers, with ...



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Zero Hedge

Pork-Panic Sends China CPI To 6 Year Highs As Factory Deflation Deepens

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

China's producer prices deflated for the 3rd straight month, slumping 1.2% YoY - the biggest deflationary impulse since July 2016 - but, thanks to the explosion in pork prices (as 'pig ebola' spreads), Chinese consumers are facing the worst inflation since 2013.

  • China Sept CPI +3.0% YoY (2.9% exp and 2.9% prior)

  • China Sept PPI -1.2% YoY (-1.2% exp and -0.8% prior)

...



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Chart School

Review of Andrew CardWell RSI with Wyckoff price waves

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

RSI measures relative strength of price action of a set period versus prior set periods. It helps review the price swings or waves, the power of each price thrust into new ground, or lack of it. Price thrust like many things relies on energy, and energy is not a constant, it has a birth, a life and a death and relative strength helps us see that cycle. 

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The Technical Traders

Daily Market Analysis and Trade Setups

Courtesy of Technical Traders

CLICK HERE TO GET REAL TIME TRADE ALERTS!

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Digital Currencies

Zuck Delays Libra Launch Date Due To Issues "Sensitive To Society"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by William Suberg via CoinTelegraph.com,

Facebook is taking a much more careful approach to Libra than its previous projects, CEO Mark Zuckerberg has confirmed. 

“Obviously we want to move forward at some point soon [and] not have this take many years to roll out,” he said. “But ...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Look Out Bears! Fed New QE Now Up to $165 Billion

Courtesy of Lee Adler

I have been warning for months that the Fed would need new QE to counter the impact of massive waves of Treasury supply. I thought that that would come later, rather than sooner. Sorry folks, wrong about that. The NY Fed announced another round of new TOMO (Temporary Open Market Operations) today.

In addition to the $75 billion in overnight repos that the Fed issued and has been rolling over since Tuesday, next week the Fed will issue another $90 billion. They’ll come in the form of three $30 billion, 14 day repos to be offered next week.

That brings the new Fed QE to a total of $165 billion. Even in the worst days of the financial crisis, I can’t remember the Fed ballooning its balance sheet by $165 bi...



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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

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