Posts Tagged ‘criminal probe’

10 Things You Need To Know That Are Going On This Weekend

SPECIAL EDITION: 10 Things You Need To Know That Are Going On This Weekend

Courtesy of Joe Weisenthal, at Clusterstock 

It’s a Saturday, but it certainly doesn’t feel like it, because there’s a heck of a lot going on. 

Here’s what you need to be paying attention to this May Day.

  • Greece/IMF/EU talks continue. According to Greek government officials, some kind of announcement may be made today. The market is hoping to hear something that’s orders of magnitude stronger than any bailout announcement we’ve gotten so far, or otherwise the feeling will be that it can and will fall through again.
  • Of course, there are fresh violent, anti-austerity protests going on today in Athens. The fact that it’s May Day, a day for celebrating anti-capitalism only adds to the tension.
  • New reports suggest the criminal probe into Goldman Sachs is not just a perfunctory follow-on to the SEC charges, but rather a truly separate thing that’s wider than Abacus, and that started before the SEC’s investigation. HUGE.
  • With just five days before the election, UK’s The Guardian has endorsed the Liberal Democrats, the country’s biggest third party. Its leader, Nick Clegg, has surged thanks to a string of strong debate performances, Gordon Brown’s disastrous campaigning, and a lingering sense of unease with the conservatives.


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    Federal Prosecutors Conducting CRIMINAL Probe Of Goldman Sachs

    Federal Prosecutors Conducting CRIMINAL Probe Of Goldman Sachs

    Courtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock 

    Banking CEO's Testify Before House On Use Of TARP Funds

    Following the SEC’s fraud charges against the firm, prosecutors have opened up a criminal probe of Goldman Sachs (GS), the WSJ is reporting this evening.

    There are several things to note here, particularly the fact that an initial probe is no guarantee that charges will actually filed. In fact, such initial probes are common after civil charges are brought.

    Although the ramifications of such a case would be enormous, the significant weaknesses and ambiguities that have emerged in the SEC’s case may make prosecutors gun-shy.

    Lady justice with scales

    Why else?

    Notes WSJ:

    But the Goldman probe presents a significant challenge for the government. Prosecutors in the Brooklyn office of the U.S. Attorney last year lost a high-profile fraud case against two former Bear Stearns Cos. executives, in the first major criminal case linked to the financial meltdown.

    Prosecutors had accused the Bear Stearns employees of lying to investors in 2007 about the health of two funds that eventually collapsed. The case centered on what the government viewed as incriminating emails indicating the traders knew the mortgage market would fall but didn’t disclose that view to investors.

    To bring any criminal charges in the Goldman matter, prosecutors would need to believe they had gathered evidence that showed that the firm or its employees knowingly committed fraud in their mortgage business. Proving such intent to break the law typically is the toughest hurdle for prosecutors to clear.

    Read the whole report > 


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    Zero Hedge

    'Hedge Fund Hotel' Arconic Crashes 25% As Sale Plan Abandoned

    Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

    Widely-held by hedge funds (e.g. Elliott Mgmnt with 52mm shares), aerospace company Arconic has decided to no longer pursue a potential sale of the company. The shares are down over 25% pre-market...

    What changed in 4 days?

    Jan.18: Arconic Hopes to Finalize Sale to Apollo This Weekend: NY Post

      ...


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    Kimble Charting Solutions

    S&P and Crude both testing key breakout levels!

    Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

    The correlation between Crude Oil and the S&P 500 has been rather high over the last 100-days, as each looks to have peaked at the same time around the 1st of October at (1).

    After peaking together in October, Crude fell over 40% and the S&P nearly declined 20%, with both bottoming on Christmas Eve at each (2).

    Both have experienced counter-trend rallies since the lows, as Crude is up 23% and the S&P 13%.

    These rallies have both testing dual resist...



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    Insider Scoop

    Cowen Suits Up With Nike, Looks To Outperform

    Courtesy of Benzinga.

    Related NKE Consumer Discretionary Q4 Earnings: U.S. Consumer Appears Strong Amid Heightened Global Uncertainty Golf Equipmen...

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    Phil's Favorites

    Martin Luther King Jr., union man

     

    Martin Luther King Jr., union man

    Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. on the picket line at the Scripto plant in Atlanta, Ga., December, 1964. AP

    Courtesy of Peter Cole, Western Illinois University

    If Martin Luther King Jr. still lived, he’d probably tell people to join unions.

    King understood racial equality was inextricably linked to economics. He asked, “What good does it do to be able to eat at a lunch counter if you can’t buy a hamburger?”

    Those disadvantages have persisted. Tod...



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    Chart School

    Weekly Market Recap Jan 20, 2019

    Courtesy of Blain.

    After entering the week quite overbought, indexes took a small retreat Monday before hurling back upwards.  This is typical of the “V” shaped moves up after any significant selloff, we’ve seen most of the past decade and watching them unfurl is quite amazing actually.  Thought maybe this time would be “different” but not so much.  So two week’s ago we asked “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problem in 1 speech?” – and thus far the market has answered resoundingly yes.  The word of the year thus far in 2019 is “patience” as that simple insert into a speech change the whole complexion of everything.

    China has also been busy stimulating; on Tuesday:

    An announcement from the People’s Bank of China that ...



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    ValueWalk

    Everyone Else Is Selling Stocks, So Is It Time To Buy?

    By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

    After a difficult few trading days in the beginning of the year, U.S. stocks are bouncing back with meaningful gains on Monday following Friday’s strong rally. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 were all up by more than half a percent by midday. It looks like investors could be taking advantage of the end-of-the-year declines, but is this a wise time to be buying?

    Trying to time the bottom of the market will almost always be a fool’s errand, but one firm suggests equities could have much farther to fall before they hit bottom in 2019.

    ...



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    Digital Currencies

    Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

     

    Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

    Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

    Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

    Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

    Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...



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    Members' Corner

    Why Trump Can't Learn

     

    Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

    Why Trump Can’t Learn

    Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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    Biotech

    Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

    Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

     

    Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

    Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from www.shutterstock.com

    Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

    Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.

    ...

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    Mapping The Market

    Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

    By Jean-Luc

    Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

    Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

    The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

    By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

    The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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    OpTrader

    Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

    Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

     

    This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

    We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

    Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

    To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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    Promotions

    Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

     

     

    Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

    Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

    In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

    This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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    ·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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    About Phil:

    Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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